Alert archive / Tennessee / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 382

July 1, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 1, 2015, 11:45 AM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2015, 11:45 AM CDT (16:45 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2015, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 84 counties

DeKalb County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Bartow County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Murray County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Towns County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, White County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bedford County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marion County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Moore County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Perry County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Polk County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 12:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Sumner, Wilson27 min
Jul 1, 1:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXMcMinn33 min
Jul 1, 1:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford33 min
Jul 1, 1:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLimestone, Madison29 min
Jul 1, 1:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCoffee28 min
Jul 1, 2:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLincoln23 min
Jul 1, 2:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMRXMcMinn, Monroe, Polk113 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 477 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
477 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
995 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 11:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Jackson, Lauderdale, Limestone, Madison, Morgan61 min
Jul 1, 3:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne, Cullman, DeKalb and 7 more116 min
Jul 1, 5:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Etowah and 7 more55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Georgia, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Alabama, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.