Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 23, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Dec 24, 2015, 9:01 AM EST for Halifax County, Virginia. It took effect at Dec 24, 2015, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 68 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 24, 2015, 9:01 AM EST (14:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 24, 2015, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Dec 27, 2015, 9:00 AM EST
- In force
- 68 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Halifax County, VA
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Dan River at Paces (PCEV2). The gauge peaked at 23.64 ft at Dec 26, 2015, 4:00 AM EST.
- Action stage
- 20 ft
- Minor stage
- 22 ft
- Moderate stage
- 29 ft
- Major stage
- 35 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02075500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
201
WGUS41 KRNK 241401
FLWRNK
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
901 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Virginia...
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Virginia...
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Runoff from heavy rain during the past 24 to 48 hours...with additional heavy
rain falling and expected to continue over the area today...is resulting in
significant rises to above flood stage on rivers in the area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Listen to NOAA weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later
statements or warnings.
&&
VAC037-083-250201-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151227T1800Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151225T1800Z.151227T0600Z.NO/
901 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...The
Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River At Randolph
* Until Sunday afternoon
* At 07AM Thursday the stage was...21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood Stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 25.1 feet by
tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
early Sunday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of river
road and black walnut road.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.9 feet on May 17 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-250201-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0022.151224T1950Z-151226T1520Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.151224T1950Z.151225T0600Z.151226T0320Z.NO/
901 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* From this afternoon until Saturday morning.
* At 08AM Thursday the stage was...14.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.1 feet on Oct 1 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-250201-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0023.151224T1800Z-151227T1400Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.151224T1800Z.151225T1800Z.151227T0200Z.NO/
901 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* From this afternoon until Sunday morning.
* At 07AM Thursday the stage was...19.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.0 feet on Jan 19 2013.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-250201-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T2232Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T0000Z.151228T1032Z.NO/
901 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor TO Moderate severity...The
Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston
* Uuntil Monday afternoon
* At 08AM Thursday the stage was...22.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 26.0 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday
morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$11 follow-up statements
195
WGUS41 KRNK 242113
FLWRNK
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
413 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for
the following rivers in North Carolina...Virginia...
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Moderate Severity for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Runoff from heavy rain during the past 24 to 48 hours...along with
additional rain expected to fall across the area this evening and
tonight...will push the Dan River into moderate flood stage at
several points along the river.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later
statements or warnings.
&&
NCC033-VAC143-590-250913-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151227T0112Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0600Z.151226T1312Z.NO/
413 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...forecast flooding increased from Minor TO Moderate SEVERITY...The
Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Danville
* until Saturday evening
* at 3 PM Thursday the stage was...19.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 22.6 feet by
after midnight Friday. The river will fall below flood stage
Saturday morning.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.5 feet on Jan 26 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-250913-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151228T0018Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.151224T2322Z.151226T0000Z.151227T1218Z.NO/
413 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...forecast flooding increased from Minor TO Moderate SEVERITY...The
Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Paces
* until Sunday evening
* at 3 PM Thursday the stage was...19.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-250913-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T2013Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T1200Z.151228T0813Z.NO/
413 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston
* until Monday afternoon
* at 3 PM Thursday the stage was...22.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 26.1 feet by
Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday
morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.1 feet on Jan 3 2007.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$722
WGUS81 KRNK 250109
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
809 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Virginia...North Carolina...
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Runoff from heavy rain during the past 24 to 48 hours...along with
additional rain expected to fall across the area on Friday morning...
will push points along the the Dan and Roanoke Rivers into moderate
flood stage.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 8 AM Friday morning...
unless significant differences between observed and forecasted
river levels occur before then.
&&
VAC037-083-250909-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151228T0600Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151226T0000Z.151227T1800Z.NO/
809 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* until late Sunday night.
* at 6 PM Thursday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by tomorrow
evening. the river will fall below flood stage Sunday early
afternoon.
* At 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of river
road and black walnut road.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.9 feet on May 17 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-250909-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151227T0703Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0600Z.151226T1903Z.NO/
809 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* until late Saturday night.
