Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 571
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 27, 2015, 8:56 AM CST for 6 counties in Arkansas; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 48 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 27, 2015, 8:56 AM CST (14:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 27, 2015, 7:00 PM CST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 58 counties
Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Colorado County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Leon County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 195 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 9:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Trinity | 28 min |
| Dec 27, 10:07 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Austin, Washington | 38 min |
| Dec 27, 10:18 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Titus, Wood | 9 hr |
| Dec 27, 10:34 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Nacogdoches, Rusk, Shelby | 26 min |
| Dec 27, 10:55 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Freestone, Leon, Robertson | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 11:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson, Grimes, Washington | 12 min |
| Dec 27, 11:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Sevier | 38 min |
| Dec 27, 11:57 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 29 min |
| Dec 27, 12:17 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Little River, Sevier | 12 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:25 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Smith | 9 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:26 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Leon | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:46 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Howard | 12 hr |
| Dec 27, 1:59 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Anderson, Freestone, Leon, Robertson | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 2:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Camp, Morris, Titus | 36 min |
| Dec 27, 2:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Camp, Upshur | 28 min |
| Dec 27, 2:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Trinity, Walker | 30 min |
| Dec 27, 2:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Madison, Montgomery, Trinity, Walker | 34 min |
| Dec 27, 2:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bowie, Morris, Red River, Titus | 45 min |
| Dec 27, 2:52 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Smith, Upshur | 9 hr |
| Dec 27, 2:56 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Cherokee | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Trinity | 25 min |
| Dec 27, 3:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Morris, Titus, Upshur, Wood | 50 min |
| Dec 27, 3:15 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bowie, Morris, Red River | 45 min |
| Dec 27, 3:20 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Bowie, Cass, Morris | 9 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bowie, Camp, Morris, Titus, Upshur | 51 min |
| Dec 27, 3:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bowie, Camp, Franklin, Morris, Red River, Titus and 2 more | 50 min |
| Dec 27, 3:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Lafayette, Nevada | 31 min |
| Dec 27, 3:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston | 24 min |
| Dec 27, 3:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Nevada | 23 min |
| Dec 27, 3:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Columbia, Lafayette | 31 min |
| Dec 27, 4:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Nevada | 32 min |
| Dec 27, 4:17 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bowie, Cass, Morris, Red River, Titus | 43 min |
| Dec 27, 4:35 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 40 min |
| Dec 27, 4:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Harrison, Marion | 23 min |
| Dec 27, 4:39 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Rusk | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 4:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River | 59 min |
| Dec 27, 5:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Cass, Marion | 29 min |
| Dec 27, 5:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Miller | 23 min |
| Dec 27, 5:29 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 46 min |
| Dec 27, 5:42 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Miller | 33 min |
| Dec 27, 5:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Harrison, Panola, Rusk | 48 min |
| Dec 27, 6:07 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Miller | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 6:20 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Nacogdoches | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 6:22 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Harrison, Marion | 23 min |
| Dec 27, 6:30 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Angelina | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 6:43 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Panola, Shelby | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 6:46 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Lafayette, Nevada | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 6:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Lafayette, Miller | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 625 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 707 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 350 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 426 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.1
- Supercell composite
- 8.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
824 WWUS20 KWNS 271452 SEL1 SPC WW 271452 ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-272200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 571 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 850 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS NORTHWEST LOUISIANA EAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 850 AM UNTIL 400 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TODAY WHILE SPREADING NORTH ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST OF HOUSTON TEXAS TO 20 MILES NORTH OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040. ...MEAD
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 7:32 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Sebastian | 88 min |
| Dec 26, 11:27 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan, Madison and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 27, 5:44 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Little River, Sevier | 3 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:45 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 2 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:47 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Drew and 2 more | 88 min |
| Dec 27, 2:27 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 7 more | 63 min |
| Dec 27, 2:47 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 15 more | 7 hr |
| Dec 27, 4:55 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | East Carroll, East Feliciana, Madison, Saint Helena, Tensas, Washington | 90 min |
| Dec 26, 8:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett and 21 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 26, 8:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bandera, Crockett, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble and 11 more | 7 hr |
| Dec 26, 11:21 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Cochran and 17 more | 5 hr |
| Dec 26, 11:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Concho, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble, Kinney and 11 more | 87 min |
| Dec 27, 3:38 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hardeman | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 4:36 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carson, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Gray, Hansford, Hartley and 11 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 5:15 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Cochran, Crane, Culberson, Ector, Gaines and 10 more | 5 hr |
| Dec 27, 9:50 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Childress, Coke, Cottle, Crockett, Dickens and 25 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 11:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Bailey, Borden, Castro, Cochran, Crane and 24 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 27, 12:04 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Bosque, Clay, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 27, 3:19 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Houston and 7 more | 116 min |
| Dec 27, 3:55 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Childress, Coke, Coleman and 31 more | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.