Alert archive / Louisiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 51

February 1, 201524 parishes in Louisiana; 13 counties in Mississippi; Sabine County, San Augustine County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 1, 2015, 2:28 PM CST for 24 parishes in Louisiana; 13 counties in Mississippi; Sabine County, San Augustine County, Texas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2015, 2:28 PM CST (20:28 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2015, 4:00 PM CST
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 39 counties

Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Madison County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Warren County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 386 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
559 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
456 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.