Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 381
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 30, 2015, 5:17 PM MST for Gila County, Maricopa County, Pinal County, Arizona. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 30, 2015, 5:17 PM MST (00:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 30, 2015, 11:56 PM MST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
Counties Gila County, AZ, Maricopa County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ
The radar
The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 10:30 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PSR | Maricopa, Pinal | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1264 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -205 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2488 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 37 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 159 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.7
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 8:07 PM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Maricopa, Pima, Pinal | 83 min |
| Jul 1, 1:05 PM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cochise, Gila, Graham, Greenlee, Maricopa, Pima and 3 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arizona, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.