Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87

April 20, 201513 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 20, 2015, 1:03 PM EDT for 13 counties in Florida. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 20, 2015, 1:03 PM EDT (17:03 UTC)
Expired
Apr 20, 2015, 6:51 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brevard County, FL, Broward County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Martin County, FL, Miami-Dade County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Palm Beach County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 20, 1:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOkeechobee, Saint Lucie39 min
Apr 20, 1:33 PM EDTTornado WarningMFLMiami-Dade27 min
Apr 20, 3:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard39 min
Apr 20, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Seminole41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2015-04-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 841 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2015-04-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
841 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1041 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 20, 8:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Columbia and 16 more2 hr
Apr 20, 11:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 22 more8 hr
Apr 20, 12:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Broward, Indian River, Lake, Martin, Okeechobee and 7 more2 hr
Apr 20, 2:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Duval, Flagler and 12 more91 min
Apr 20, 4:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Broward, Indian River, Lake, Martin, Miami-Dade and 7 more2 hr
Apr 20, 5:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Hillsborough, Indian River, Manatee, Martin, Okeechobee and 4 more96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Florida, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.