Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2015

Wind Advisory 16, NWS Blacksburg, VA

November 17, 2015Grayson County, Smyth County, Tazewell County, Virginia; Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina; Greenbrier County, Mercer County, Summers County, West Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this wind advisory at Nov 17, 2015, 3:40 AM EST for Grayson County, Smyth County, Tazewell County, Virginia; Ashe County, Watauga County, North Carolina; Greenbrier County, Mercer County, Summers County, West Virginia. It took effect at Nov 17, 2015, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 28 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2015, 3:40 AM EST (08:40 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 17, 2015, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 18, 2015, 10:20 PM EST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA

Counties Ashe County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Grayson County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Summers County, WV

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2208 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

924 
WWUS71 KRNK 170840
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
340 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHILE A DEEP LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. A VERY TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE WIND SPEEDS
TO INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER RIDGES
WHERE DOWNSLOPE WINDFLOW WILL AMPLIFY WIND SPEEDS.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-171645-
/O.NEW.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.151117T2300Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
340 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
  THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE AND THE NORTH CAROLINA HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARDS...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...WIDELY SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER 
  OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
984 
WWUS71 KRNK 171532
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1032 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHILE A DEEP LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. A VERY
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE WIND
SPEEDS TO INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER
RIDGES WHERE DOWNSLOPE WINDFLOW WILL AMPLIFY WIND SPEEDS.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-172345-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.151117T2300Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
1032 AM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST WEST
  VIRGINIA...THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE AND THE NORTH CAROLINA HIGH
  COUNTRY.

* HAZARDS...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...WIDELY SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER 
  OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

&&

$$
357 
WWUS71 KRNK 172015
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
315 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHILE A DEEP LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. A VERY
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE WIND
SPEEDS TO INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER
RIDGES.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-180415-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.151117T2300Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
315 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...THE
  MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF
  THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE
  BORDER.

* HAZARDS...STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...WIDELY SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER 
  OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR WIND SPEEDS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV
OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. FOR ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

REPORTS ARE ALSO WELCOME ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER FEED
@NWSBLACKSBURG.

&&

$$

WP
350 
WWUS71 KRNK 180229
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
929 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG EASTERLY WINDS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHILE A DEEP
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. A
VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE
WIND SPEEDS TO INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS
TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER
RIDGES.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-181030-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
929 PM EST TUE NOV 17 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...THE 
  MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF 
  THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE 
  BORDER.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...EAST TO SOUTHEAST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES ARE
  POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR WIND SPEEDS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV
OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. FOR ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

REPORTS ARE ALSO WELCOME ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER FEED
@NWSBLACKSBURG.

&&

$$
694 
WWUS71 KRNK 180917
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
417 AM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE A DEEP LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. A VERY TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE WIND SPEEDS
TO INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER RIDGES.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-181730-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
417 AM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...THE 
  MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF 
  THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE 
  BORDER.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES 
  ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR WIND SPEEDS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV
OR AT PHONE NUMBER...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. FOR ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BLACKSBURG. REPORTS ARE ALSO WELCOME ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER FEED @NWSBLACKSBURG.

&&

$$
343 
WWUS71 KRNK 181521
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1021 AM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE A DEEP LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE WIND SPEEDS TO INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF
THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON
THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER RIDGES.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-182330-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
1021 AM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...THE 
  MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF 
  THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE 
  BORDER.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES 
  ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR WIND SPEEDS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV
OR AT PHONE NUMBER...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. FOR ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BLACKSBURG. REPORTS ARE ALSO WELCOME ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER FEED @NWSBLACKSBURG.

&&

$$
575 
WWUS71 KRNK 181959
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
259 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS THROUGH THIS EVENING...WHILE A DEEP LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE WIND SPEEDS TO INCREASE ALONG AND WEST OF
THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ON THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER RIDGES.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-190200-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
259 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...THE 
  MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF 
  THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE 
  BORDER.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES 
  ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR WIND SPEEDS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV
OR AT PHONE NUMBER...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. FOR ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BLACKSBURG. REPORTS ARE ALSO WELCOME ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER FEED @NWSBLACKSBURG.

