Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 758

May 25, 201532 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 25, 2015, 6:50 AM CDT for 32 counties in Texas. It was in force for 55 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 25, 2015, 6:50 AM CDT (11:50 UTC)
Expired
May 25, 2015, 7:45 AM CDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 32 counties

Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terry County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 48 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3636 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

253 
ACUS11 KWNS 251151
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251150 
TXZ000-251245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0758
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209...

VALID 251150Z - 251245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 209
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
EAST-NORTHEAST FROM THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS TOWARDS THE LOW ROLLING
PLAINS AND BIG COUNTRY THROUGH MIDDAY.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE INTENSIFIED JUST N OF MAF WITHIN STRONGLY
FORCED ASCENT IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AS
THIS IMPULSE TRACKS E/NE THROUGH LATE MORNING...STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL PROBABLY BE MAINTAINED ALONG THE NWRN PERIPHERY OF THE
WRN GULF AIR MASS THAT HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE BIG
COUNTRY. WITH MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXCEEDING 8 DEG C/KM...LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY INITIAL HAZARD. DEVELOPMENT OF A COLD POOL
AND ASSOCIATED DIFFERENTIAL HEATING WITH DESTABILIZING DOWNSTREAM
AIR MASS SHOULD FOSTER AN INCREASING DAMAGING WIND RISK BY LATE
MORNING.

..GRAMS.. 05/25/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   31550126 32090305 32150305 32680305 32860305 32950305
            33810208 33830168 33830162 33830158 33830152 33830140
            33830125 33830087 33840051 33840038 33840006 33840000
            33409894 32959894 32089912 31579972 31550126 31550126

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts93 min
May 24, 8:24 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCHansford, Lipscomb, Ochiltree5 hr
May 25, 3:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Coke, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Edwards and 21 more4 hr
May 25, 6:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 34 more6 hr
May 25, 7:53 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Frio and 8 more2 hr
May 25, 9:02 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 27 more7 hr
May 25, 10:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Archer, Baylor, Bell, Bosque, Brown and 69 more2 hr
May 25, 10:54 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Bell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan and 55 more7 hr
May 25, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 26 more113 min
May 25, 1:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bosque, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Coryell and 26 more2 hr
May 25, 2:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson and 26 more95 min
May 25, 2:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Austin, Bowie, Brazos, Burleson, Camp and 34 more55 min
May 25, 2:52 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bastrop, Blanco, Bowie, Brazos and 53 more8 hr
May 25, 3:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio and 9 more56 min
May 25, 5:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion and 7 more90 min
May 25, 5:51 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCSabine6 hr
May 25, 6:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston and 14 more54 min
May 25, 6:24 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAustin, Bee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Colorado and 18 more9 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.