Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 94, NWS Springfield, MO

November 17, 2015Phelps County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at Nov 17, 2015, 7:24 PM CST for Phelps County, Missouri. It took effect at Nov 18, 2015, 5:29 AM CST. It was in force for 41 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2015, 7:24 PM CST (01:24 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 18, 2015, 5:29 AM CST
Expired
Nov 19, 2015, 10:00 PM CST
In force
41 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Phelps County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Gasconade River at Jerome (JRMM7).

Action stage
13 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06933500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

710 
WGUS43 KSGF 180124
FLWSGF

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
724 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County.
   
.Heavy rainfall across the region over the past 36 to 48 hours has
caused river levels to rise. Interests along the Gasconade River
are urged to pay close attention to river levels and be ready to
move to higher ground if flooding is observed. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Those with property and livestock along the river should continue to 
monitor river conditions.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC161-181324-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0094.151118T1129Z-151120T0400Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.151118T1129Z.151118T1800Z.151119T0400Z.UU/
724 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

* From 11/18 05:29...until further notice.
...For the Gasconade River at Jerome...
* At 11/17 18:45 The stage was 5.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Wednesday
  and continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by noon Wednesday. The river will 
  fall below flood stage Wednesday Evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15   5.7 Tue 07 PM  14.0  12.8   5.7


&&

LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

$$

Frye
7 follow-up statements
952 
WGUS83 KSGF 180330
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
930 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Big Piney below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Jacks Fork at Alley Spring affecting Shannon County 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
  Spring River at Carthage affecting Jasper County 
  Jacks Fork River at Eminence affecting Shannon County 
  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County 
   
.Heavy rain has fallen across the eastern Ozarks over the past 
36 to 48 hours. The recent heavy rainfall will cause river levels 
to rise above flood stage. Interests along these Rivers are
urged to pay close attention to river levels and be ready to move
to higher ground if flooding is observed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-181830-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-151119T1115Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.151118T0412Z.151118T1200Z.151119T0515Z.NO/
930 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...For the Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday The stage was 6.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 12.0 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by tomorrow late evening.

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8   6.4 Tue 09 PM   6.4   3.7   2.6


&&

LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211
 
$$

MOC203-181829-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0093.151118T0545Z-151119T0913Z/
/ALYM7.1.ER.151118T0545Z.151118T1800Z.151119T0313Z.NO/
930 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...For the Jacks Fork at Alley Spring...
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday The stage was 3.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 11.7 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.  The river will fall
  below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins at the gage site.  
  Water inundates the entire picnic area one quarter mile downstream 
  from the gage site.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Jacks Fork River Basin
  Alley Spring      9   3.6 Tue 08 PM   5.4   3.4   2.9


&&


LAT...LON 3717 9150 3711 9152 3710 9150 3711 9140
      3717 9139                       
 

$$

MOC203-181829-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0095.151118T1800Z-151120T0000Z/
/EMCM7.1.ER.151118T1800Z.151118T1800Z.151119T0000Z.NO/
930 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...For the The Jacks Fork River at Eminence...
 * At  8:30 PM Tuesday The stage was 4.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs near the gage site. 
  Low lying areas including the Rivers Edge Lodge and canoe rental 
  locations in Eminence are flooded. 

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Jacks Fork River Basin
  Eminence         12   4.8 Tue 08 PM   7.2   4.7   4.4


&&


LAT...LON 3717 9127 3711 9126 3711 9140 3717 9139


$$

MOC161-181829-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0094.151118T1129Z-151120T0400Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.151118T1129Z.151118T1800Z.151119T0400Z.UU/
930 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...For the The Gasconade River at Jerome...
 * At  8:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 6.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 16.0 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.  The river will
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15   6.9 Tue 09 PM  14.0  12.8   5.7

&&


LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

$$

MOC039-181829-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0091.151118T1415Z-151119T2043Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.151118T1415Z.151118T1800Z.151118T2043Z.NO/
930 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 10.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 16.5 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor Flooding occurs at the gage site.  The
  campground at Caplinger Mills floods.

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  10.5 Tue 09 PM  11.6   7.1   5.4

&&

LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

$$

MOC097-181829-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0092.151118T0550Z-151120T1307Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.151118T0550Z.151118T1800Z.151119T1307Z.NO/
930 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...For the Spring River at Carthage...
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday The stage was 8.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 13.0 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.  The river will fall
  below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flooding occurs at the gage site. 
  The levee system closes due to flood waters affecting the north 
  central industrial section of Carthage. Flood waters affect low 
  lying areas and country roads north and west of Carthage along the 
  river. Kellogg Lake Park floods and is closed.