* at 7 PM Thursday the stage was 21.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by after midnight
tomorrow. the river will fall below flood stage Saturday early
afternoon.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.5 feet on Jan 26 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-250909-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151228T0651Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.151225T0015Z.151226T0600Z.151227T1851Z.NO/
809 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* from this evening until late Sunday night
* at 6 PM Thursday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to
rise to near 25.0 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will
fall below flood stage by Sunday early afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-250909-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151229T0225Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T1800Z.151228T1425Z.NO/
809 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* until Monday evening.
* at 7 PM Thursday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by Saturday early
afternoon. the river will fall below flood stage late Monday
morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.1 feet on Jan 3 2007.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$564
WGUS81 KRNK 250805
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
305 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...Virginia...
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Runoff from earlier heavy rain will continue to keep portions of the
Dan and Roanoke Rivers above flood stage.
The Dan River at Danville has crested and is now falling...and is expected
to fall below moderate levels early Friday morning. Locations downstream of
Danville are still rising.
The Roanoke River at Randolph is at moderate flood levels and continues to
rise. The river will crest at Randolph Friday evening...then begin to fall
Friday night.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 8AM.
&&
VAC037-083-251605-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151228T0600Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151226T0000Z.151227T1800Z.NO/
305 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* until late Sunday night.
* at 01AM Friday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by this evening.
the river will fall below flood stage Sunday early afternoon.
* At 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of river
road and black walnut road.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 feet on Jan 27 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-251605-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151227T0210Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0516Z.151226T1410Z.NO/
305 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* until Saturday evening.
* at 02AM Friday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow
late morning.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 feet on Oct 4 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-251605-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151228T0651Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T0600Z.151227T1851Z.NO/
305 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* until late Sunday night.
* at 01AM Friday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by after midnight
tomorrow. the river will fall below flood stage Sunday early
afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-251605-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151229T0225Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T1800Z.151228T1425Z.NO/
305 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* until Monday evening.
* at 02AM Friday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. the river will fall below flood stage late Monday
morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.1 feet on Jan 3 2007.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$892
WGUS81 KRNK 251249
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
749 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Virginia...North Carolina..
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Runoff from heavy rain Wednesday night and Thursday will push the Dan River into moderate flood stage at Paces and South Boston.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued around noon.
&&
VAC037-083-252049-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151228T0600Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151226T0000Z.151227T1800Z.NO/
749 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* until late Sunday night.
* at 06AM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by this evening.
The river will fall below flood stage Sunday early afternoon.
* At 25.0 feet...water is several feet deep on portions of River
Road and Black Walnut Road.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 feet on Jan 27 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-252049-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151227T0210Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0516Z.151226T1410Z.NO/
749 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* until Saturday evening.
* at 07AM Friday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late tomorrow
morning.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 feet on Oct 4 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-252049-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151228T0651Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T0600Z.151227T1851Z.NO/
749 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* until late Sunday night.
* at 06AM Friday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by midnight
tonight. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday
afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along Routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-252049-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151229T0225Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T1800Z.151228T1425Z.NO/
749 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* until Monday evening.
* at 07AM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by early tomorrow
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday
morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.1 feet on Jan 3 2007.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$402
WGUS81 KRNK 251504
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Virginia...North Carolina...
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Runoff from heavy rains during the past couple of days will maintain
flood conditions on portions of the dan and roanoke rivers...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued this afternoon.
&&
VAC037-083-252304-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151228T1200Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151226T0000Z.151228T0000Z.NO/
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Roanoke River at Randolph.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 08AM Friday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.8 feet by this evening
and will fall below flood stage Sunday evening.
