Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Shreveport, LA

January 3, 2015Webster Parish, Louisiana; Columbia County, Arkansas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this river flood warning at Jan 3, 2015, 9:14 AM CST for Webster Parish, Louisiana; Columbia County, Arkansas. It took effect at Jan 3, 2015, 1:16 PM CST. It was in force for 11 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jan 3, 2015, 9:14 AM CST (15:14 UTC)
In effect from: Jan 3, 2015, 1:16 PM CST
Expired: Jan 14, 2015, 9:00 AM CST
In force: 11 days
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Columbia County, AR, Webster Parish, LA

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Bayou Dorcheat near Springhill (SPHL1).

Action stage: 10.5 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 18 ft
Major stage: 21 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07348700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

133 
WGUS44 KSHV 031514
FLWSHV


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
914 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

ARC027-LAC119-041514-
/O.NEW.KSHV.FL.W.0004.150103T2230Z-150108T1800Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T2230Z.150106T0000Z.150108T0000Z.NO/
914 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.1 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

12 follow-up statements

550 
WGUS84 KSHV 031917
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
117 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

ARC027-LAC119-041917-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.150103T1916Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150106T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
117 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL LOUISIANA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 100 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

642 
WGUS84 KSHV 041608
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1008 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

ARC027-LAC119-051608-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150106T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1008 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL LOUISIANA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 900 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

934 
WGUS84 KSHV 051657
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1057 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015

ARC027-LAC119-061657-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150105T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

473 
WGUS84 KSHV 061825
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1225 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2015

ARC027-LAC119-071825-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150106T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1225 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 13.0 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

578 
WGUS84 KSHV 071627
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1027 AM CST WED JAN 7 2015

ARC027-LAC119-081627-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1027 AM CST WED JAN 7 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES REMAIN POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

693 
WGUS84 KSHV 081842
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1242 PM CST THU JAN 8 2015

ARC027-LAC119-091842-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1242 PM CST THU JAN 8 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 13.0 FEET 
  BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

518 
WGUS84 KSHV 100120
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
720 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2015

ARC027-LAC119-110120-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150112T0900Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T2200Z.150111T1500Z.NO/
720 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

200 
WGUS84 KSHV 101805
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1205 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2015

ARC027-LAC119-111805-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150113T0900Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T2200Z.150112T1500Z.NO/
1205 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

855 
WGUS84 KSHV 111443
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
843 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2015

TXC347-401-405-419-111513-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-150111T1800Z/
/ATBT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.150109T0500Z.150111T0700Z.NO/
843 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ATTOYAC BAYOU NEAR CHIRENO.
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  1:00 AM SUNDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.4 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...EXPECT LOWLAND FLOODING FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
  DAYS OF THE HEAVILY WOODED FLOODPLAIN. RANCHERS THAT HAVE CATTLE 
  AND EQUIPMENT NEAR THE RIVER SHOULD MOVE THEM TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3142 9432 3191 9451 3192 9447 3157 9429 3150 9430

$$

ARC027-LAC119-121443-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150114T1500Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T2200Z.150113T2100Z.NO/
843 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OF BOAT RAMPS. MOVE 
  LIVESTOCK TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

LAC021-043-059-127-121001-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150112T1001Z/
/RHLL1.1.ER.150108T1815Z.150110T0745Z.150111T1601Z.NO/
843 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE RIVER OF LOUISIANA NEAR ROCHELLE.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WITH SOME 
  CAMPS AND RECREATIONAL AREAS FACING FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 9234 3149 9218 3149 9225 3161 9240 3179 9239

$$

729 
WGUS84 KSHV 111444
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
844 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2015

ARC027-LAC119-121444-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150114T1500Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T2200Z.150113T2100Z.NO/
844 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

212 
WGUS84 KSHV 121642
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1042 AM CST MON JAN 12 2015

ARC027-LAC119-131642-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150114T2100Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T2200Z.150114T0300Z.NO/
1042 AM CST MON JAN 12 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

164 
WGUS84 KSHV 131559
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
959 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2015

