Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Blacksburg, VA

April 20, 2015Charlotte County, Halifax County, Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Apr 20, 2015, 9:21 PM EDT for Charlotte County, Halifax County, Virginia. It took effect at Apr 21, 2015, 6:23 AM EDT. It was in force for 45 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 20, 2015, 9:21 PM EDT (01:21 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 21, 2015, 6:23 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 23, 2015, 2:56 AM EDT
In force
45 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Charlotte County, VA, Halifax County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Roanoke River at Randolph (RNDV2). The gauge peaked at 20.55 ft at Apr 21, 2015, 11:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate10203004/2104/2204/2304/24
Action stage
21 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
30 ft
Major stage
34 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02066000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

731 
WGUS41 KRNK 210121
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
921 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County


Runoff from heavy rain during the past 36 hours will cause continued
rises along the lower Roanoke River at Randolph as well as the Dan
River at South Boston. This will cause both locations to rise above 
flood stage Tuesday morning but only minor flooding is expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC037-083-211321-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0004.150421T1055Z-150423T0656Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.150421T1055Z.150422T0000Z.150422T1856Z.NO/
921 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* from Tuesday morning until late Wednesday night.
* at 08PM Monday the stage was...16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast with a crest of 23.2 feet late Tuesday.
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet. 
* At 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on left bank 
  and woods on right bank.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.5 feet on Feb 1 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-211321-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0005.150421T1512Z-150423T1653Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.150421T1512Z.150422T1800Z.150423T0453Z.NO/
921 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River At South Boston.
* from Tuesday morning until Thursday afternoon.
* at 08PM Monday the stage was...13.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast with a crest of 22.6 feet on Wednesday.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.1 feet on May 16 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
5 follow-up statements
125 
WGUS81 KRNK 210825
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
425 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties 
  Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and 
  Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County 

 Runoff the heavy rain from Sunday and Monday had reached the Dan and Roanoke Rivers. Minor flooding is expected on the Dan River at Danville this morning. Minor flooding is expected in the Dan River at South Boston through late this evening. Minor Flooding is expected on the Roanoke River at Randolph through Wednesday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued by noon. 

&&

VAC037-083-211625-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0004.150421T1023Z-150422T2254Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.150421T1023Z.150421T1800Z.150422T1054Z.NO/
425 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* From this morning until Wednesday morning
* At 04AM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by 8AM and continue to 
  rise to near 22.8 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 22.0 feet...River Road (Route 607) in Charlotte County and 
  Black Walnut Road in Halifax County are closed by flooding.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.5 feet on Feb 1 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-211624-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150422T0148Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.150421T0338Z.150421T0745Z.150421T1348Z.NO/
425 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Danville.
* until this evening. 
* At 04AM Tuesday the stage was 17.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river was cresting and will fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Jan 12 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-211624-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.150421T0812Z-150423T1541Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.150421T0737Z.150422T1200Z.150423T0341Z.NO/
425 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River At South Boston.
* From early this morning until Thursday morning
* At 04AM Tuesday the stage was 19.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near 22.6 feet by tomorrow morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late tomorrow evening.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.1 feet on May 16 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
826 
WGUS81 KRNK 211118
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
718 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina..
  Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  
  Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and 
  Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County 


 runoff the heavy rain from Sunday and Monday had reached the Dan and
 Roanoke Rivers. Minor flooding is occurring on the Dan River at Danville
 this morning. Minor flooding is expected in the Dan River at South Boston
 through late this evening. Minor Flooding is expected on the Roanoke
 River at Randolph through Wednesday morning. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by noon.

&&

VAC037-083-211918-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150422T2254Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.150421T1120Z.150421T1800Z.150422T1054Z.NO/
718 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* From this morning until Wednesday evening
* At 07AM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage around 9AM this morning and continue
  to rise to near 22.8 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* At 22.0 feet...River Road (Route 607) in Charlotte County and 
  Black Walnut Road in Halifax County are closed by flooding.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.5 feet on Feb 1 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-211918-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150422T0148Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.150421T0338Z.150421T1046Z.150421T1348Z.NO/
718 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Danville.
* until this evening. 
* At 07AM Tuesday the stage was 17.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river was cresting and will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  around noon.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Jan 12 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-211918-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150423T1541Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.150421T0730Z.150422T1200Z.150423T0341Z.NO/
718 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River At South Boston.
* until Thursday morning. 
* At 07AM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.6 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late 
  evening.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.1 feet on May 16 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
201 
WGUS81 KRNK 211418
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1018 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties 
  Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and 
  Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County 


Runoff from the past 2 days of rain will continue to keep portions
of the Roanoke and Dan River basins in flood today. Only minor
flooding is expected, and the Dan River at Danville has actually
crested and is falling, so it should be below flood stage
shortly after noon today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued when the Dan River
drops below flood stage at Danville, or by late afternoon.

