Alert archive / South Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 2041

December 23, 201521 counties in North Carolina; 24 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 23, 2015, 2:21 PM EST for 21 counties in North Carolina; 24 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2015, 2:21 PM EST (19:21 UTC)
Expired
Dec 23, 2015, 3:45 PM EST
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 45 counties

Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Union County, NC, Wake County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Horry County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1551 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 146 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1551 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
497 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
6.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 7:39 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Duplin, Hyde and 5 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.