Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 137

May 6, 201532 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 6, 2015, 8:51 PM CDT for 32 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2015, 8:51 PM CDT (01:51 UTC)
Expired
May 7, 2015, 1:31 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Alfalfa County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, Major County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Jack County, TX, Knox County, TX, Montague County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 8:53 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton52 min
May 6, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBaylor, Foard, Hardeman, Knox, Wilbarger51 min
May 6, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAlfalfa, Garfield, Grant, Woods49 min
May 6, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton64 min
May 6, 8:57 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNArcher, Wichita48 min
May 6, 9:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton3 hr
May 6, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Oklahoma48 min
May 6, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman, Washita41 min
May 6, 9:28 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCleveland, Oklahoma32 min
May 6, 9:31 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTThrockmorton44 min
May 6, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAlfalfa, Grant46 min
May 6, 9:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Kiowa, Washita42 min
May 6, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton66 min
May 6, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie49 min
May 6, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay40 min
May 6, 10:08 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSJTThrockmorton52 min
May 6, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCuster, Washita51 min
May 6, 10:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKnox50 min
May 6, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAlfalfa, Grant, Woods47 min
May 6, 10:34 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNClay26 min
May 6, 10:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNPottawatomie, Seminole38 min
May 6, 10:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Knox, Wichita3 hr
May 6, 10:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDYoung48 min
May 6, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor52 min
May 6, 10:53 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTThrockmorton36 min
May 6, 10:58 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNClay32 min
May 6, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTThrockmorton32 min
May 6, 11:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Harmon, Jackson45 min
May 6, 11:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBaylor, Foard, Knox, Wilbarger42 min
May 6, 11:06 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDMontague24 min
May 6, 11:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Canadian, Custer26 min
May 6, 11:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAlfalfa, Grant31 min
May 6, 11:16 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDYoung18 min
May 6, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMontague65 min
May 6, 11:26 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNArcher, Baylor16 min
May 6, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger50 min
May 6, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay50 min
May 7, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Wise55 min
May 7, 12:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNFoard, Hardeman, Wilbarger50 min
May 7, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Harmon, Jackson24 min
May 7, 12:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger39 min
May 7, 12:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMontague62 min
May 7, 12:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Tillman38 min
May 7, 12:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher31 min
May 7, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Wise63 min
May 7, 1:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDJack, Montague6 hr
May 7, 1:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNTillman49 min
May 7, 1:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Montague63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2015-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1821 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2015-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 246 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1821 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
916 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.0
Supercell composite
19.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

357 
WWUS20 KWNS 070148
SEL7  
SPC WW 070148
OKZ000-TXZ000-070700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 137
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
850 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
  NORTHWEST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 850 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...MULTIPLE SUPERCELL CLUSTERS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH A CONTINUED RISK FOR A FEW
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PONCA CITY
OKLAHOMA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 133...WW 134...WW
135...WW 136...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 6, 8:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 17 more67 min
May 6, 10:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 26 more2 hr
May 7, 1:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCotton, Jefferson, Love, Marshall, Tillman4 hr
May 7, 4:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Cotton, Jefferson, Love, Marshall66 min
May 7, 10:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 1 more115 min
May 7, 12:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Comanche, Cotton, Jefferson, Johnston and 5 more113 min
May 7, 1:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin and 10 more7 hr
May 7, 2:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron118 min
May 7, 3:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Carter, Love, Marshall114 min
May 7, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Johnston, Love and 3 more7 hr
May 7, 6:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 11 more86 min
May 7, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Fisher and 7 more94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.