Alert archive / Alabama / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 14

January 3, 201512 counties in Alabama

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 3, 2015, 4:47 PM CST for 12 counties in Alabama. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 3, 2015, 4:47 PM CST (22:47 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2015, 5:45 PM CST
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Autauga County, AL, Butler County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Wilcox County, AL

The radar

The Maxwell AFB radar (KMXX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2015-01-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2015-01-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 266 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
266 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
377 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 3, 12:00 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Mobile90 min
Jan 3, 1:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Sumter, Washington92 min
Jan 3, 2:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas, Fayette, Greene and 11 more96 min
Jan 3, 3:18 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Chilton, Dallas, Fayette and 15 more5 hr
Jan 3, 5:31 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw44 min
Jan 3, 5:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Colbert, Cullman, Fayette, Franklin, Greene and 11 more61 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.