Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 189

May 19, 201526 counties in Oklahoma; 10 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2015, 1:32 PM CDT for 26 counties in Oklahoma; 10 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2015, 1:32 PM CDT (18:32 UTC)
Expired
May 19, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Montague County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 1:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma14 hr
May 19, 1:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Harmon66 min
May 19, 2:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Grady, McClain38 min
May 19, 2:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma32 min
May 19, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Pottawatomie48 min
May 19, 2:52 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNCleveland, McClain, Pottawatomie38 min
May 19, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Kiowa, Washita38 min
May 19, 3:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Tillman46 min
May 19, 3:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer, Jackson, Kiowa and 2 more3 hr
May 19, 3:30 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNCleveland, McClain27 min
May 19, 3:33 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNCotton, Tillman27 min
May 19, 3:52 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, Pottawatomie38 min
May 19, 3:55 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNComanche, Cotton, Tillman50 min
May 19, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton44 min
May 19, 4:36 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNComanche, Cotton39 min
May 19, 4:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman4 hr
May 19, 4:48 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCotton27 min
May 19, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Clay62 min
May 19, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Jefferson50 min
May 19, 5:13 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCotton, Jefferson, Stephens44 min
May 19, 5:39 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNArcher, Clay51 min
May 19, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Murray, Stephens41 min
May 19, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson38 min
May 19, 6:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Jefferson, Love, Murray, Stephens3 hr
May 19, 6:15 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCotton, Jefferson3 hr
May 19, 6:21 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNJefferson24 min
May 19, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton, Tillman48 min
May 19, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor48 min
May 19, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay43 min
May 19, 6:40 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNJefferson50 min
May 19, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNClay37 min
May 19, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton39 min
May 19, 7:20 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCarter, Jefferson, Stephens40 min
May 19, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay48 min
May 19, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc40 min
May 19, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Pottawatomie47 min
May 19, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGarvin, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc37 min
May 19, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson43 min
May 19, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Jefferson, Stephens41 min
May 19, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Harmon, Jackson45 min
May 19, 8:46 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCarter, Jefferson, Love44 min
May 19, 8:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNBeckham, Comanche, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 2 more4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 35 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 121 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-161 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
634 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

752 
WWUS20 KWNS 191830
SEL9  
SPC WW 191830
OKZ000-TXZ000-200200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
  NORTHWEST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON IN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT ACROSS NW TX AND SW/S CENTRAL
OK.  ALONG A IMMEDIATELY S OF A SURFACE FRONT...ROTATING STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES...AS WELL AS ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALTUS
OKLAHOMA TO 80 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT SILL OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 1:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Cotton, Jackson, Jefferson, Stephens, Tillman118 min
May 19, 3:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jackson and 9 more114 min
May 19, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin and 13 more89 min
May 18, 8:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Burnet, Concho, Coryell, Crockett and 12 more2 hr
May 18, 9:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Cochran, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Gaines and 12 more89 min
May 19, 12:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Cochran, Parmer97 min
May 19, 2:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Irion, Reagan, Schleicher, Sutton, Tom Green90 min
May 19, 5:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Cochran and 16 more92 min
May 19, 2:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin and 34 more60 min
May 19, 3:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 27 more117 min
May 19, 5:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCComanche, Cooke, Denton, Eastland, Erath, Hood and 7 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.