&&

VAC037-083-212218-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150422T0600Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.150421T1800Z.150421T1800Z.150421T1800Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* From this afternoon until late tonight
* At 09AM Tuesday the stage was 20.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 21.0 feet and rising.
* Forecast to rise to flood stage of 21.0 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by dusk.
* At 21.0 feet...Water approaches River Road (Route 607) south of 
  Randolph.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.1 feet on Jan 18 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-212218-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150422T0321Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.150421T0338Z.150421T1216Z.150421T1521Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Danville.
* until this evening. 
* At 09AM Tuesday the stage was 17.3 feet and falling. The
  river crested at 17.5 feet at at 745 am today.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early
  this afternoon.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Jan 12 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-212218-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150423T0408Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.150421T0730Z.150422T0600Z.150422T1608Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River At South Boston.
* until late Wednesday night. 
* At 09AM Tuesday the stage was 20.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by early Wednesday
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday
  afternoon.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.1 feet on May 16 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
695 
WGUS81 KRNK 211607
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1207 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and 
  Pittsylvania Counties
 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
  
  Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County 


The Dan River at Danville has fallen below flood stage and will
continue to fall. Minor flooding will continue this afternoon
for Randolph along the Roanoke River, and through Wednesdy
afternoon for the Dan River at South Boston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 8 pm this evening
or when the Roanoke River at Randolph falls below flood stage.

&&

VAC037-083-220007-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150422T0600Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.150421T1800Z.150421T1800Z.150421T1800Z.NO/
1207 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warninig continues for
  the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* From this afternoon until late tonight
* At 10AM Tuesday the stage was 20.5 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near 21.0 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by dusk.
* At 21.0 feet...Water approaches River Road (Route 607) south of 
  Randolph.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.1 feet on Jan 18 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-VAC143-590-211637-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150422T0321Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.150421T0338Z.150421T1216Z.150421T1452Z.NO/
1207 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Dan River Near Danville.
* until this evening. 
* At 11AM Tuesday the stage was 16.7 feet and falling.
  The river crested at 17.5 feet at 745 am today.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Jan 12 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-220007-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150423T0408Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.150421T0730Z.150422T0600Z.150422T1608Z.NO/
1207 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warninig continues for
  the Dan River At South Boston.
* until late Wednesday night. 
* At 11AM Tuesday the stage was 20.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by early Wednesday
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.1 feet on May 16 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
858 
WGUS81 KRNK 211837
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
237 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County 


The Roanoke River at Randolph crested below flood stage early this
afternoon and is falling. Therefore, the flood warning for the
Roanoke River has been cancelled. 

The Dan River at South Boston remains above flood stage and continues
to rise. Minor flooding will continue into Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes 
ahps'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued  by 10 pm this evening.

&&

VAC037-083-211907-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150422T0600Z/
/RNDV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
237 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* At 01PM Tuesday the stage was 20.5 feet and falling.
  The river crested at 20.6 feet around noon today.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.1 feet on Jan 18 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

VAC083-220236-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150423T0408Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.150421T0730Z.150422T0600Z.150422T1608Z.NO/
237 PM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

the Flood Warninig continues for
  the Dan River At South Boston.
* until late Wednesday night. 
* At 02PM Tuesday the stage was 21.1 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by early
  Wednesday morning. the river will fall below flood stage Wednesday  
  afternoon.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.1 feet on May 16 2014.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 20, 7:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 20, 7:16 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
716 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT
BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT...A COOLER...BREEZY...AND SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED PATTERN EXPECTED
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WORKWEEK...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVING WITH ANOTHER FRONT ON
WEDNESDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 310 PM EDT MONDAY...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 89 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG TO SEVERE WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AHEAD AND ALONG A COLD FRONT.  THE MAIN
THREATS ARE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THE 18Z RNK SOUNDING SHOWED A
CAP AROUND 700 MB THAT WILL BREAK QUICKLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
HEATING AND EXPECTED CAPE ABOVE 1000 J/KG. DEEP LAYER SHEAR OVER 40
KTS AND STRONG UPDRAFTS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING.

REGIONAL WSR88D IMAGE SHOWED STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION OVER
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA EXPANDING NORTHEAST INTO OUR AREA.

THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST OF OUR AREA THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT. STRONG 6H PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING
BREEZY AND GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS TO THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S IN
THE MOUNTAINS TO THE LOWER 50S IN THE PIEDMONT. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD SOUTHEAST INTO OUR AREA TUESDAY. HIGHS TEMPERATURES ON
TUESDAY WILL WARM INTO THE LOWER 50S IN THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS
TO THE LOWER 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 214 PM EDT MONDAY...

UPPER TROUGH WILL BE SITUATED RIGHT OVER THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
NEXT SFC FRONT WORKING ACROSS BY WEDNESDAY...THOUGH WITH MORE WNW
FLOW ALOFT AND LACK OF SOUTHERLY INFLOW AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED. AS SUCH HAVE LIMITED CHANCE POPS
OVER THE MOUNTAINS WITH SOME CHANCE INTO THE NE PIEDMONT OF
VA...WITH LESS COVERAGE INTO THE NC PIEDMONT...AS WE SHOULD SEE SOME
DOWNSLOPE DRYING AND SHEARING OF THE VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT. JUST
ENOUGH INSTABILITY WITH COLDER AIR ALOFT TO MENTION THUNDER IN THE
AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. SHOULD BE A BREEZY DAY WITH HIGHS FROM THE
UPPER 50S OVER SE WV TO LOWER 70S SOUTHEAST.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRY WITH CONTINUED
UPPER TROUGH SLIDING ACROSS THE AREA...BUT AXIS SHIFTING MORE OVER
THE COAST. NW FLOW MAY KEEP SHOWERS GOING INTO THE MOUNTAINS WED
EVENING.  UPPER RIDGING ARRIVES OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH SFC
HIGH IN THE TN VALLEY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EDT MONDAY...

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THIS FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC BUILDS
SOUTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO FRIDAY. A SOUTHERN STREAM LOW
ARRIVES OVER THE AR/OK BORDER BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH OVERRUNNING
CLOUDS WORKING INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT. BY
SATURDAY ENOUGH MOISTURE TO ALLOW FOR SHOWERS TO FORM BY SATURDAY
MORNING WITH BEST FORCING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. THIS SYSTEM EXITS BY
SAT NIGHT WITH SUNDAY BEING A DRY AND COOL/MILD DAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE 50S MOUNTAINS TO 60S EAST. HIGH PRESSURE TO ASSUME POSITION OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS MONDAY TO KEEP THINGS DRY.
NEXT SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM MAY WORK SOME SHOWERS OUR WAY BY TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 651 PM EDT MONDAY...

BROKEN BANDS OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION WILL LIKELY LINGER
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE FADING WITH LOSS OF HEATING AS A
COLD FRONT WORKS THROUGH THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR IN ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA
WITH LOCAL IFR POSSIBLE IF A HEAVIER CLUSTER MOVES RIGHT ACROSS A
TAF SITE. FOR NOW WILL KEEP THINGS MOSTLY VFR WITH INCLUSION OF A
TEMPO OR VICINITY MENTION TO COVER SHORT TERM COVERAGE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS WITH MOST CELLS LIKELY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS FOR THE
MOST PART.

PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING BREEZY AND GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS TO THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
ALSO THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT...SOME MVFR
CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. UNCERTAINTY ON HOW LOW
CLOUD BASES WILL GET ONCE THE SHOWERS CLEAR OUT TONIGHT. ANOTHER
ISSUE IS THAT ANY LOCATION THAT RECEIVED OVER AN INCH OF RAIN MAY
SEE FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
RETURN LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
BEHIND THE FRONT WITH A DRIER AIRMASS AND CONTINUED GUSTY NW
WINDS.

EXTENDED AVIATION...

