Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 45

April 9, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 9, 2015, 4:29 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2015, 4:29 PM EDT (20:29 UTC)
Expired
Apr 9, 2015, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Garrett County, MD, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Preston County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Wetzel County, WV

The radar

The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGreene37 min
Apr 9, 4:42 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZGuernsey, Muskingum3 hr
Apr 9, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Carroll, Coshocton, Guernsey, Harrison, Jefferson and 3 more42 min
Apr 9, 4:49 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZCarroll, Guernsey, Harrison, Tuscarawas4 hr
Apr 9, 5:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCarroll, Columbiana, Jefferson25 min
Apr 9, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGreene28 min
Apr 9, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Jefferson31 min
Apr 9, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Monroe37 min
Apr 9, 5:46 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZFayette, Greene29 min
Apr 9, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Greene, Washington34 min
Apr 9, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZButler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango34 min
Apr 9, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZFayette, Greene33 min
Apr 9, 6:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Armstrong, Butler, Fayette, Greene, Washington and 1 more28 min
Apr 9, 6:22 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZButler23 min
Apr 9, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGarrett51 min
Apr 9, 6:41 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZGarrett31 min
Apr 9, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Butler, Fayette, Indiana, Jefferson, Westmoreland32 min
Apr 9, 8:45 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZCarroll, Guernsey, Harrison, Tuscarawas3 hr
Apr 9, 8:46 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZCarroll, Guernsey, Harrison, Tuscarawas3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 276 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
540 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 1:51 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Athens, Brown, Butler, Clark, Clermont and 22 more54 min
Apr 9, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Butler, Champaign and 32 more8 hr
Apr 9, 4:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Clermont, Clinton and 16 more59 min
Apr 9, 4:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Butler, Clark, Clermont, Clinton, Fayette and 7 more56 min
Apr 9, 5:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Crawford, Erie, Hancock, Holmes, Huron and 14 more114 min
Apr 9, 7:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Blair, Centre, Clearfield, Fulton, Huntingdon and 1 more64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.