ARC027-LAC119-141500-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150114T1500Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.150103T1800Z.150107T2200Z.150113T2100Z.NO/
959 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU DORCHEAT NEAR SPRINGHILL LOUISIANA.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 900 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE BAYOU WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...EXPECT MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 3, 6:24 AM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 3, 6:24 AM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
624 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12/03Z TAFS...WIDESPREAD SHWRS AND SOME EMBEDDED TSTMS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE TAF PERIOD FOR MOST OF
OUR AREA TERMINALS...GRADUALLY ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST LATER
TODAY AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION. LOW CLOUDS WILL
LAG BEHIND THE FRONT SO MVFR/IFR CIGS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AT OUR ERN TAF
SITES. VSBYS WILL ALSO REMAIN IN FLUX WITH THE RAINFALL AND
RESULTING BR...GENERALLY IN THE MVFR RANGE BUT CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME IFR PERIODS WITH HEAVIER RAINFALL. WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY
VARIABLE AVERAGING AROUND 10 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN CONVECTION
AND EXPECT VEERING TO A SW DIRECTION LATER THIS MORNING AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT...EVENTUALLY BECOMING W AND THEN NW TOWARD THE END
OF THE PERIOD AS THE FRONT ADVANCES EWRD WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING
TO VFR AROUND 04/00Z AND SHORTLY THEREAFTER AT ELD/MLU. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 549 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SORRY FOR THE LATE PRODUCTS...AS SOME OF THESE STORMS DECIDED TO
GO ROGUE ON US THIS MORNING AS THE STORMS ROLLED INTO SHV/DEEP E
TX/WCNTRL LA. BUT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE STORMS/GUSTY WINDS HAVE
ACCELERATED E QUICKLY ACROSS NCNTRL LA AS OF 11Z...MUCH FASTER
THAN THE 00Z NAM/GFS. THE HRRR HAS INITIALIZED ON THIS WELL...AS
HAVE HAD TO MAKE A COUPLE OF ADDITIONAL CHANGES TO THE TEMPS TODAY
AS THIS SHALLOW/COLDER AIR QUICKLY OVERTAKES THE WARM SECTOR
ACROSS NCNTRL LA. EARLIER THIS MORNING AS OF 06Z...THERE WAS A SFC
LOW IN VC OF LFK...BUT THIS HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED AS THE
CONVECTION ACCELERATED E...WITH WHAT LIMITED OF A SVR THREAT
DIMINISHES FURTHER THIS MORNING AS THIS SFC TROUGH QUICKLY SPREADS
E TOWARDS THE MS RIVER. WILL STILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS EXTREME ERN
TX/N LA/SCNTRL AR...WHERE WIDESPREAD 3-5+ INCHES OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN IN THE LAST WEEK...AND PW/S ARE FORECAST TO APPROACH NEAR
RECORD VALUES FOR JANUARY /PER CLIMATOLOGY/. BELIEVE THAT THE
HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL DIMINISH AFTER 18Z AS THE STRONGER
STORMS EXIT THE AREA...BUT WILL ALLOW THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD
WATCH TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 22Z.

SHOULD SEE THE STRATOCU LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH
SOME BREAKS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER IN THE DAY ACROSS E TX...WHICH
WOULD RESULT IN A LITTLE BETTER WARMING THAN AREAS FARTHER N AND
E. GIVEN THE FASTER MOVEMENT OF THE SFC TROUGH THIS MORNING...HAVE
ALSO TRIMMED BACK MAX TEMPS OVER EXTREME NW LA...WITH MAX TEMPS
FARTHER E ACROSS NCNTRL LA OCCURRING BY DAYBREAK WITH TEMPS
FALLING DURING THE DAY.

THE SHORT TERM PROGS ARE STILL IN AGREEMENT WITH OUR ARCTIC FRONT
MOVING INTO THE REGION AFTER 06Z...DEEPENING LATE THROUGH SUNDAY
AS A 1040MB SFC RIDGE BUILDS E ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. SHOULD
SEE THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE NEW YEAR MONDAY MORNING...AS THE SKY
CLEARS AND WINDS DECOUPLE IN THE VERY COLD/DRY AIR MASS BUILDING
IN. A SECOND ARCTIC FRONT WILL QUICKLY BUILD SE INTO THE AREA
TUESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT LONGWAVE TO DIVE SE ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN
CONUS...WITH WHAT SHOULD BE THE COLDEST TEMPS SO FAR THIS WINTER
SEASON...WITH SE OK/NRN SECTIONS OF SW AR POSSIBLY FALLING INTO
THE TEENS...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION WELL INTO THE 20S.
HAVE KEPT THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED DRY GIVEN THE DRY NW FLOW
ALOFT...ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR -SHRA APPEARS TO INCREASE NEXT
WEEKEND AS A SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO OPEN UP AND SHIFT E ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS...RESULTING IN ENHANCED OVERRUNNING AS THE ARCTIC AIR
MASS BEGINS TO MODIFY.

