Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 304

June 16, 201519 counties in Colorado

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 16, 2015, 2:44 PM MDT for 19 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2015, 2:44 PM MDT (20:44 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2015, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Adams County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Gilpin County, CO, Grand County, CO, Jackson County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Routt County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 2:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGJTMoffat11 min
Jun 16, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULarimer, Weld36 min
Jun 16, 4:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULarimer, Weld45 min
Jun 16, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUMorgan29 min
Jun 16, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan, Washington32 min
Jun 16, 7:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUArapahoe, Elbert, Lincoln, Washington46 min
Jun 16, 8:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 68 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
68 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-308 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1748 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 1:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLogan, Sedgwick2 hr
Jun 16, 4:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Boulder, Broomfield, Clear Creek, Denver and 13 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.