Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 476

April 27, 201555 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 27, 2015, 12:49 AM CDT for 55 counties in Texas. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2015, 12:49 AM CDT (05:49 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2015, 2:15 AM CDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 55 counties

Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Colorado County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Madison County, TX, Milam County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Wilson County, TX

The radar

The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 235 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1199 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1199 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-82 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1646 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
248 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
3.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 26, 7:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Carson, Childress, Clay, Collingsworth and 14 more65 min
Apr 26, 7:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Burnet, Coleman and 24 more6 hr
Apr 26, 9:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallas, Ellis, Hood, Hunt, Johnson, Kaufman and 4 more91 min
Apr 26, 10:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Comanche, Coryell, Ellis and 19 more5 hr
Apr 27, 1:27 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Brazos and 50 more6 hr
Apr 27, 3:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Cooke, Denton, Foard and 12 more93 min
Apr 27, 4:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Chambers, Hardin, Harris, Jasper, Jefferson and 13 more2 hr
Apr 27, 5:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Kenedy95 min
Apr 27, 6:01 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCJefferson, Orange7 hr
Apr 27, 1:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Chambers, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Liberty and 9 more97 min
Apr 27, 3:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Bosque, Brazos, Burleson and 22 more91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.