* At 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of river
road and black walnut road.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.9 feet on May 17 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-252304-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151227T0215Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0516Z.151226T1415Z.NO/
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Dan River Near Danville.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 09AM Friday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will remain near 20.8 feet through this afternoon
and will then fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 feet on Oct 4 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-252304-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151228T0207Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T0600Z.151227T1407Z.NO/
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Dan River Near Paces.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 08AM Friday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by early Saturday
morning and will fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-252304-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151227T0000Z.151228T1500Z.NO/
1004 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 09AM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.1 feet by Saturday
evening and will fall below flood stage late Monday morning.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.1 feet on Jan 3 2007.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$141
WGUS81 KRNK 260148
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
848 PM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Virginia...North Carolina...
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Stages along the Dan River and lower Roanoke River are either nearing crest this evening or will be cresting tomorrow toward Paces and South Boston. Very little additional rainfall is expected over the next few days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued by tomorrow morning.
&&
VAC037-083-260948-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151227T0730Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151225T1700Z.151226T1930Z.NO/
848 PM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* until late Saturday night.
* at 07PM Friday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river has crested and will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow
early afternoon.
* At 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on left bank
and woods on right bank.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.7 feet on Nov 11 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-260948-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151226T2218Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0516Z.151226T1018Z.NO/
848 PM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* at 08PM Friday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river has crested and will continue to fall to below flood stage by early
tomorrow.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.1 feet on Oct 1 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-260948-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151227T1434Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T0600Z.151227T0234Z.NO/
848 PM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* until Sunday morning.
* at 07PM Friday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising slowly to near 24.2 feet after midnight
and then fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-260948-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T1033Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T1800Z.151227T2233Z.NO/
848 PM EST FRI DEC 25 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* until late Sunday night.
* at 08PM Friday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. the river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$
pc025
WGUS81 KRNK 260633
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
133 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Virginia...North Carolina...
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Stages along the Dan River and lower Roanoke River have either crested
and are falling...or will crest today toward Paces and South Boston.
Very little additional rainfall is expected over the next few days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 9 am Saturday.
&&
VAC037-083-261433-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151227T0430Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151225T1700Z.151226T1630Z.NO/
133 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* until this evening.
* at 12 AM Saturday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling...and is expected to drop below flood
stage late this morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-261433-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151226T2151Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0516Z.151226T0951Z.NO/
133 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* until this afternoon.
* at 1 AM Saturday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling...and is expected to drop below flood
stage shortly by around sunrise this morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-261433-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151227T1821Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T1200Z.151227T0621Z.NO/
133 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* at 12 AM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising...cresting near 23.8 feet by around
sunrise this morning. The river will then recede...falling below
flood stage after midnight Sunday.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-261433-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T1536Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151227T0000Z.151228T0336Z.NO/
133 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* until Monday morning.
* at 12 AM Saturday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising...cresting near 25.6 feet during
this evening. The river will then recede...falling below flood
stage late Sunday evening.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$169
WGUS81 KRNK 261040
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
540 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...Virginia...
Dan River Near Danville affecting Caswell...City of Danville and
Pittsylvania Counties
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Stages along the Dan River and lower Roanoke River have either crested
and are falling...or will crest today toward Paces and South Boston.
Very little additional rainfall is expected over the next few days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued by 9 am this morning.
&&
VAC037-083-261840-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151227T0430Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151225T1700Z.151226T1630Z.NO/
540 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* until this evening.
* at 4 AM Saturday the stage was 22.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling...and is expected to drop below flood
stage later this morning.
* At 22.0 feet...River Road (Route 607) in Charlotte County and
Black Walnut Road in Halifax County are closed by flooding.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
NCC033-VAC143-590-261110-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-151226T2151Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.151224T1743Z.151225T0516Z.151226T0744Z.NO/
540 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
the Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Dan River Near Danville.
* until this afternoon.
* at 5 AM Saturday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* This will be the final statement issued for the the Dan River near
Danville concerning this flooding event.
&&
LAT...LON 3649 7966 3660 7963 3664 7941 3663 7920
3648 7923 3650 7949
$$
VAC083-261840-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151227T1821Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T1200Z.151227T0621Z.NO/
540 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* at 4 AM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is currently near crest. The river will begin receding
later this morning...and will fall below flood stage after midnight
Sunday.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-261840-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T1536Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151227T0000Z.151228T0336Z.NO/
540 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
the Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* until Monday morning.
