Alert archive / Indiana / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 164

May 11, 201555 counties in Indiana; 19 counties in Michigan; 49 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 11, 2015, 1:14 PM EDT for 55 counties in Indiana; 19 counties in Michigan; 49 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 11, 2015, 1:14 PM EDT (17:14 UTC)
Expired
May 11, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 123 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Bartholomew County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clark County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Dearborn County, IN, Decatur County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Grant County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jay County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Miami County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Noble County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Rush County, IN, Scott County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Union County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Washington County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Wells County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Huron County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Darke County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Henry County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Madison County, OH, Marion County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Preble County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Warren County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 1:14 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXAdams, Allen, Wells31 min
May 11, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb34 min
May 11, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Williams49 min
May 11, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams38 min
May 11, 2:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFranklin, Union29 min
May 11, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClermont, Hamilton40 min
May 11, 2:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee54 min
May 11, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFayette, Union, Wayne51 min
May 11, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Putnam30 min
May 11, 3:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDRandolph18 min
May 11, 3:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAdams, Allen30 min
May 11, 3:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMonroe25 min
May 11, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLELucas, Wood41 min
May 11, 3:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNClinton, Fayette, Greene, Warren40 min
May 11, 3:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAuglaize, Mercer29 min
May 11, 3:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNChampaign, Clark, Logan, Miami37 min
May 11, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDarke, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, Shelby37 min
May 11, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNAdams, Brown, Clermont, Highland38 min
May 11, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXWayne24 min
May 11, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDelaware, Fairfield, Franklin, Licking, Pickaway41 min
May 11, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Hocking, Pickaway, Pike, Ross39 min
May 11, 4:53 PM EDTTornado WarningILNFranklin, Licking24 min
May 11, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Licking62 min
May 11, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEKnox36 min
May 11, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNFairfield, Hocking, Pickaway, Pike, Ross65 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 66 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1744 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

591 
WWUS20 KWNS 111712
SEL4  
SPC WW 111712
INZ000-KYZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-LHZ000-120000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 164
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
110 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN INDIANA
  NORTHERN KENTUCKY
  SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN
  WESTERN ANDN NORTHERN OHIO
  LAKE ERIE
  LAKE HURON

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 110 PM UNTIL
  800 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS AND STORMS
WITH BOWING STRUCTURES...EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP FAIRLY RAPIDLY 
NORTHEAST ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY EVENING...WITH A RISK FOR
DAMAGING WIND...A COUPLE TORNADOES...AND SEVERE HAIL.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA TO 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOUNT CLEMENS
MICHIGAN.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 12:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Brown, Dearborn and 36 more2 hr
May 11, 2:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Jay, Randolph, Union, Wayne62 min
May 11, 4:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Perry, Washington2 hr
May 11, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette, Franklin, Henry and 5 more66 min
May 11, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Jefferson, Perry and 1 more5 hr
May 11, 3:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArenac, Bay, Clare, Gladwin, Isabella, Midland and 2 more119 min
May 11, 1:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Athens, Brown, Gallia, Guernsey, Hocking and 12 more3 hr
May 11, 2:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Athens, Brown, Clermont, Clinton, Coshocton and 22 more8 hr
May 11, 4:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Athens, Gallia, Guernsey, Hocking, Jackson and 10 more92 min
May 11, 4:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbiana, Geauga, Mahoning, Portage, Stark, Summit and 1 more2 hr
May 11, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshtabula, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Cuyahoga, Geauga and 12 more4 hr
May 11, 6:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Clermont, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 5 more97 min
May 11, 7:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBelmont, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Mahoning, Monroe and 1 more64 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2015Tornado Watches in Ohio, 2015Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.