Severe Thunderstorm Warning 203, NWS Springfield, MO

252 
WWUS53 KSGF 141407
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
907 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

KSC011-037-141445-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-150714T1445Z/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-
907 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
CRAWFORD AND BOURBON COUNTIES UNTIL 945 AM CDT...

AT 906 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF BRONSON TO WALNUT...AND MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS. THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF 
PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE IN ALLEN AND WOODSON COUNTIES.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ARCADIA...ARMA...BRAZILTON...BRONSON...CROWEBURG...DEVON...
ENGLEVALE...FARLINGTON...FORT SCOTT...FRANKLIN...FRONTENAC...
FULTON...GARLAND...GIRARD...HAMMOND...HARDING...HEPLER...
HIATTVILLE...MAPLETON...MARMATON...MULBERRY...PAWNEE STATION...
PETERSBURG...POLK...PORTERVILLE...REDFIELD...RINGO...UNIONTOWN...
WALNUT...XENIA AND YALE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3757 9510 3781 9510 3788 9508 3804 9509
      3805 9508 3805 9464 3804 9462 3743 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1407Z 278DEG 28KT 3798 9504 3765 9512

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

BOXELL

865 
WWUS53 KSGF 141431
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
931 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

KSC011-037-141445-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0203.000000T0000Z-150714T1445Z/
BOURBON KS-CRAWFORD KS-
931 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
CRAWFORD AND BOURBON COUNTIES UNTIL 945 AM CDT...

AT 930 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM FULTON TO 9 MILES EAST OF HEPLER...AND MOVING EAST AT
45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRONSON...DEVON...FORT SCOTT...FULTON...HAMMOND...HARDING...HEPLER...
HIATTVILLE...MAPLETON...MARMATON...PAWNEE STATION...PETERSBURG...
PORTERVILLE...REDFIELD...UNIONTOWN AND XENIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3761 9463 3766 9510 3781 9510 3788 9508
      3804 9509 3805 9508 3805 9464 3804 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1431Z 276DEG 37KT 3795 9472 3762 9481

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

BOXELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
545 AM CDT Tue Jul 14 2015

...Update to Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 250 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

A very warm and muggy night was in progress across the Ozarks and
Osage Plains early this Tuesday morning with temperatures in the
upper 70s to lower 80s. The isolated convection that developed
across central Missouri along a weak boundary Monday evening
dissipated before arriving to the Ozarks and another cluster or
storms was ongoing in central Kansas.

Another hot and humid day is in store. The weak boundary will sag
southward into the area later today and tonight in response to the
shortwave trough tracking into the northeastern U.S. Meanwhile the
upper ridge will hold strong over our region and even begin to
expand northward.

Expect afternoon high temperatures will be quite similar to the
past couple of days with readings in the lower to middle 90s.
Surface dewpoints will again range in the lower to middle 70s.
Dewpoints could a bit higher into the upper 70s at some locations today
as result of moisture pooling ahead and along the sagging
boundary.

Forecast heat indicies will climb into the 101 to 109 range area
wide with the highest readings across the Osage Plains from
southeastern Kansas into west central Missouri. Heat index values
will be a bit lower across the eastern Ozarks.

With heat index values forecast to approach or reach 105 on
consecutive days the Heat Advisory will be expanded across the
remainder of the Missouri Ozarks for today.

Intense surface heating will result in strong instability today.
However the lack of forcing and warm mid level temperatures will
be an inhibiting factor for convective development. However with
that said an isolated storm cannot be ruled out mainly across
central Missouri.

The weak boundary will sag farther southward into the area
tonight. We will have to monitor the potential for some convective
development tonight along the boundary but that prospect looks low
at this time due to a modest low level jet at best.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

Seasonably hot and humid weather will be the story heading through
the remainder of the week and into the weekend as our area remains
under the influence of the subtropical ridge.

The weak boundary or axis of surface convergence will be oriented
northwest to southeast across the area Wednesday. This along with
a weak perturbation tracking along the northern periphery of the
ridge may be enough to spark isolated convection Wednesday
afternoon into Wednesday night mainly across the eastern Ozarks.

For the most part the weather looks dry into the weekend outside
of a stray shower or thunderstorm with the next front and
legitimate chance of rain arriving early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 543 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS: Storms are currently located
across central Kansas early this morning. These storms may hold
together into west central Missouri later this morning, but are
generally expected to remain north of the TAF sites. An isolated
storm affecting a TAF site is not totally out of the questions,
but confidence in this occurring is very low and did not mention
any convection in the TAFS.

Otherwise, mid to high level clouds will spread across the TAF
sites this morning into early this afternoon. Skies will then clear
later this afternoon into this evening. Winds will be out of the
southwest today becoming light and variable overnight.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...HEAT ADVISORY until 9 PM CDT this evening FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...HEAT ADVISORY until 9 PM CDT this evening FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Wise

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
354 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-150900-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
354 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP TODAY AND TONIGHT. FREQUENT
  CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO
  AROUND 50 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS IN THE STRONGEST
  STORMS.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 102 TO 109 DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
  OZARKS.

  THE NEXT CHANCE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER