Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30

April 7, 201513 counties in Kansas; 19 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 7, 2015, 8:24 PM CDT for 13 counties in Kansas; 19 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 7, 2015, 8:24 PM CDT (01:24 UTC)
Expired
Apr 8, 2015, 1:38 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Craig County, OK, Grant County, OK, Kay County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn, Miami51 min
Apr 7, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTNeosho, Wilson47 min
Apr 7, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon49 min
Apr 7, 9:02 PM CDTTornado WarningICTNeosho, Wilson28 min
Apr 7, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn50 min
Apr 7, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon48 min
Apr 7, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTNeosho, Wilson46 min
Apr 7, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Lafayette48 min
Apr 7, 9:44 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXBates31 min
Apr 7, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon35 min
Apr 7, 10:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Cass45 min
Apr 7, 10:16 PM CDTTornado WarningICTLabette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson29 min
Apr 7, 10:45 PM CDTTornado WarningICTLabette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson30 min
Apr 7, 10:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXSaline38 min
Apr 7, 11:14 PM CDTTornado WarningICTLabette, Montgomery31 min
Apr 7, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson49 min
Apr 8, 12:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.4 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-04-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2849 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-04-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2849 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1278 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
4.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 7, 10:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford, Elk and 5 more2 hr
Apr 8, 6:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Linn, Miami88 min
Apr 8, 2:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 12 more114 min
Apr 8, 2:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Coffey and 13 more4 hr
Apr 8, 3:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Barber, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley and 16 more8 hr
Apr 8, 5:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Harvey, Kingman, Marion, Pratt, Reno59 min
Apr 8, 5:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJohnson, Miami60 min
Apr 8, 6:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Audrain, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone and 54 more6 hr
Apr 8, 9:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Caldwell, Callaway and 45 more57 min
Apr 8, 12:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCole, Crawford, Dent, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron and 15 more59 min
Apr 8, 12:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lincoln, Montgomery, Osage and 4 more85 min
Apr 8, 1:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCallaway, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lincoln and 10 more5 hr
Apr 8, 2:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lincoln, Montgomery and 9 more92 min
Apr 8, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCIron, Jefferson, Perry, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington63 min
Apr 8, 4:07 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Iron, Jefferson, Madison, Perry and 3 more4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.