&&

$$
650 
WWUS71 KRNK 182303
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
603 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS INTO TONIGHT...WHILE A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DRIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO
SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE STRONG WINDS TO PERSIST ALONG AND WEST OF THE
APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON THE
WEST SIDE OF HIGHER RIDGES AND NEAR GAPS ALONG SOUTHEAST FACING
SLOPES.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-190200-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151119T0200Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
603 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...THE 
  MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF 
  THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE 
  BORDER.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...INTO TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES 
  ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR WIND SPEEDS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV
OR AT PHONE NUMBER...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. FOR ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BLACKSBURG. REPORTS ARE ALSO WELCOME ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER FEED @NWSBLACKSBURG.

&&

$$
841 
WWUS71 KRNK 190119
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
819 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WEDGED AGAINST THE EASTERN FACE OF THE
APPALACHIANS INTO TONIGHT...WHILE A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DRIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE
TWO SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE STRONG WINDS TO PERSIST ALONG AND WEST OF
THE APPALACHIANS. GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
ON THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHER RIDGES AND NEAR GAPS ALONG SOUTHEAST
FACING SLOPES.

NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-190500-
/O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151119T0500Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
819 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SLOPES OF SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...THE 
  MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF 
  THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE TENNESSEE 
  BORDER.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG WINDS.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED DOWNED TREES AND SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES 
  ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH...OR WIND
GUSTS OF 46 TO 57 MPH...ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL
LIKELY CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES AND CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. UNFASTENED
ITEMS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE SHOULD BE MOVED
INDOORS.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR WIND SPEEDS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV
OR AT PHONE NUMBER...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. FOR ADDITIONAL
WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BLACKSBURG. REPORTS ARE ALSO WELCOME ON OUR
FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER FEED @NWSBLACKSBURG.

&&

$$
365 
WWUS71 KRNK 190320
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1020 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...WINDS DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT...


NCZ001-018-VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-043-508-190430-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151119T0500Z/
ASHE-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-SUMMERS-
WESTERN GREENBRIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...BOONE...TAZEWELL...
MARION...INDEPENDENCE...WHITETOP...TROUTDALE...VOLNEY...
BLUEFIELD...FLAT TOP...HINTON...HIX...QUINWOOD...DUO...RAINELLE
1020 PM EST WED NOV 18 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY.

WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO TURN MORE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
REGION OVERNIGHT. ALSO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OVER THE AREA SHOULD
CONTINUE TO LIMIT STRONGER WINDS FROM MIXING DOWN ALONG THE
RIDGES. THUS THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 16, 11:27 PM EST, 4 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 11:27 PM EST, 4 hours 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1127 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAKING WAY FOR INCREASING MOISTURE IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME AREAS
RECEIVING VERY GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN TO THE
REGION FOR THE START OF THE WEEKEND.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 830 PM EDT MONDAY...

RIDGING BOTH SURFACE AND ALOFT REMAINS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH
LINGERING DRY AIR IN PLACE PER DEWPOINTS AND LOW PWAT OFF THE RNK
SOUNDING. WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY EJECTING NORTHEAST FROM THE MAIN
UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE OVER THE
AMPLIFYING MID LEVEL RIDGE OVERNIGHT RESULTING IN INCREASING
MID/HIGH CLOUDS. HOWEVER EVENING SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY DRY AIR BELOW
6H WHICH SHOULD LIMIT ANY -RA/SPRINKLES TO THE WEST FROM ADVANCING
VERY FAR EAST. THUS WILL CONTINUE WITH THE DRY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDY
FORECAST OVERNIGHT OVERALL. GIVEN DRY DEWPOINTS AND ONLY THIN HIGH
CLOUDS AT TIMES...EXPECT LOW TEMPS MAY BE ABLE TO FALL CLOSER TO
THE COLDER MAV MOS IN THE VALLEYS AND OUT EAST...WHILE STAYING
MORE IN LINE WITH THE WARMER MET VALUES ESPCLY WESTERN RIDGES
WHERE CLOUDS SHOULD BE THICKER AT TIMES. THIS SUPPORTS INCLUDING A
FEW 30S IN THE VALLEYS AND ACROSS THE PIEDMONT BUT WARMER IN SPOTS
SUCH AS BLF AND ROA OVERNIGHT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION AS OF 230 PM EST MONDAY...

