Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356

June 25, 201549 counties in Kentucky; 11 counties in Virginia; 8 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 25, 2015, 6:30 PM CDT for 49 counties in Kentucky; 11 counties in Virginia; 8 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2015, 6:30 PM CDT (23:30 UTC)
Expired
Jun 26, 2015, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 68 counties

Adair County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Bell County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Green County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Hart County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Larue County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Russell County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Buchanan County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA, Boone County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Owsley, Perry43 min
Jun 25, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLincoln, Logan, Mingo, Wayne33 min
Jun 25, 7:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLJohnson, Morgan23 min
Jun 25, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXLawrence38 min
Jun 25, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Magoffin, Morgan, Wolfe20 min
Jun 25, 11:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningJKLPulaski3 hr
Jun 26, 12:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKBreckinridge, Bullitt, Jefferson, Meade, Spencer3 hr
Jun 26, 12:21 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski3 hr
Jun 26, 1:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHardin, Hart, Larue29 min
Jun 26, 1:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJKLRockcastle3 hr
Jun 26, 1:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Green, Larue, Marion, Taylor30 min
Jun 26, 1:57 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLMKGarrard, Jessamine, Madison2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 13 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-434 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1545 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 7:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bath, Boone, Bourbon, Breckinridge, Bullitt and 29 more2 hr
Jun 25, 3:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBullitt, Hancock, Henderson, Jefferson, Meade, Oldham and 2 more2 hr
Jun 25, 4:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBreckinridge, Bullitt, Crittenden, Daviess, Grayson, Hancock and 8 more9 hr
Jun 25, 5:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Anderson, Bath, Bourbon, Boyd, Boyle and 51 more97 min
Jun 25, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Brunswick and 55 more93 min
Jun 25, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAccomack, Albemarle, Alleghany, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox and 82 more9 hr
Jun 25, 6:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Amelia, Amherst, Appomattox, Brunswick, Buckingham and 60 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.