Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 319
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 20, 2015, 3:49 PM CDT for 32 counties in Illinois; 40 counties in Iowa; 17 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 20, 2015, 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 20, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 89 counties
Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Boone County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Scott County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Cass County, IL, Christian County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Knox County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pike County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Adair County, MO, Clark County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Mahaska, Marion, Poweshiek | 42 min |
| Jun 20, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Poweshiek, Tama | 32 min |
| Jun 20, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Mahaska, Marion | 57 min |
| Jun 20, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Iowa | 27 min |
| Jun 20, 5:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Mahaska | 6 hr |
| Jun 20, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Benton, Iowa, Johnson | 49 min |
| Jun 20, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Lucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe, Wapello | 45 min |
| Jun 20, 6:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Monroe, Wapello | 42 min |
| Jun 20, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Jefferson, Van Buren | 50 min |
| Jun 20, 6:57 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Davis, Monroe, Wapello | 6 hr |
| Jun 20, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose | 48 min |
| Jun 20, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren, Washington | 61 min |
| Jun 20, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Wayne | 23 min |
| Jun 20, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Mercer, Putnam | 22 min |
| Jun 20, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, Henderson, Mercer, Warren | 65 min |
| Jun 20, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Schuyler | 34 min |
| Jun 20, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Putnam, Schuyler | 30 min |
| Jun 20, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer, Warren | 54 min |
| Jun 20, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Clark, Scotland | 38 min |
| Jun 20, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Hancock, McDonough | 50 min |
| Jun 20, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Putnam, Sullivan | 49 min |
| Jun 20, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Fulton, Knox, Schuyler | 61 min |
| Jun 20, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Putnam, Schuyler | 18 min |
| Jun 20, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams | 67 min |
| Jun 20, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Putnam, Schuyler | 48 min |
| Jun 20, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Bureau, Henry, Mercer | 32 min |
| Jun 20, 8:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Sullivan | 38 min |
| Jun 20, 8:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Marshall, Mason, Peoria, Stark, Tazewell, Woodford | 67 min |
| Jun 20, 8:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Brown | 65 min |
| Jun 20, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Cass, Mason, Menard, Morgan, Schuyler | 54 min |
| Jun 20, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Adair, Macon, Sullivan | 47 min |
| Jun 20, 9:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Menard, Morgan, Sangamon, Scott | 56 min |
| Jun 20, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | DeWitt, Logan, McLean, Marshall, Menard, Tazewell and 1 more | 51 min |
| Jun 20, 9:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Linn, Macon | 49 min |
| Jun 20, 9:57 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Appanoose, Davis, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Jun 20, 10:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Adams | 6 hr |
| Jun 20, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Christian, Macon, Sangamon | 46 min |
| Jun 20, 10:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ILX | Moultrie, Piatt, Shelby | 59 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 769 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
968
WWUS20 KWNS 202046
SEL9
SPC WW 202046
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-210400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN IOWA
WESTERN AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
NORTHERN MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INCREASE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND NEAR AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
ACROSS IOWA. INITIALLY DISCRETE STORMS/SUPERCELLS SHOULD MERGE INTO
A SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING CONVECTIVE SYSTEM LATER THIS EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
DES MOINES IOWA TO 70 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BURLINGTON IOWA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 317...WW 318...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...GUYERSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 12:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Henderson, Henry, Knox, Mercer, Rock Island, Stark and 2 more | 117 min |
| Jun 20, 3:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Cass, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 20, 6:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Cass, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson and 11 more | 57 min |
| Jun 20, 2:52 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dickinson, Emmet, Lyon, Osceola | 53 min |
| Jun 20, 3:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Kossuth, Lyon, O'Brien and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 20, 5:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cerro Gordo, Clay, Emmet, Floyd, Hancock, Humboldt and 5 more | 64 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.