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri

Spring River Basin
  Carthage         10   8.1 Tue 09 PM  10.3   5.2   3.9


&&


LAT...LON 3720 9436 3720 9406 3714 9406 3714 9437

$$

Frye
947 
WGUS83 KSGF 181139
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015



 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  
  Jacks Fork River at Eminence affecting Shannon County 
  
  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County 
  
  Spring River at Carthage affecting Jasper County 

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Jacks Fork at Alley Spring affecting Shannon County 
  
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
   
.Heavy rainfall that fell over the last few days is resulting
in widespread river flooding across the region.  Hunters, 
campers, and others traveling or working near area 
rivers should be alert for rising flood waters. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC203-190239-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-151119T1432Z/
/ALYM7.2.ER.151118T0715Z.151118T1800Z.151119T0832Z.NO/
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the The Jacks Fork at Alley Spring...
 * At  5:01 AM Wednesday The stage was 13.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet by this
  afternoon.  The river will fall below flood stage around midnight.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Major flooding occurs at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Jacks Fork River Basin
  Alley Spring      9  13.2 Wed 05 AM   7.5   4.1   4.0


&&


LAT...LON 3717 9150 3711 9152 3710 9150 3711 9140
      3717 9139                       
 

$$

MOC203-190239-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0095.151118T1140Z-151120T0633Z/
/EMCM7.1.ER.151118T1140Z.151118T1800Z.151119T0633Z.NO/
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the Jacks Fork River at Eminence...
* At  4:30 AM Wednesday The stage was 9.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by this afternoon.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by around midnight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding occurs at and near the 
  gage site.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Jacks Fork River Basin
  Eminence         12   9.5 Wed 04 AM   8.1   2.2   1.5


&&


LAT...LON 3717 9127 3711 9126 3711 9140 3717 9139

 

$$

MOC169-190239-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-151119T0900Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.151118T0642Z.151118T1200Z.151119T0300Z.NO/
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  5:30 AM Wednesday The stage was 9.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by this
  morning.  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Flood waters affect the lower TA 250 
  Training Area.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8   9.8 Wed 05 AM   5.9   3.5   2.6


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC161-190239-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-151120T0600Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.151118T2254Z.151119T0000Z.151119T0600Z.UU/
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the Gasconade River at Jerome...
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 10.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 15.2 feet by this evening.  The river will
  fall below flood stage by around midnight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15  10.3 Wed 05 AM  14.9   9.6   4.5


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

 

$$

MOC039-190239-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0091.151118T1415Z-151119T2043Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.151118T1415Z.151118T1800Z.151118T2043Z.NO/
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the The Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
 * At  4:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 15.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 16.5 feet by this afternoon.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor Flooding occurs at the gage site.  The
  campground at Caplinger Mills floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  15.4 Wed 05 AM  11.6   7.1   5.4


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$

MOC097-190238-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-151120T0215Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.151118T1131Z.151118T1800Z.151119T0215Z.NO/
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the Spring River at Carthage...
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 9.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 10.4 feet by this afternoon.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs at the gage site. 
  Flood waters impact State Highway 37 east of Carthage between 
  Avilla and Reeds.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Spring River Basin
  Carthage         10   9.7 Wed 05 AM   8.4   4.9   3.8


&&


LAT...LON 3720 9436 3720 9406 3714 9406 3714 9437

 

$$
956 
WGUS83 KSGF 181418
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
818 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County 
   
.Heavy rainfall that occured across the area the last few days will 
cause river levels to rise above flood stage. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-190518-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-151119T1800Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.151118T0642Z.151119T0000Z.151119T1200Z.NO/
818 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday The stage was 10.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.0 feet by this
  evening.  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Flood waters affect the lower TA 250 
  Training Area.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8  10.4 Wed 08 AM   8.0   4.2   2.8


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC161-190518-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-151120T1000Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.151119T0454Z.151119T0600Z.151119T1000Z.UU/
818 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the Gasconade River at Jerome...
* At  7:45 AM Wednesday The stage was 10.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 15.2 feet by around midnight.  The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15  10.8 Wed 08 AM  14.9   9.7   4.9


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

 

$$
685 
WGUS83 KSGF 182154
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
354 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
   Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County 
 
   Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
   County 
   
.River levels continue to rise due to heavy rainfall from Tuesday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-191254-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-151119T2133Z/
/BIGM7.1.ER.151118T0642Z.151119T0600Z.151119T1533Z.NO/
354 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the The Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  3:00 PM Wednesday The stage was 12.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.5 feet by 
  around midnight.  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  late morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water at the lower TA 250 Training Ground is
  two feet deep.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8  12.2 Wed 03 PM   9.6   4.3   2.9


