Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1712

August 18, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 18, 2015, 7:17 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 88 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2015, 7:17 PM CDT (00:17 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2015, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
88 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 30 counties

Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cherokee County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Webster County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 18 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 984 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 216 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
984 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-91 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1400 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
292 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
7.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 12:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDesha, Phillips3 hr
Aug 19, 2:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Columbia, Desha and 6 more3 hr
Aug 19, 12:07 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dent, Douglas, Franklin, Gasconade, Howell and 11 more113 min
Aug 18, 11:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer, Harmon and 4 more6 hr
Aug 19, 3:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal and 36 more63 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.