River Flood Warning 16, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
831 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2015

...HEAVY RAIN LED TO MORE RIVERS GOING INTO FLOOD OR INTO
ACTION STAGE...

.UPDATE...
WIDESPREAD RAIN OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS AND NEAR INTERIOR COUNTIES
HAS LED TO THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA TO GO INTO MINOR FLOOD AND
THE PEACE RIVER FROM BARTOW TO ARCADIA IS FORECAST TO REACH ACTION
STAGE TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN TOMORROW COULD PUSH MORE
RIVERS INTO FLOOD.

SOME OF THE STORMS TODAY PRODUCED WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 43 MPH. THERE
WERE REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO AN AWNING IN POLK COUNTY AND AREAL PONDING
HAD FLOODED DITCHES...YARDS...AND ONE HOME.

RADAR SHOWED CONVECTION HAD STRATIFIED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND WAS SLOWLY RAINING ITSELF OUT. LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
STORMS MOVED OFFSHORE AND SPARKED SCATTERED STORMS IN THE GULF
OF MEXICO. THE FORECAST SUNDAY LOOKS SIMILAR TO WHAT HAPPENED
TODAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR OVERNIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IMPACTING AREAS NEAR
THE TERMINALS AFTER 20Z.

&&

.MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA WITH THE ONLY HAZARD COMING FROM
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND LOW ERC VALUES WILL PREVENT ANY FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...72/NOAH
DECISION SUPPORT...57/MCMICHAEL
CLIMATE/RIVERS/UPPER AIR...74/WYNN