* at 5 AM Saturday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising...cresting near 25.6 feet during
this evening. The river will then recede...falling below flood
stage late Sunday evening.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$168
WGUS81 KRNK 261412
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
912 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Virginia...
Roanoke River At Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax Counties
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Stages along the Dan River and lower Roanoke River have either crested
and are falling...or will crest today toward Paces and South Boston.
Very little additional rainfall is expected over the next few days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled update will be this afternoon...or earlier if needed.
&&
VAC037-083-262212-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-151227T0100Z/
/RNDV2.2.ER.151224T1237Z.151225T1700Z.151226T1300Z.NO/
912 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for the Roanoke River At Randolph.
* Until Noon today.
* At 07AM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Noon today.
* At 21.0 feet...Water approaches River Road (Route 607) south of
Randolph.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet on Oct 4 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
3680 7863 3680 7870
$$
VAC083-262212-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151227T1800Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T0845Z.151227T0600Z.NO/
912 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River Near Paces.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 07AM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage around daybreak on Sunday.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 feet on Oct 5 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-262212-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T1054Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151227T0000Z.151227T2254Z.NO/
912 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River At South Boston.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 08AM Saturday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by this evening
and will then fall below flood stage by late Sunday afternoon.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$539
WGUS81 KRNK 262029
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
329 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Stages along the Dan River have either crested and are falling...or
will crest with little additional rises before sunset. Very little
additional rainfall or runoff is expected over the next couple of
days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued this evening...or earlier
if needed.
&&
VAC083-270429-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151227T1800Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T0845Z.151227T0600Z.NO/
329 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River near Paces.
* Until 07AM on Sunday.
* At 02PM Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage before daybreak
on Sunday.
* At 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin to flood.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Dec 26 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-270429-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T1054Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T1830Z.151227T2254Z.NO/
329 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River at South Boston.
* Until Sunday night.
* At 03PM Saturday the stage was 25.6 feet and was cresting.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* At 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$506
WGUS81 KRNK 270411
FLSRNK
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1111 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
Dan River Near Paces affecting Halifax County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Virginia...
Dan River At South Boston affecting Halifax County
Water along the Dan River has fallen below flood stage
at Paces. The river remains in moderate flood at South
Boston, but is slowly falling. The river will continue
to fall through Sunday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper
than you think.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes
ahps'.
The next scheduled statement will be issued by dawn Sunday.
&&
VAC083-270441-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-151227T1800Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.151225T0030Z.151226T0845Z.151227T0230Z.NO/
1111 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
the Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Dan River Near Paces.
* at 10PM Saturday the stage was 19.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
&&
LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
3656 7911
$$
VAC083-271211-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-151228T0753Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.151224T0225Z.151226T2100Z.151227T1953Z.NO/
1111 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Dan River At South Boston.
* until late Sunday afternoon.
* at 10PM Saturday the stage was 25.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling and should be below
flood stage by late afternoon Sunday.
* Flooding of low-lying and agricultural land and
woods will continue through early Sunday afternoon.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 24, 7:09 AM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 7:09 AM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
709 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
AN ABNORMALLY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO THE
REGION TODAY...WHICH WILL THEN STALL FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL RESULT SEVERAL
PERIODS OF SHOWERS FOR OUR AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 420 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
LARGE CLUSTER OF MODERATE SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS CROSSED THE FORECAST AREA FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST SINCE MIDNIGHT. MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE
ALREADY MOVING INTO THE WESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA. BIGGEST
CHALLENGE TODAY AND TONIGHT IS WHERE THIS PREFRONTAL BAND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STALL AND WHERE THE AXIS OF
HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE. NAM AND GFS AS WELL AS THE LOCAL WRF AND
OTHER SHORT TERM GUIDANCE HOLD THE FRONT JUST NORTHWEST OF THE
FORECAST AREA BUT HAD DIFFERING LOCATIONS OF THE HEAVIEST
PREFRONTAL RAINFALL. USED A BLEND OF WPC AND LOCAL WRF RAINFALL
FORECAST TO PLACE BEST PROBABILITY AND ORIENTATION OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HAVE INCREASED PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION IN MOST
LOCATIONS FOR TODAY AND ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA FOR TONIGHT.
