Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 369

June 29, 201584 counties in Kentucky; 21 counties in Ohio; 6 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 29, 2015, 1:33 PM CDT for 84 counties in Kentucky; 21 counties in Ohio; 6 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2015, 1:33 PM CDT (18:33 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2015, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 111 counties

Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boone County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyd County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Carter County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grant County, KY, Green County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, Mason County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owen County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Adams County, OH, Athens County, OH, Brown County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Cabell County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Mason County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wood County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis42 min
Jun 29, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNLewis31 min
Jun 29, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Mercer, Woodford31 min
Jun 29, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXGreenup66 min
Jun 29, 4:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJessamine, Mercer, Woodford31 min
Jun 29, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLMenifee, Morgan52 min
Jun 29, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClinton, Warren34 min
Jun 29, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClinton, Cumberland28 min
Jun 29, 4:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Powell44 min
Jun 29, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WarningILNBrown, Clinton, Highland30 min
Jun 29, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXGreenup54 min
Jun 29, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Logan, Simpson, Warren42 min
Jun 29, 5:11 PM CDTTornado WarningRLXGallia, Lawrence49 min
Jun 29, 5:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningRLXGreenup4 hr
Jun 29, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Lee, Wolfe52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
967 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

376 
WWUS20 KWNS 291830
SEL9  
SPC WW 291830
KYZ000-OHZ000-WVZ000-300100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 369
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM EDT MON JUN 29 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
  SOUTHERN OHIO
  WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
  900 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER CENTRAL KY
AND MOVE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON.  A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE.  A FEW TORNADOES
MAY ALSO OCCUR IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
LEXINGTON KENTUCKY TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ATHENS OHIO. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Anderson, Bath, Boone, Bourbon, Boyd and 70 more2 hr
Jun 29, 3:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Anderson, Bath, Bourbon, Boyd, Boyle and 52 more90 min
Jun 29, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bath, Bourbon and 78 more93 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2015Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2015Tornado Watches in West Virginia, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.