Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 172
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 15, 2015, 12:58 PM MDT for 7 counties in Colorado; 23 counties in Nebraska; Goshen County, Laramie County, Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 15, 2015, 12:58 PM MDT (18:58 UTC)
- Expired
- May 15, 2015, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 32 counties
Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Arthur County, NE, Banner County, NE, Box Butte County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Cheyenne County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Garden County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Kimball County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Goshen County, WY, Laramie County, WY
The radar
The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 1:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 28 min |
| May 15, 1:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 27 min |
| May 15, 1:58 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Adams, Morgan, Weld | 37 min |
| May 15, 2:10 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 50 min |
| May 15, 2:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Banner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill | 61 min |
| May 15, 2:32 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan, Weld | 43 min |
| May 15, 2:33 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Cheyenne, Morrill | 42 min |
| May 15, 2:47 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Weld | 43 min |
| May 15, 2:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen | 30 min |
| May 15, 3:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Goshen | 57 min |
| May 15, 3:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Morrill | 65 min |
| May 15, 3:32 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Goshen | 43 min |
| May 15, 4:00 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | CYS | Sioux | 45 min |
| May 15, 4:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Sheridan | 49 min |
| May 15, 4:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Cheyenne, Morrill | 67 min |
| May 15, 4:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Box Butte | 40 min |
| May 15, 5:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Sheridan | 44 min |
| May 15, 5:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garden | 49 min |
| May 15, 5:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Morrill | 32 min |
| May 15, 5:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Morrill | 57 min |
| May 15, 5:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Morgan | 29 min |
| May 15, 5:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 25 min |
| May 15, 6:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garden, Sheridan | 45 min |
| May 15, 6:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garden | 44 min |
| May 15, 6:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CYS | Morrill | 56 min |
| May 15, 6:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips, Sedgwick | 38 min |
| May 15, 6:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips | 34 min |
| May 15, 6:45 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Phillips, Sedgwick | 45 min |
| May 15, 6:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garden, Sheridan | 43 min |
| May 15, 7:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Deuel, Garden, Keith | 42 min |
| May 15, 7:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Cherry, Sheridan | 40 min |
| May 15, 7:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Garden, Sheridan | 40 min |
| May 15, 7:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Keith, Perkins | 39 min |
| May 15, 7:40 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | LBF | Cherry, Sheridan | 35 min |
| May 15, 7:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Arthur, Garden, Grant, Keith | 51 min |
| May 15, 7:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LBF | Cherry, Sheridan | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 204 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -265 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1417 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -6 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
178 WWUS20 KWNS 151856 SEL2 SPC WW 151856 COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-160200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 172 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 100 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST COLORADO WESTERN NEBRASKA SOUTHEAST WYOMING * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL 800 PM MDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NE CO...WITH STORMS SPREADING INTO SE WY AND WRN NEB THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A COUPLE OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TORRINGTON WYOMING TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MULLEN NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21025. ...THOMPSON
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 12:14 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick | 2 hr |
| May 15, 5:28 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick, Weld | 62 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2015Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.