Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1465

July 18, 20156 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 18, 2015, 2:05 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2015, 2:05 PM EDT (18:05 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2015, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
5%
All 178 counties

Banks County, GA, Dawson County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Habersham County, GA, Hall County, GA, Hart County, GA, Lumpkin County, GA, Murray County, GA, Rabun County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Towns County, GA, Union County, GA, White County, GA, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bell County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Leslie County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Russell County, KY, Warren County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Anson County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Durham County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Graham County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Macon County, NC, Madison County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Polk County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Swain County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Union County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Yancey County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Lee County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Richland County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Clay County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Macon County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Overton County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Polk County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Washington County, TN, White County, TN, City of Bristol, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Norton, VA, Grayson County, VA, Lee County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 839 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 91 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
839 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
990 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.