Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 8

January 3, 201514 counties in New York; 36 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 3, 2015, 9:59 AM EST for 14 counties in New York; 36 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 3, 2015, 9:59 AM EST (14:59 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2015, 2:00 PM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 50 counties

Allegany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bradford County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Warren County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-01-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-01-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 162 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
980 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
86 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 3, 3:48 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin, Hamilton, Jefferson, Lewis and 2 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.