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC161-191254-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-151120T2120Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.151119T0930Z.151119T1200Z.151119T2120Z.UU/
354 PM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...For the Gasconade River at Jerome...
* At  2:45 PM Wednesday The stage was 11.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 15.5 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15  11.2 Wed 03 PM  15.5  11.0   5.1


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

 

$$
503 
WGUS83 KSGF 191421
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
821 AM CST THU NOV 19 2015

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate affecting Pulaski 
  County 
  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County 
   
.Heavy rainfall that occurred recently will cause river levels to 
rise above or remain in flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC169-200338-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-151120T0338Z/
/BIGM7.2.ER.151118T0642Z.151119T0745Z.151119T2138Z.NO/
821 AM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...For the Big Piney  below Fort Leonard Wood East Gate...
* At  8:00 AM Thursday The stage was 12.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water at the lower TA 250 Training Ground is
  two feet deep.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Big Piney River
  Fort Leonard Wo   8  12.5 Thu 08 AM   4.6   3.0   2.5


&&


LAT...LON 3784 9218 3787 9206 3763 9203 3764 9211

 

$$

MOC161-200521-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-151121T1814Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.151120T0224Z.151120T1200Z.151120T1814Z.UU/
821 AM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...For the Gasconade River at Jerome...
* At  7:45 AM Thursday The stage was 13.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 15.7 feet by tomorrow morning.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15  13.8 Thu 08 AM  15.7   9.3   4.3


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

 

$$
892 
WGUS83 KSGF 192230
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
430 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County 
   
.Heavy rain has fallen across the eastern Ozarks earlier this 
week. This recent heavy rainfall will cause river levels to 
rise above flood stage. Interests along the Gasconade are
urged to pay close attention to river levels and be ready to move
to higher ground if flooding is observed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC161-201330-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-151121T1825Z/
/JRMM7.1.ER.151119T2207Z.151120T0600Z.151120T1825Z.UU/
430 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

...For the Gasconade River at Jerome...
* At  3:45 PM Thursday The stage was 14.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by around midnight.  The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding begins near the gage site. 
  Flood waters reach the lower edge of the concrete building where 
  the gage equipment is located. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15  14.9 Thu 04 PM  15.9   8.9   4.3


&&


LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202

 

$$

Frye
566 
WGUS83 KSGF 200244
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
844 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Gasconade River at Jerome affecting Phelps County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC161-200314-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-151121T1825Z/
/JRMM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
844 PM CST THU NOV 19 2015

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for  The Gasconade River at 
Jerome.* At  7:45 PM Thursday The stage was 14.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river crested at the flood stage of 15.0 feet. The 
  river will fall to 7.5 feet by .

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 6 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun

Gasconade River Basin
  Jerome           15  14.2 Thu 08 PM   7.5   3.8   3.0

&&

LAT...LON 3800 9199 3800 9195 3790 9196 3792 9202


$$

Frye

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 17, 5:39 PM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 5:39 PM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
539 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 0252 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

Water vapor imagery showing well defined upper level low over the
panhandle of Oklahoma, with dry slot pushing into eastern Oklahoma
and eastern Kansas. This low will continue to lift northeast into
Kansas tonight. The associated dry slot will continue to spread east
across the area this evening. Will continue to see Moderate to heavy
rainfall early this evening, mainly east of the highway 65 corridor.
All the short term models depict the heaviest rainfall to shift
eastward through the evening hours and out of the eastern Ozarks by
midnight tonight. Thus will hold onto much of the flash flood
watch, but will likely be trimming this back in the next few
hours as back edge moves eastward.

As the surface low lifts into Iowa late tonight into Wednesday
morning a weak surface trough progresses from Kansas into Missouri.
cannot rule out shower chances through at least the morning hours
Wednesday as moisture wraps around the low, but models consistent
in keeping this north of the area, so went with only 14 percent
probabilities. We should finally see improvement as high pressure
begins to build westward into the region which will continue into
Wednesday night. Thus expect a decrease in clouds from southwest to
northeast beginning later Wednesday afternoon with mostly clear
skies by Wednesday night. Pressure gradient remains rather tight and
will likely see southwesterly winds gusting over 30 mph Wednesday
afternoon, especially in areas west of Interstate 49, which will
diminish Wednesday evening.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 0252 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

Significantly colder temperatures main story for the weekend.

