Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 203

May 24, 201562 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 24, 2015, 1:18 PM CDT for 62 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2015, 1:18 PM CDT (18:18 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2015, 7:34 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 62 counties

Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Knox County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Stone County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 1:19 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXPettis26 min
May 24, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Webster, Wright23 min
May 24, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole41 min
May 24, 3:27 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Wright33 min
May 24, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Shannon, Texas28 min
May 24, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAdair, Macon34 min
May 24, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Pulaski, Texas34 min
May 24, 5:22 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXPike38 min
May 24, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Taney47 min
May 24, 5:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon37 min
May 24, 5:59 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark19 min
May 24, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Texas, Webster and 1 more35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 240 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 183 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 259 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
183 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
578 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
254 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

780 
WWUS20 KWNS 241817
SEL3  
SPC WW 241817
MOZ000-250100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 203
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL
  800 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
SPREADING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI...WHILE ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS SPREAD NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF ARKANSAS AND ACROSS
THE OZARK PLATEAU.  RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THESE INTENSIFYING STORMS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI TO 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 202...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.


...GOSS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 3:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry and 17 more56 min
May 24, 4:14 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Clinton and 16 more8 hr
May 24, 5:34 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cass, Christian, DeKalb and 36 more7 hr
May 24, 6:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Calhoun, Greene, Jackson, Jersey, Madison and 6 more116 min
May 24, 6:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Cass, Fulton, Grundy, Hancock and 22 more94 min
May 23, 10:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMcDonald, Newton86 min
May 24, 12:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Chariton and 34 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.