Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1048

June 17, 20159 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Oklahoma; Bowie County, Cass County, Marion County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 17, 2015, 12:08 PM CDT for 9 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Oklahoma; Bowie County, Cass County, Marion County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2015, 12:08 PM CDT (17:08 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2015, 2:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%

Counties Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Cass County, TX, Marion County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 343 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 111 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
343 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
745 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 5:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Pushmataha89 min
Jun 16, 10:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Brazoria, Brazos and 47 more85 min
Jun 16, 11:41 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAustin, Brazoria, Brazos, Burleson, Colorado, Fayette and 15 more7 hr
Jun 17, 3:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Brazos, Burleson, Colorado, Fort Bend and 11 more119 min
Jun 17, 7:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Austin, Brazoria, Brazos, Burleson and 50 more2 hr
Jun 17, 5:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Franklin, Hopkins, Hunt, Lamar, Rains and 4 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.