Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 2006

December 12, 201510 counties in Oklahoma; 45 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 12, 2015, 3:43 PM CST for 10 counties in Oklahoma; 45 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 12, 2015, 3:43 PM CST (21:43 UTC)
Expired
Dec 12, 2015, 5:45 PM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 55 counties

Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Baylor County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Childress County, TX, Coke County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 303 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-12-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-12-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2850 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 12, 5:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Custer, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 3 more7 hr
Dec 12, 2:16 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Brazoria, Camp, Cass, Chambers and 38 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.