Alert archive / Vermont / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 3, 2015, 1:16 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 3, 2015, 1:16 PM EDT (17:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 3, 2015, 9:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Aroostook County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Essex County, NY, Addison County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windsor County, VT
The radar
The Caribou radar (KCBW), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
38 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 1:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Piscataquis, Somerset | 48 min |
| Aug 3, 2:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison, Chittenden, Washington | 45 min |
| Aug 3, 2:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Somerset | 43 min |
| Aug 3, 2:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Somerset | 51 min |
| Aug 3, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Addison | 28 min |
| Aug 3, 2:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Chittenden, Franklin, Lamoille, Orleans, Washington | 21 min |
| Aug 3, 2:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Orleans | 34 min |
| Aug 3, 2:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Somerset | 46 min |
| Aug 3, 3:18 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | BTV | Orleans | 6 hr |
| Aug 3, 3:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis | 42 min |
| Aug 3, 3:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 39 min |
| Aug 3, 3:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Caledonia, Orleans | 19 min |
| Aug 3, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 40 min |
| Aug 3, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Somerset | 44 min |
| Aug 3, 4:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 38 min |
| Aug 3, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Grafton | 44 min |
| Aug 3, 5:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Franklin, Oxford | 44 min |
| Aug 3, 5:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Grafton | 40 min |
| Aug 3, 5:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Cheshire, Grafton, Merrimack, Sullivan | 67 min |
| Aug 3, 5:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Coos, Grafton | 31 min |
| Aug 3, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook | 66 min |
| Aug 3, 5:29 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GYX | Grafton | 3 hr |
| Aug 3, 5:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Coos, Grafton | 57 min |
| Aug 3, 5:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Grafton | 41 min |
| Aug 3, 5:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Franklin, Oxford, Somerset | 61 min |
| Aug 3, 5:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Belknap, Cheshire, Grafton, Hillsborough, Merrimack, Sullivan | 48 min |
| Aug 3, 6:02 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GYX | Franklin, Oxford | 3 hr |
| Aug 3, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Belknap, Carroll, Coos, Grafton | 62 min |
| Aug 3, 6:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | GYX | Carroll, Coos, Grafton | 3 hr |
| Aug 3, 6:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Coos | 38 min |
| Aug 3, 6:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Belknap, Carroll, Cheshire, Hillsborough, Merrimack, Rockingham and 2 more | 40 min |
| Aug 3, 6:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis | 64 min |
| Aug 3, 6:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Franklin, Somerset | 43 min |
| Aug 3, 6:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Cumberland, Oxford, York | 51 min |
| Aug 3, 7:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Androscoggin, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford, Somerset | 65 min |
| Aug 3, 8:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CAR | Aroostook, Penobscot, Piscataquis | 48 min |
| Aug 3, 8:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Coos | 32 min |
| Aug 3, 8:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Belknap, Carroll, Hillsborough, Merrimack, Rockingham, Strafford | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Caribou, ME (KCAR), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1296 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 130 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 160 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 12:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aroostook, Franklin, Oxford, Piscataquis, Somerset | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.