Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1874

October 22, 201521 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 22, 2015, 1:56 PM CDT for 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 22, 2015, 1:56 PM CDT (18:56 UTC)
Expired
Oct 22, 2015, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 21 counties

Brewster County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Irion County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 155 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-10-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1091 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-10-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1091 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
560 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
324 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
6.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 8:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Cochran, Dawson, Ector, Gaines, Loving and 7 more87 min
Oct 21, 11:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 11 more59 min
Oct 22, 1:06 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Brewster, Briscoe, Childress, Coke and 32 more8 hr
Oct 22, 3:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Childress, Coke, Collingsworth, Cottle, Crockett and 22 more99 min
Oct 22, 5:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCConcho, Crockett, Edwards, Kimble, Menard, Schleicher and 3 more58 min
Oct 22, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCConcho, Crockett, Edwards, Irion, Kimble, Menard and 4 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.