Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 650

May 15, 20158 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2015, 4:46 PM MDT for 8 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 59 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2015, 4:46 PM MDT (22:46 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2015, 5:45 PM MDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Bennett County, SD, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Todd County, SD

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 34 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2015-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2015-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
484 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.