PRELIMS TO FOLLOW BELOW...

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  39  46  27  46 / 100   0   0   0   0
MLU  66  42  49  28  46 / 100  20   0   0   0
DEQ  51  32  40  21  41 /  70  10   0   0   0
TXK  53  37  41  23  42 /  90  10   0   0   0
ELD  57  39  46  24  43 / 100  10   0   0   0
TYR  53  34  44  25  45 /  50   0   0   0   0
GGG  53  37  44  25  45 /  90   0   0   0   0
LFK  57  37  50  27  48 / 100   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ072-073.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022.

OK...NONE.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ151>153-165>167.

&&

19

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 3, 6:07 AM CST, 3 hours 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
607 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-031800-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
607 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION THIS MORNING...BUT WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST BY MID
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS...NORTH
LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS...WHERE GROUNDS ARE
SATURATED FROM WIDESPREAD RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN OVER THE LAST WEEK.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE LIKELY
TODAY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW
LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE FLOOD THREAT WILL DIMINISH BY
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGER...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND AMATEUR
RADIO OPERATORS...MAY BE NEEDED TODAY OVER DEEP EAST TEXAS...NORTH
LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...FOR ANY HEAVY RAINFALL OR
FLOODING REPORTS.

15

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 3, 6:41 AM CST, 2 hours 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
641 AM CST SAT JAN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CAMPTI                  31.90N  93.11W
01/03/2015                   NATCHITOCHES       LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 71 AND
            HIGHWAY 9 IN CAMPTI.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1500010

15

Local storm report, Jan 3, 6:47 AM CST, 2 hours 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
647 AM CST SAT JAN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE ATLANTA            31.82N  92.72W
01/03/2015                   WINN               LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ONE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAT 1228 OFF OF HIGHWAY
            34.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1500011

15

Local storm report, Jan 3, 6:49 AM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
649 AM CST SAT JAN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SIKES                   32.08N  92.49W
01/03/2015                   WINN               LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 TREES BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 126 IN SIKES. THE ROOF
            WAS ALSO BLOWN OFF OF A CARPORT IN SIKES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1500012

15

Local storm report, Jan 3, 7:05 AM CST, 2 hours 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
705 AM CST SAT JAN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SHREVEPORT              32.47N  93.80W
01/03/2015                   CADDO              LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG COOPER ROAD IN NORTH
            SHREVEPORT. POWER LINES WERE ALSO REPORTED DOWN AT OTHER
            VARIOUS LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT SHREVEPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1500013

15

Local storm report, Jan 3, 7:10 AM CST, 2 hours 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
710 AM CST SAT JAN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MANSFIELD               32.03N  93.70W
01/03/2015                   DE SOTO            LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE CENTRAL
            AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE PARISH...BETWEEN MANSFIELD AND
            STONEWALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1500014

15

Local storm report, Jan 3, 7:45 AM CST, 1 hour 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
745 AM CST SAT JAN 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SW SHREVEPORT         32.42N  93.86W
01/03/2015                   CADDO              LA   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN ON COLQUITT ROAD JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE
            SHREVEPORT CITY LIMITS...NEAR THE DERRICK AND WOOLWORTH
            ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1500015

15

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 3, 1:27 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SHV	De Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine	2 hr
Jan 3, 3:07 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SHV	Bossier, Caddo	113 min
Jan 3, 3:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Sabine	45 min
Jan 3, 3:19 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Natchitoches and 2 more	41 min
Jan 3, 4:15 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Grant, Natchitoches, Sabine, Winn	45 min
Jan 3, 4:19 AM CST	Tornado Warning	SHV	Natchitoches	26 min
Jan 3, 4:59 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Caldwell, Grant, Jackson, LaSalle, Ouachita, Winn	46 min
Jan 2, 11:16 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	SHV	Little River, Sevier	4 hr
Jan 3, 3:02 AM CST	Areal Flood Advisory	SHV	Howard, Little River, Sevier	118 min
Jan 3, 3:39 PM CST	Lake Wind Advisory	SHV	Howard, Little River, Sevier	20 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2015 River Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.