Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1415

July 14, 2015Allegany County, Garrett County, Washington County, Maryland; Allegany County, Cattaraugus County, Steuben County, New York; 16 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 14, 2015, 3:58 PM EDT for Allegany County, Garrett County, Washington County, Maryland; Allegany County, Cattaraugus County, Steuben County, New York; 16 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2015, 3:58 PM EDT (19:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2015, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 22 counties

Allegany County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Washington County, MD, Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Potter County, PA, Somerset County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2015-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 38 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2015-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
38 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-234 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1071 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 12:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGarrett7 hr
Jul 14, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCarroll, Charles, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more4 hr
Jul 14, 11:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Lawrence, Mercer61 min
Jul 14, 3:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 6 more93 min
Jul 14, 4:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 6 more83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.