Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 173

March 31, 2015Crittenden County, Cross County, Poinsett County, Arkansas; 12 counties in Mississippi; Fayette County, Shelby County, Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 31, 2015, 11:43 PM CDT for Crittenden County, Cross County, Poinsett County, Arkansas; 12 counties in Mississippi; Fayette County, Shelby County, Tennessee. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2015, 11:43 PM CDT (04:43 UTC)
Expired
Apr 1, 2015, 1:15 AM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%

Counties Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lee County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Union County, MS, Fayette County, TN, Shelby County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 53 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2015-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1687 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2015-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1687 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1334 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.1
Supercell composite
-1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 8:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Sebastian91 min
Mar 31, 8:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner and 10 more85 min
Apr 1, 1:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPolk, Scott89 min
Apr 1, 12:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 8 more3 hr
Apr 1, 5:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Clay and 54 more91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.