Alert archive / Michigan / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1592

August 2, 2015Cook County, Lake County, Illinois; 36 counties in Michigan; 4 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 2, 2015, 8:02 PM CDT for Cook County, Lake County, Illinois; 36 counties in Michigan; 4 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2015, 8:02 PM CDT (01:02 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 42 counties

Cook County, IL, Lake County, IL, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Bay County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Midland County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Kenosha County, WI, Milwaukee County, WI, Racine County, WI, Waukesha County, WI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2015-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1330 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2015-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 192 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1330 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1772 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
339 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
12.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 24 more5 hr
Aug 2, 11:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFord, Grundy, Iroquois, Kankakee, Will86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.