Alert archive / North Carolina / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Blacksburg, VA

September 30, 2015Watauga County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this special weather statement at Sep 30, 2015, 4:11 PM EDT for Watauga County, North Carolina. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 30, 2015, 4:11 PM EDT (20:11 UTC)
Expired
Sep 30, 2015, 5:15 PM EDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA

County Watauga County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-09-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 120 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2015-09-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -18 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
120 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-136 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
980 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Sep 30, 4:04 PM EDT, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 4:04 PM EDT, 7 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 30, 4:11 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
411 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2015

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-012015-
SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-
CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
411 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH 3 TO LOCALLY 5
INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR AREAS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE.
FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS BANDS OF HEAVY MAY PASS REPEATEDLY
OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WITH SATURATED
SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN. IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...
RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ007-009>014-018>020-022>024-WVZ042>044-507-508-012015-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
411 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH 4 TO LOCALLY 7
INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE...
INCLUDING THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY. FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS
BANDS OF HEAVY MAY PASS REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...
ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT HEAVY
RAIN. IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...RIVER FLOODING WILL BE
POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015>017-032>035-012015-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-
BEDFORD-AMHERST-
411 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH 2 TO LOCALLY 4
INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR THE MOUNTAINS. FLASH FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE AS BANDS OF HEAVY MAY PASS REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM
RECENT HEAVY RAIN. IN ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...RIVER FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 30, 11:28 AM EDT, 4 hours 43 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Sep 30, 4:11 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 30, 3:57 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax4 days
Sep 30, 7:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKFloyd53 min
Sep 30, 5:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKWatauga, Wilkes6 hr
Sep 30, 5:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKWatauga, Wilkes6 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Carolina, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.