Severe Thunderstorm Warning 372, NWS Tallahassee, FL

765 
WWUS52 KTAE 292119
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
419 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

ALC061-069-292129-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0372.000000T0000Z-150729T2145Z/
HOUSTON AL-GENEVA AL-
419 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN HOUSTON AND
SOUTHEASTERN GENEVA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3099 8589 3099 8538 3065 8546 3075 8599
      3078 8597
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 018DEG 20KT 3084 8556 3090 8585 

$$

FLC059-063-133-292145-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0372.000000T0000Z-150729T2145Z/
WASHINGTON FL-HOLMES FL-JACKSON FL-
419 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...HOLMES AND NORTHWESTERN JACKSON
COUNTIES...

AT 419 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
CHIPLEY TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF GENEVA...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHIPLEY...BONIFAY...GRACEVILLE...PONCE DE LEON...CARYVILLE...ESTO...
WESTVILLE...CAMPBELLTON...NOMA...BROWNTOWN...BARKER STORE...RICHTER
CROSSROADS...BAKER SETTLEMENT...HICKORY HILL...COBB CROSSROADS...NEW
HOPE...GRITNEY...BAHOMA...MILLER CROSSROADS AND BETHLEHEM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8589 3099 8538 3065 8546 3075 8599
      3078 8597
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 018DEG 20KT 3084 8556 3090 8585 

$$

11-MOORE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
359 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

Today's convection is being forced by two separate features. The
convection west of the Apalachicola and Chattahoochee rivers is
likely due to an MCV spawned from yesterday's convection over the
Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. The convection to the east appears to
be generated from a residual surface outflow boundary from the
same convective cluster just mentioned. With 2500-3500 J/kg SBCAPE
around, plus marginally high dTheta-E values, there remains a
chance for some isolated strong to severe downburst winds within
the strongest storms. Additionally, unseasonably high PWATs would
suggest the potential for some heavy rainfall, especially in areas
where storm motion slows due to boundary interactions.

Heat indices are still running in the 109-113 range according to
area ASOS readings, with high temperatures in the middle to upper
90s. Sunset or a thunderstorm looks to be the only relief this
afternoon. A heat advisory remains in effect for much of the
region.

.Short Term [Thursday Through Friday Night]...

The upper pattern will begin to change during this period as the
upper ridge begins to retreat westward as a trough bulges into the
Southeast. At the surface a cold front will pass through the
Appalachians on Thursday, and stall out across the Tri-State
region by Friday. Convection on Thursday will likely be the result
of any remnant boundaries as well as the Gulf Coast seabreezes,
with no upstream MCS influence at this time. By Friday, the
forcing becomes a bit more complicated with influences from the
aforementioned front, a surface trough/low, and the seabreeze
fronts. In general, expect high PoPs each afternoon, highest on
Friday.

High temperatures will remain above average tomorrow as convection
will likely hold off until the afternoon. Borderline heat advisory
conditions will be possible. On Friday, more convective coverage
on a not so diurnal time frame should keep temperatures in the
lower 90s, with heat advisory conditions not expected.

.Long Term [Saturday Through Wednesday]...

It appears as though the wet pattern will continue through the
extended range forecast as several shortwaves keep the eastern
CONUS trough extending into the Southeast. Additionally, at the
surface, the stalled front is expected to linger through the
period, only gradually weakening each day. Expect above normal
PoPs and near normal high temperatures each day.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 18Z Thursday]

VFR will prevail outside of thunderstorms this afternoon, with all
terminals keeping high rain chances through this evening. Gusty
winds around 30 knots and heavy rain are common in this
afternoon's storms. Most of the storms will have diminished by
06z, with VFR prevailing through the rest of the TAF.

&&

.Marine...

Southwest winds below headline levels will prevail for the next
several days. Late this week, into the weekend, there will be a
possibility for some brief cautionary level winds. Thunderstorms
will be numerous over the waters each night, with scattered storms
each afternoon.

&&

.Fire Weather...

An active weather pattern in place will keep rain chances and
relative humidity values high, preventing us from reaching red flag
criteria for the next week.

&&

.Hydrology...

Rain chances increase today through the rest of the week. Five day
estimated rain totals indicate that 3 to 4 inches is likely along
the coast, especially in the southeastern Big Bend. Elsewhere, 1.5
to 2.5 inches is likely. Area rivers are still below action stage.
With the heaviest rainfall expected near the coast, river flooding
is not expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   77  91  76  90  75 /  60  50  30  60  40
Panama City   80  88  79  88  78 /  50  50  30  60  40
Dothan        76  93  75  92  74 /  30  50  40  50  40
Albany        76  93  76  90  74 /  70  50  30  50  40
Valdosta      76  90  75  89  74 /  70  50  30  60  40
Cross City    77  87  76  88  75 /  60  50  30  60  40
Apalachicola  79  88  79  88  78 /  50  50  30  60  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ this evening for Calhoun-
     Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-
     Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal
     Wakulla-Gadsden- Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Dixie-Inland
     Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland
     Wakulla-Jackson- Lafayette-Leon- Liberty-Madison-North
     Walton- South Walton- Washington.

GA...Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for Baker-Brooks-
     Calhoun-Clay-Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-Lanier-Lee-
     Lowndes-Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-
     Thomas.

AL...Heat Advisory until 5 PM CDT this afternoon for Coffee-Dale-
     Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...HARRIGAN
SHORT TERM...HARRIGAN
LONG TERM...HARRIGAN
AVIATION...HARRIGAN
MARINE...HARRIGAN
FIRE WEATHER...MOORE
HYDROLOGY...MCDERMOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
341 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0248 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WSW MOODY AFB         30.95N 83.27W
07/29/2015                   LOWNDES            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN

&&

MCDERMOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
343 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE CHERRY LAKE       30.61N 83.41W
07/29/2015                   MADISON            FL   911 CALL CENTER

            VERY LARGE OAK TREE BLOWN DOWN BLOCKING CHERRY LAKE
            CIRCLE. WIRES ALSO DOWN AT THIS LOCATION.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
403 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND GST     CROSS CITY AIRPORT      29.63N 83.11W
07/29/2015  M51 MPH          DIXIE              FL   ASOS

            44 KNOT PEAK GUST AT THE CROSS CITY ASOS...KCTY.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
430 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VALDOSTA                30.85N 83.28W
07/29/2015                   LOWNDES            GA   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN WITHIN THE
            CITY LIMITS OF VALDOSTA.

&&

08-LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
446 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E MOSELEY HALL        30.35N 83.53W
07/29/2015                   MADISON            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN

&&

MCDERMOTT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
452 PM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE AUCILLA            30.44N 83.71W
07/29/2015                   MADISON            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON I-10 BLOCKING RIGHT LANE OF WESTBOUND
            TRAFFIC.

&&

MCDERMOTT