THE REGION WILL EXPERIENCE A TIME OF TRANSITION OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THE HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER FOR
THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...HAS BEEN CENTERED OVER EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY...AND WILL WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE REPOSITIONING OF THE
HIGH...AND THE ADVANCE EASTWARD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WILL
BRING OUR LOW LEVEL WINDS AROUND MORE TO THE SOUTHEAST...AND THEY
WILL PROGRESSIVELY START TO INCREASE IN SPEED STARTING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASE...AND A LOWERING OF THE
CLOUD COVER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL STILL BE
UNLIKELY THOUGH.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE IMPACTED BY THE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND
INCREASING DEW POINTS. LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S TO
THE LOWER 40S FOR MOST OF THE REGION. ON TUESDAY....HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN THOSE REALIZED TODAY. UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 60S WILL BE THE NORM IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH LOW TO MID 60S
ACROSS THE PIEDMONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 PM EST MONDAY...

BECOMING WINDY OVER THE WESTERN RIDGES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AS 8H LOW LVL JET OF 65KT PUSHES FROM THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE ORIENTATION OF
THE LOW LVL WINDS FAVORS A DEFINITE WIND ADVISORY EVENT FOR THE
MOUNTAIN EMPIRE AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF MERCER TO GREENBRIER. THIS
WILL BE INHIBITED BY HOW MUCH CLOUD COVER THERE IS AS THIS TENDS TO
SUPPRESS THE MIXING. HOWEVER...GIVEN SUCH A STRONG SSE FLOW...THINK
THERE WILL BE SOME POCKETS OF CLEARING TUESDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY
BEFORE THE RAIN MOVES. SINCE THIS WILL BE LATE 3RD PERIOD WILL HOLD
OFF ON ANY HEADLINES...AND CONTINUE TO MENTION IN THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST CENTERS ON INCREASING PWATS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MODELS SHOWING SOME UPSLOPE
RAIN/DRIZZLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WILL THEN SEE THE
TRANSITION TO MORE SHOWERY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOLLOWED
BY A SOAKING RAINFALL WED NIGHT...AS THE MAIN BELT OF MOISTURE
SLIDES ACROSS.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT AGREEMENT THAT 1"+ SHOULD FALL WITH THIS
EVENT...BUT TIMING VARIES SOMEWHAT WITH THE 12Z GFS SLIGHTLY FASTER
IN MOVING THE SLUG OF RAINFALL ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. LEANED THE
FORECAST MORE TOWARD A BLEND OF THE ECMWF/GFS...WHICH WILL BE ENDING
THE RAIN IN THE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY MORNING AND BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
IN THE PIEDMONT.

HIGHER RAINFALL RATES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE
THANKS TO ENHANCEMENT PROVIDED BY UPSLOPE FLOW. KEEPING THE FORECAST
RAINFALL FROM 1.25-1.5" MOST LOCATIONS...BUT UPWARDS OF 3" ACROSS
THE NC HIGH COUNTRY. WPC HAS EXTENDED ITS SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL TO INCLUDE MOST OF SW VA INTO THE NW NC MTNS. WILL MENTION
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

AS FOR TEMPS...WEDNESDAY WILL BE MILD BUT QUESTION IS HOW MILD WITH
A WEDGE IN PLACE. THINK LOCATIONS LIKE FAR SW VA AND OUTSIDE THE
WEDGE OVER THE NC PIEDMONT COULD SEE 70...WHILE MOST OF THE FORECAST
AREA STAYS IN THE 60S...WITH SOME 50S ACROSS THE ALLEGHANYS.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT FALL TOO FAR WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH 50S WEST
TO LOWER 60S EAST.