Surface high pressure will traverse the area Thursday and Thursday
night for a quiet period. Then attention turns to a developing
trough across the Plains on Friday that induces cyclogenesis over
eastern Colorado. This low then pushes eastward through central
Missouri late Friday and into Illinois Friday night dragging a
strong cold front through southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks.
Forecast area will remain on the warm side initially with some
showers Friday into Friday evening and 850mb temperatures of +2 to +6
Celsius. 850mb temperatures crash behind the front late Friday night
to -6 Celsius across central Missouri. Models not showing much QPF
at that time, but if anything does form would likely be the first
snow flakes of the season. The cold air continues to spread in
Saturday as high pressure builds into the region. Highs will likely
not get much above 40 degrees Saturday and Sunday with lows in the
20s. Medium range models then diverge for late in the weekend as the
GFS has another quick system dropping southeast of the northern
Plains with a swath of precipitation across the central and eastern
areas of the Missouri. However, ECMWF keep surface high pressure
over the area for quiet weather. Warmer air then filters back into
the region on Monday and Tuesday with quiet weather expected.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 538 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

Rainfall will continue to slowly but steadily exit to the east
with the last of the lingering showers exiting the SGF/BBG
aerodromes during the next hour or two. The challenge then becomes
ceilings as a dry slot works in this evening, but is overtaken by
wrap around moisture overnight. There will be a break in the
stratus from the middle of this evening into the overnight hours.
As this storm system begins to accelerate northeast, wrap around
moisture will build toward the JLN aerodrome by 06z then spread
east with time into SGF/BBG during the overnight hours. Guidance
is all over the place with this. Extrapolating the current cloud
deck and utilizing SREF probabilities and low level model RH, a
period of MVFR ceilings appears to be a good bet heading into
Wednesday morning. Progressive clearing is expected from west to
east during the afternoon.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until midnight CST tonight for MOZ056>058-
     069>071-080>083-091-092-095>098-104>106.

KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Gagan
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 17, 6:52 PM CST, 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
652 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-190100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
652 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAINFALL...WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
  THUNDERSTORMS...WILL SLOWLY END FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
  EASTERN OZARKS THIS EVENING. THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH THE
  HEAVY RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED ACROSS THE AREA WILL
  CONTINUE THE RISK FOR FLOODING OF STREAMS...CREEKS...AND LOW
  WATER CROSSINGS THE REMINDER TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  RESIDUAL FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS
  AND MAIN STEM RIVERS MAY PERSIST INTO AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

  BRISK AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH CAN
  BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 17, 5:41 PM CST, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
541 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     FLOOD            5 SW ROLLA              37.90N 91.84W
11/17/2015                   PHELPS             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE CC WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT BEAVER CREEK.

&&

MGRIFFIN
Local storm report, Nov 17, 5:42 PM CST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
542 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     FLOOD            2 NW DOOLITTLE          37.96N 91.91W
11/17/2015                   PHELPS             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE C WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NEAR COUNTY ROAD 8260.

&&

MGRIFFIN
Local storm report, Nov 17, 5:43 PM CST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
543 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0543 PM     FLOOD            3 NW ROLLA              37.98N 91.81W
11/17/2015                   PHELPS             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE Y WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD
            8240.

&&

MGRIFFIN
Local storm report, Nov 17, 5:49 PM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
549 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     HEAVY RAIN       AVA                     36.95N 92.66W
11/17/2015  M5.70 INCH       DOUGLAS            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5.70 INCHES WAS MEASURED AT AVA.

&&

MGRIFFIN
Local storm report, Nov 17, 5:53 PM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
553 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HORTON                  37.97N 94.36W
11/17/2015  M3.91 INCH       VERNON             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            OBSERVER HAD A STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3.91 INCHES
            MEASURED.

&&

MGRIFFIN
Local storm report, Nov 17, 6:08 PM CST, 1 hour 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
608 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0549 PM     FLOOD            4 SSE FORDLAND          37.10N 92.91W
11/17/2015                   WEBSTER            MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE Z WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT FINLEY CREEK.

&&

MGRIFFIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 6:40 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningSGFHowell15 hr
Nov 17, 6:44 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningSGFShannon25 hr
Nov 17, 8:56 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningSGFBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Dade and 12 more12 hr
Nov 17, 8:58 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningSGFShannon45 hr
Nov 18, 8:54 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningSGFCamden, Dent, Douglas, Howell, Laclede, Maries and 10 more12 hr
Nov 18, 9:02 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFBarry, Jasper, Lawrence, Newton12 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.