Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460

August 1, 201532 counties in Minnesota; Ransom County, Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 21 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 1, 2015, 6:04 PM CDT for 32 counties in Minnesota; Ransom County, Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 21 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2015, 6:04 PM CDT (23:04 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2015, 8:57 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Grant County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Pipestone County, MN, Pope County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rock County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Beadle County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brown County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McCook County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Spink County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Chippewa, Cottonwood, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln and 11 more62 min
Aug 1, 4:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBennett, Jackson, Mellette, Oglala Lakota, Pennington, Todd3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.