THEN THE NEXT CHANCE OF MVFR CONDITIONS AND PRECIPITATION WILL BE
IN THE MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
AT THE SURFACE BUILDS SOUTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. OVERRUNNING CLOUDS WORKING INTO THE AREA
FRIDAY AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT. BY SATURDAY...ENOUGH MOISTURE TO
ALLOW FOR SHOWERS TO FORM BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH BEST FORCING
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 715 PM EDT MONDAY... AFTER THE IMPRESSIVE RAINFALL SINCE
YESTERDAY MORNING...WHICH SAW OVER 6 INCHES AT A FEW GAGES IN
ALLEGHANY COUNTY NC...RIVERS AND LARGE CREEKS IN THE NEW RIVER AND
UPPER ROANOKE VALLEYS HAVE MOSTLY CRESTED AND ARE FALLING EARLY
THIS EVENING. STAGES ALONG THE MAINSTEM NEW WILL CONTINUE TO RISE
DOWNSTREAM FROM RADFORD OVERNIGHT WITH GLEN LYN EXPECTED TO JUST
TOP THE 15 FOOT FLOOD STAGE AROUND MIDNIGHT. RADFORD FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AS WATER FROM ABOVE CLAYTOR LAKE IS
PASSED THROUGH. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT WE COULD YET SEE RIVER
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE DAN RIVER FROM DANVILLE DOWNSTREAM TO SOUTH
BOSTON AND LOWER REACHES OF ROANOKE RIVER BUT MINOR RIVER
FLOODING APPEARS TO BE THE WORST CATEGORY TO EXPECT.
&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KK
NEAR TERM...KK
SHORT TERM...WP
LONG TERM...WP
AVIATION...AMS/JH/KK
HYDROLOGY...PC
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 20, 5:06 PM EDT, 4 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
506 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-212115-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
506 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 89 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO PUSH STREAMS...CREEKS...AND SOME MAINSTEM RIVERS OUT OF THEIR
BANKS AND MAY PRODUCE SOME FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ012-013-015>017-212115-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-WYTHE-PULASKI-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
FLOYD-
506 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 89 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO PUSH STREAMS...CREEKS...AND SOME MAINSTEM RIVERS OUT OF THEIR
BANKS AND PRODUCE SOME FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ010-011-212115-
BLAND-GILES-
506 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE
TO PUSH STREAMS...CREEKS...AND SOME MAINSTEM RIVERS OUT OF THEIR
BANKS AND PRODUCE SOME FLOODING.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ014-018>020-022>024-212115-
MONTGOMERY-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
506 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 89 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

WVZ044-507-212115-
MONROE-EASTERN GREENBRIER-
506 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ007-009-WVZ042-043-508-212115-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-MERCER-SUMMERS-WESTERN GREENBRIER-
506 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 20, 7:12 PM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
712 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

VAZ019-020-202345-
BATH VA-ALLEGHANY VA-
712 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  SOUTHERN BATH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
  NORTHEASTERN ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 745 PM EDT

* AT 712 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR NATURAL WELL
  TO NEAR LONGDALE FURNACE...MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* PEA SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS
  FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL
  ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS. EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
  LIGHTNING WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HOT SPRINGS...
  WARM SPRINGS...
  INGALLS FIELD...
  CARLOOVER...
  AND YOST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3809 7948 3804 7952 3788 7972 3787 7999
      3808 7978 3809 7963
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 225DEG 30KT 3789 7994 3791 7973

DS
Local storm report, Apr 20, 7:15 PM EDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
715 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             4 W MOUNTAIN LAKE       37.34N 80.63W
04/20/2015  E0.50 INCH       GILES              VA   COCORAHS

&&

SK
Local storm report, Apr 20, 7:22 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
722 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             2 NE VIRGILINA          36.57N 78.76W
04/20/2015  E1.00 INCH       HALIFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JDR
Local storm report, Apr 20, 7:32 PM EDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
732 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     HAIL             3 ENE IVANHOE           36.85N 80.91W
04/20/2015  E0.25 INCH       WYTHE              VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JDR
Special weather statement, Apr 20, 7:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
735 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

NCZ002-003-019-210000-
SURRY NC-ALLEGHANY NC-WILKES NC-
735 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHEASTERN ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
  NORTHERN WILKES COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT

* AT 735 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
  STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LOW GAP TO
  NEAR MAPLE SPRINGS...MOVING TO THE EAST AT 30 MPH.

* VERY HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON
  ROADWAYS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
  EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOUNT AIRY...
  MOUNTAIN PARK...
  TRAPHILL...
  BOTTOM...
  AND HALLS MILLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE WATER TO FLOW OVER THE ROADWAY. DO
NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE WHERE THE ROAD HAS BECOME FLOODED.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN OR SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3652 8055 3622 8112 3620 8141 3650 8089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 257DEG 25KT 3646 8086 3622 8134

DS
Local storm report, Apr 20, 8:00 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
800 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0753 PM     HAIL             1 NNE PEMBROKE          37.34N 80.63W
04/20/2015  M0.50 INCH       GILES              VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

WHP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 20, 8:34 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKPulaski, Wythe6 hr
Apr 20, 9:21 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax64 hr
Apr 20, 9:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKGiles31 min
Apr 20, 11:42 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville23 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.