Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 494
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 18, 2015, 1:35 PM CDT for 39 counties in Illinois; 19 counties in Iowa; 19 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 18, 2015, 1:35 PM CDT (18:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 18, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 77 counties
Allamakee County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Washington County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Marshall County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Adams County, WI, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Walworth County, WI
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 3:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Warren | 23 min |
| Aug 18, 3:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Knox | 46 min |
| Aug 18, 3:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DVN | Jones | 31 min |
| Aug 18, 4:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Livingston | 42 min |
| Aug 18, 4:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Henry, Mercer, Rock Island | 64 min |
| Aug 18, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Mason | 42 min |
| Aug 18, 4:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DVN | Jackson | 3 hr |
| Aug 18, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Peoria | 39 min |
| Aug 18, 5:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Livingston | 38 min |
| Aug 18, 5:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Peoria, Stark | 29 min |
| Aug 18, 5:40 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DVN | Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson, Whiteside | 6 hr |
| Aug 18, 6:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | ILX | McLean, Tazewell, Woodford | 23 min |
| Aug 18, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Grundy, Kendall, LaSalle, Livingston | 56 min |
| Aug 18, 7:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Ogle, Winnebago | 7 hr |
| Aug 18, 7:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | Will | 30 min |
| Aug 18, 7:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Grundy, Kankakee, Kendall, Will | 39 min |
| Aug 18, 8:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LOT | DuPage | 25 min |
| Aug 18, 8:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LOT | Cook, DuPage, Lake, Will | 6 hr |
| Aug 18, 8:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LOT | Cook | 25 min |
| Aug 18, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MKX | Racine, Walworth | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1257 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 80 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 121 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
905 WWUS20 KWNS 181834 SEL4 SPC WW 181834 IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-WIZ000-190300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 494 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 130 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA WESTERN AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI SOUTHERN AND WESTERN WISCONSIN * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP / INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH OVER WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. SOME MAY BECOME SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS AN INSTANCE OR TWO OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF CAMP DOUGLAS WISCONSIN TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PEORIA ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 493... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 12:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Carroll, Cass and 33 more | 116 min |
| Aug 18, 1:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 25 more | 8 hr |
| Aug 18, 3:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian and 27 more | 119 min |
| Aug 18, 3:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Henderson, Henry and 16 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 18, 6:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay and 41 more | 115 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.