Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Tallahassee, FL

June 3, 20154 counties in Georgia

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 3, 2015, 7:13 PM EDT for 4 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 62 min. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 3, 2015, 7:13 PM EDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired: Jun 3, 2015, 8:15 PM EDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Tallahassee, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Berrien County, GA, Cook County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lowndes County, GA

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 3, 7:15 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 E Nashville, GA	TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF RADIO STATION ROAD AND MARK WATSON ROAD
Jun 3, 7:15 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	4 Ene Nashville, GA	TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 76
Jun 3, 7:15 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	S Nashville, GA	TREE DOWN ON ROGERS AVE IN NASHVILLE
Jun 3, 7:35 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 S Weber, GA	TREE DOWN ON COOK ROAD
Jun 3, 7:39 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 Nne Teeterville, GA	TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF MT PLEASANT ROAD AND LANCASTER ROAD
Jun 3, 7:42 PM EDT	TSTM WND DMG	2 N Lakeland, GA	LARGE TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 129.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 679 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 923 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 0 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

480 
WUUS52 KTAE 032313
SVRTAE
GAC019-075-173-185-040015-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0101.150603T2313Z-150604T0015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
713 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN COOK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN BERRIEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
  LANIER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 815 PM EDT

* AT 713 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR 
  NASHVILLE... AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A 
  HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DOWNED TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LAKELAND...NASHVILLE...VALDOSTA...RAY CITY...MOODY AIR FORCE
  BASE...MEIGS...ALLENVILLE...NEW LOIS...TEETERVILLE...COTTLE...
  BERRIEN CO A/P...NAYLOR...WEBER...COURTHOUSE...HANSELL...BARRETTS
  AND STOCKTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 3090 8304 3092 8329 3093 8332 3122 8336
      3135 8322 3124 8304 3118 8305 3118 8297
      3097 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 312DEG 20KT 3124 8323 

$$

42-DVD

2 follow-up statements

848 
WWUS52 KTAE 032337
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
737 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

GAC075-032347-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-150604T0015Z/
COOK GA-
737 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COOK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3092 8326 3093 8332 3104 8327 3118 8327
      3130 8314 3124 8304 3118 8305 3118 8297
      3097 8297 3090 8304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 299DEG 17KT 3127 8312 3093 8313 

$$

GAC019-173-185-040015-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-150604T0015Z/
LOWNDES GA-BERRIEN GA-LANIER GA-
737 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN LOWNDES...SOUTHEASTERN BERRIEN AND LANIER
COUNTIES...

AT 737 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILLACOOCHEE TO NEAR MOODY AIR
FORCE BASE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKELAND...NASHVILLE...VALDOSTA...RAY CITY...MOODY AIR FORCE BASE...
MEIGS...ALLENVILLE...NEW LOIS...TEETERVILLE...BERRIEN CO A/P...
NAYLOR...WEBER...COURTHOUSE...HANSELL...BARRETTS AND STOCKTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TALLAHASSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3092 8326 3093 8332 3104 8327 3118 8327
      3130 8314 3124 8304 3118 8305 3118 8297
      3097 8297 3090 8304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 299DEG 17KT 3127 8312 3093 8313 

$$

42-DVD

545 
WWUS52 KTAE 032356
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
756 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

GAC019-185-040005-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-150604T0015Z/
LOWNDES GA-BERRIEN GA-
756 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LOWNDES AND
SOUTHEASTERN BERRIEN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3092 8304 3095 8304 3095 8318 3103 8318
      3103 8320 3106 8320 3106 8317 3115 8316
      3115 8304 3118 8305 3118 8297 3097 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 312DEG 20KT 3121 8304 3087 8305 

$$

GAC173-040015-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-150604T0015Z/
LANIER GA-
756 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR LANIER COUNTY...

AT 755 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTH OF WILLACOOCHEE TO NEAR MAYDAY...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... 
LAKELAND...MEIGS...COURTHOUSE...HANSELL AND TEETERVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TALLAHASSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3092 8304 3095 8304 3095 8318 3103 8318
      3103 8320 3106 8320 3106 8317 3115 8316
      3115 8304 3118 8305 3118 8297 3097 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 312DEG 20KT 3121 8304 3087 8305 

$$

42-DVD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 3, 3:56 PM EDT, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 3:56 PM EDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
356 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

.NEAR TERM [THROUGH TONIGHT]...

THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS NEAR
THE NC/GA BORDER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT QUITE A BIT OF
MID/UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR HAS ROTATED INTO THE AREA ON THE SOUTH SIDE
OF THIS LOW. THE POSITION OF THE UPPER TROUGH PUTS US IN A DNVA
SCENARIO TODAY, SO THERE WILL BE LESS QG FORCING TO AID ASCENT.
THEREFORE THE SEA BREEZE SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY TRIGGER ACROSS MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA. WE ARE IN A FAVORABLE LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW
REGIME. THERE IS, HOWEVER, A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHEAST
AL THAT COULD FOCUS CONVECTION IN THAT AREA. POPS WERE ONCE AGAIN
WERE WEIGHTED TOWARD THE ECAM NUMBERS. WE REMAIN IN A MARGINAL SPC
RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MAINLY OUR GA AND INLAND FL BIG BEND
ZONES. WE FEEL THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR SEVERE TODAY WILL BE ACROSS
GA, WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. HOWEVER, HAIL
WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY AS YOU MOVE NORTH TOWARD THE COLD POOL. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS UP AROUND 25-30 KT WHICH COULD FAVOR SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION IN THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.SHORT TERM [THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT]...

THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW WILL TRANSLATE
SLOWLY NORTHEAST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY, AS IT MERGES
WITH THE MID LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL
GO FROM LIGHT AND VARIABLE THURSDAY TO NORTHERLY BY FRIDAY, AS
HEIGHTS RISE OVER TX. AT THE SURFACE, THE FRONTAL ZONE CURRENTLY
NORTH AND WEST OF OUR FORECAST AREA WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY,
AND ORIENTED ALONG THE FL-GA BORDER AS IT GRADUALLY DISSIPATES.
ALTHOUGH THE AIR ABOVE 500 MB HAS DRIED CONSIDERABLY ALREADY,
THERE REMAINS AMPLE MOISTURE BELOW TO SUPPORT DEEP MOIST
CONVECTION. THE MOS CONSENSUS, ESPECIALLY THE GFS AND NAM MOS,
FORECAST LOW POPS (20 PERCENT) FOR THURSDAY; BUT OUR ENSEMBLE OF
CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS (ECAM) HAS A POP IN THE FL PANHANDLE
OF 40-60 PERCENT. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE LOW LAYER MOISTURE, CAPE,
AND SEA BREEZE/FRONTAL ZONE CONVERGENCE, WE WEIGHTED OUR FORECAST
MORE TOWARD THE ECAM SOLUTION.

ON FRIDAY THE POP WILL BE A LITTLE LOWER AND MORE EVENLY DISTRIBUTED
AS THE FRONTAL ZONE DISSIPATES AND DRIER AIR BECOMES MORE
ENTRENCHED. WE'RE FORECASTING A POP OF 20-30 PERCENT, WITH THE
HIGHEST POP ACROSS NORTH FL WHERE THERE WILL BE MORE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE. THE MEAN, DEEP, OFFSHORE FLOW WILL TEND TO RETARD THE
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SEA BREEZE FRONT DEVELOPMENT AND INLAND
PROPAGATION, SO THUNDERSTORMS MAY NOT INITIATE UNTIL LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL, WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WEAK WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
TYPICALLY WEAK FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND THIS PART OF THE COUNTRY,
SO SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORMS ORGANIZATION IS UNLIKELY. HOWEVER, A
PULSE SEVERE STORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.LONG TERM [SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY]...

A WEAK MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST ON
SATURDAY WILL GRADUALLY FILL AS HIGHER HEIGHTS IN TX ATTEMPTS TO
JOIN THE WEST ATLANTIC RIDGE. OUR FORECAST AREA WILL BE ON THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE WEST ATLANTIC RIDGE (I.E. BERMUDA RIDGE).
THIS LARGE SCALE PATTERN, COUPLED WITH NEAR-AVERAGE THERMODYNAMICS,
SUGGEST NEAR-CLIMO POPS (AROUND 30 PERCENT) EACH AFTERNOON &
EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE NEAR NORMAL, WITH LOWS IN THE
LOWER 70S AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.

&&

.AVIATION...

[THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY] SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IT IS REASONABLE TO ASSUME
THAT MOST OF THE TERMINALS WILL HAVE TS IN THE VICINITY WITH DECENT
CHANCES THAT ONE WILL DIRECTLY IMPACT THE AIRPORTS. MVFR CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY, AND IFR CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. HOWEVER, THAT IS MOST LIKELY AT VLD.

&&

.MARINE...

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN VERY WEAK ACROSS OUR MARINE AREA,
WHICH IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF THE
WINDS WILL BE LAND AND SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

UNUSUALLY LOW DISPERSIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

THE ONLY RIVER AT LOCAL ACTION STAGE WAS AT BRUCE, ON THE
CHOCTAWHATCHEE RIVER, BUT IT'S EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW ACTION STAGE
THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE, WE DO NOT EXPECT THE DAILY RAINFALL TO BE
ORGANIZED ENOUGH TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RIVER RISES OR FLASH FLOODING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

TALLAHASSEE   69  92  69  91  69 /  20  30  20  20  20
PANAMA CITY   72  85  72  86  73 /  10  40  10  20  10
DOTHAN        69  90  69  91  70 /  40  20  20  10  10
ALBANY        68  89  68  90  69 /  40  10  10  20  10
VALDOSTA      67  90  68  91  67 /  50  20  20  20  20
CROSS CITY    67  92  69  91  68 /  20  20  30  30  20
APALACHICOLA  71  87  72  87  72 /  10  20  10  20  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

NEAR TERM...WOOL
SHORT TERM...FOURNIER
LONG TERM...FOURNIER
AVIATION...WOOL
MARINE...FOURNIER
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...FOURNIER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 3, 6:20 PM EDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
620 PM EDT WED JUN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ENE TIFTON            31.47N 83.45W
06/03/2015                   TIFT               GA   911 CALL CENTER

            A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN AROUND PAULK ROAD AND HIGHWAY 319

&&

DVD

Local storm report, Jun 3, 6:28 PM EDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
628 PM EDT WED JUN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             BROOKFIELD              31.42N 83.39W
06/03/2015  E1.75 INCH       TIFT               GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN BROOKFIELD VIA WALB-TV
            SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

DVD

Local storm report, Jun 3, 6:34 PM EDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
634 PM EDT WED JUN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             4 E TIFTON              31.45N 83.44W
06/03/2015  E1.00 INCH       TIFT               GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED EAST OF TIFTON

&&

DVD

Local storm report, Jun 3, 6:53 PM EDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
653 PM EDT WED JUN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             BROOKFIELD              31.42N 83.39W
06/03/2015  E2.00 INCH       TIFT               GA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SOCIAL MEDIA PICTURE OF HAIL ESTIMATED AT AROUND HEN EGG
            SIZE OR 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER FROM BROOKFIELD

&&

DVD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 3, 5:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Lee, Worth	40 min
Jun 3, 5:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Berrien, Irwin, Tift	52 min
Jun 3, 6:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Berrien, Cook	44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.