Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 861

June 2, 20155 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 2, 2015, 12:46 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2015, 12:46 PM EDT (16:46 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2015, 3:15 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 119 counties

Banks County, GA, Bartow County, GA, Catoosa County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Dade County, GA, Dawson County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hall County, GA, Hart County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Murray County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Towns County, GA, Union County, GA, Walker County, GA, White County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, Carroll County, VA, City of Bristol, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Henry County, VA, Lee County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wythe County, VA

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 250 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 103 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
103 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
881 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.