THE BEST COLD ADVECTION DOES NOT ARRIVE UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT SO
THURSDAY COULD BE MILD ONCE RAIN MOVES EAST AND WE CLEAR OUT.
DOWNSLOPING WINDS SHOULD HELP TEMPS JUMP TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S IN
THE PIEDMONT WITH 50S IN THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 115 PM EST MONDAY...

RATHER QUIET WX PATTERN SHAPING UP THIS PERIOD...WITH 5H TROUGH AXIS
SITUATED FROM THE GREAT LAKES/ONTARIO SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE
BLACKSBURG FORECAST AREA. THIS IS GOING TO PROVIDE AT OR BELOW
NORMAL TEMPS INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS TROUGH HEADS EAST OF US SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY WITH A FAST WNW FLOW ALOFT...BRINGING US DRY/COOL WX BUT
COULD SEE SOME CLOUDINESS OF THE MID AND HIGH VARIETY FROM TIME TO
TIME.

AS THE SFC HIGH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY MOVES EAST OFF THE
VIRGINIA COAST MONDAY EXPECT SOME MODERATING TEMPS...THOUGH WILL SEE
POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING CLOUDS.

&&

.AVIATION /04Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 1110 PM EST MONDAY...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY BUT
REMAIN NOSED INTO THE AREA FROM OFF NEW ENGLAND THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
AT ALL TAF SITES...CLOUD COVER WILL BE GRADUALLY THICKENING AND
LOWERING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE 5K FEET
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH
TONIGHT. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...A PREVAILING EAST OR SOUTHEAST
WIND AT 10 KTS OR LESS IS EXPECTED FOR THE TAF LOCATIONS. WIND
GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS INCLUDING KBLF.

TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST FLOW
SHOULD DEVELOP RESULTING IN INCREASING MOISTURE INTO THE AREA
FROM OFF THE ATLANTIC. LOOK FOR CEILINGS TO DROP INTO AT LEAST THE
MVFR RANGE ALONG WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY FOG...LIGHT
DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE PRECIPITATION WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON WITH SOME OF THIS HEAVIER RAINFALL SPREADING EAST BY
EVENING. IFR CEILINGS...AS WELL AS...MVFR VSBYS WILL BECOME MORE
COMMON. LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...850 MB FLOW MAY BE AS
STRONG AS 50-60 KTS...ALLOWING FOR THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG SURFACE
WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IN DOWNSLOPE AREAS AROUND KBLF/KJFZ.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

.EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH THE AREA WITH A SWATH OF HEAVIER RAINFALL RESULTING IN A
PERIOD OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE SPREADING EAST TO WEST
FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE
MAJORITY OF THE HEAVIER RAINFALL EXITS TO THE EAST. EXPECT AN
ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT.

THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY HEAD INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC WHILE HIGH PRESSURE NOSES ITS WAY EAST ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY. WHILE DRY WEATHER AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED...SOMEWHAT GUSTY SURFACE CONDITIONS WILL STILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING LOW
AND BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST.

FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE MAY SHIFT
EAST OF THE REGION...ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF A CLIPPER SYSTEM THAT MAY IMPACT WESTERN PARTS OF THE
AREA LATE IN THE DAY SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING A PERIOD OF
MVFR CIGS TO THE MOUNTAINS LATER SATURDAY OTHERWISE VFR.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DS
NEAR TERM...DS/JH
SHORT TERM...WP
LONG TERM...WP
AVIATION...DS/JH/KK
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 3:38 PM EST, 12 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
338 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ010>014-018>020-022>024-033>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ044-507-172045-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-
MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-
BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MONROE-EASTERN GREENBRIER-
338 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001-018-VAZ015-172045-
ASHE-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-
338 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

STRONG GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST.

THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ002-003-019-VAZ016-017-032-172045-
ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WILKES-CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-
338 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A PERIOD OF HEAVIER RAINS WILL ARRIVE BY LATE WEDNESDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ007-009-WVZ042-043-508-172045-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-MERCER-SUMMERS-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
338 PM EST MON NOV 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

STRONG GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 3:24 PM ESTFlash Flood WatchRNKCarroll, Floyd, Grayson, Patrick, City of Galax41 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2015Wind Advisories in West Virginia, 2015Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2015Every wind advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.