Flash Flood Warning 88, NWS Springfield, MO

959 
WGUS73 KSGF 172307
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
607 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

MOC043-180115-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150818T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHRISTIAN MO-
607 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY...

AT 606 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT UP TO TWO INCHES OF 
RAIN FELL IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME FROM PREVIOUS THUNDERSTORMS 
EARLIER THIS EVENING.  FLOODING IS LIKELY ONGOING IN RURAL AREAS 
BETWEEN LINDEN AND OZARK. 

CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
SPARTA...LINDEN... BRUNER...                         

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...
AND ROUTE U AT PEDELO CREEK NORTHEAST OF SPARTA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN.  DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.  IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES
OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3698 9305 3698 9311 3700 9315 3705 9319
      3707 9317 3709 9307 3708 9298 3703 9294
      3700 9296

$$

CRAMER

231 
WGUS73 KSGF 180006
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
706 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

MOC043-180016-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150818T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHRISTIAN MO-
706 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD
CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3698 9305 3698 9311 3700 9315 3705 9319
      3707 9317 3709 9307 3708 9298 3703 9294
      3700 9296

$$

CRAMER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
314 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 0314 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

Scattered showers and thunderstorms were occurring this afternoon
across the area. WV imagery shows slightly better mid level
moisture moving in from the west. These storms should remain
sub severe as wind fields remain weak. A weak shortwave trough
moving across northern Kansas and Nebraska is likely aiding in
this activity and will likely continue through the evening hours
before dying off with loss of instability. Overnight conditions
should remain relatively quiet with warmer overnight lows than
previous nights as dewpoints creep up toward 70.

Changes in the weather begin Tuesday as a strong upper level
system over South Dakota and Nebraska takes shape. Several pieces
of energy look to rotate around this feature making for a
difficult forecast. One lobe of energy moves out of Kansas into
the area during the afternoon hours. This looks to potentially
trigger some severe convection as instability looks sufficient and
0-6km wind shear values increase to 30 to 40 kts. At this time the
most favorable area for severe thunderstorms appears to be for
areas along and northwest of I44 closer to the better upper level
support. There is some uncertainty in the development of
convection tomorrow afternoon/evening as mesoscale features will
come into play. Temperatures will remain mild in the 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 0314 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

Additional convection is possible overnight Tuesday night as a
cold front enters the region from the northwest. This activity
would likely come in after midnight Wednesday morning. Wind fields
will be more favorable however instability will be waning. Cold
frontal passage looks to occur around sunrise Wednesday. Wednesday
looks to be a cool and wet day as post frontal showers are likely
keeping temperatures well below normal. Showers look to end from
west to east Wednesday afternoon.

Upper level flow becomes westerly Thursday and Friday behind the
current system. Thursday looks dry and very comfortable. Models
are not consistent in the handling of the Friday-Sunday
timeframe. GFS wants to keep Friday wet with the approach of a
shortwave and the return of the front from the south...while the
Euro keeps all precip south of the area until Saturday. Safe to
say an low confidence forecast on precipitation from Friday
onward. Temperatures do look seasonable.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

Mostly VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF period.
Wind directions will shift to a more SW direction then once
again take on a more SSE component overnight. Generally, winds
should stay at or below 10kt. There is a shot at some widely
scattered showers and perhaps a TS this evening near the SGF and
BBG terminals. Might also see a shower or two near JLN toward the
end of the period. Used VCs to highlight this potential.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Frye

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
340 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-182045-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
340 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND
  SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STORMS. SEVERE WEATHER
  IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
  THE THE AREA WITH THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE.
  IF THESE STORMS DO FORM...THEY COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE
  HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
  OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE APPROACH OF A COLD
  FRONT. HIGHEST CHANCES AND BEST CONFIDENCE IN SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS IS ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

  THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FROM FRIDAY INTO
  THE WEEKEND HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN COVERAGE OF THESE
  STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

BURCHFIELD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
331 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

MOZ093-172115-
NEWTON MO-
331 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEWTON COUNTY UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

AT 331 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM OVER NEOSHO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
NEOSHO...                         GRANBY...
DIAMOND...                        NEWTONIA...
WENTWORTH...                      STARK CITY...
RITCHEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

&&

LAT...LON 3676 9442 3689 9451 3705 9425 3705 9406
      3697 9406 3685 9407 3676 9430
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 238DEG 15KT 3686 9438

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
333 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0327 PM     HAIL             NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
08/17/2015  M0.88 INCH       NEWTON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO NICKLE SIZE HAIL ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. ESTIMATED
            WIND OF 15MPH.

&&

TOLSEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
344 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

MOZ094-102-172115-
BARRY MO-LAWRENCE MO-
344 PM CDT MON AUG 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BARRY AND SOUTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 344 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
MONETT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
MONETT...                         AURORA...
MARIONVILLE...                    PURDY...
VERONA...                         FREISTATT...
MADRY...                          PLEASANT RIDGE...
JENKINS...                        WHEELERVILLE...
MCDOWELL...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

&&

LAT...LON 3684 9399 3702 9390 3702 9361 3683 9361
      3682 9360 3674 9361 3672 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 224DEG 8KT 3687 9384

HATCH