SIMILAR TO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL START
UNSEASONABLY MILD TODAY BUT WITH ONLY A SMALL RISE DUE TO THE
CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION. MAV AND LOCAL WRF GUIDANCE WERE A
REASONABLE BASIS FOR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES TODAY AND LOWS TONIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 330 AM EST THURSDAY...
THE UPPER PATTERN WITH AN EASTERN RIDGE/WESTERN TROF WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING VERY WARM AND MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT...BUT AN EVOLUTION TO A CLOSED LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL
BRING SOME SUBTLE CHANGES TO OUR FORECAST. THE PERIOD STARTS OFF ON A
WET NOTE FRIDAY AS THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE REGION
BEGINS TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD. DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR WELL ORGANIZED
CONVECTION WILL BE LESSENING AS THE LOW LEVEL JET MAX PULLS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST...BUT THERE SHOULD STILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY IN THIS
EXCEPTIONALLY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO GENERATE SOME
THUNDERSTORMS/EMBEDDED THUNDER. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES STILL
RUNNING WELL ABOVE NORMAL SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
HIGHEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BEING FOUND FROM THE BLUE RIDGE WESTWARD.
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL THEN BE DECREASING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
WITH MOST OF THE REGION INTO JUST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS BY LATE SATURDAY.
HOWEVER THIS REPRIEVE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A LARGE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND PUSHES THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY BACK INTO
THE REGION AND THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE INCREASING ONCE
AGAIN SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR RECORD LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH READINGS IN THE LOW/MID 70S EAST OF THE RIDGE AND UPPER 60S/AROUND
70 TO THE WEST. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES
UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN COLDER AIR STARTS WORKING IN FROM THE NORTH AS
THE BOUNDARY GETS PUSHED THROUGH THE REGION.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
LONG TERM PERIOD AS MEAN UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OFF THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OF THE NATION...KEEPING MID ATLANTIC AND MID APPALACHIAN
REGION IN MAINLY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
A MORE GENERAL WIDESPREAD RAIN ENCOMPASSING MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE
FORECAST AREA AGAIN SEEMS IN THE OFFING FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS
CLOSED UPPER LOW FILLS AND LIFTS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...AND AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER INTO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THE COOL WEDGE IN ADVANCE OF THE MIDWESTERN UPPER
LOW. PRECIPITATION SHOULD GRADUALLY TRANSITION FROM SPOTTY UPSLOPING
DRIZZLE/LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN UPSLOPING FLANKS OF THE APPALACHIANS
ON MONDAY...TO MORE OF A WIDESPREAD SHOWERY NATURE LATER MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY AS WARM ADVECTION INCREASES IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING OCCLUDED
FRONT.
PASSAGE OF SHEARING WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT SHOULD ALLOW FOR A
RETURN TO DRIER WEATHER ON BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM BY TUESDAY NIGHT
OR WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH SOME WEAK COOL ADVECTION. HOWEVER...AS
HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR MUCH OF THE FALL SEASON...PROXIMITY OF UPPER
RIDGE TO OUR SOUTH...AND MAINTENANCE OF SW FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVENT
INTRUSION OF ANY SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER AIR UNTIL LATER IN THE
WEEK...AND PERHAPS NOT UNTIL AFTER NEW YEARS DAY.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1220 AM EST THURSDAY...
POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT A PERSISTENT BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING. INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS
OF PRECIPITATION WITHIN THIS BAND WERE MOVING MUCH FASTER...AROUND
50 KNOTS...TO THE NORTHEAST BEING STEERED BY A STRONG LOW LEVEL
JET. THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION WAS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL STALL OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND TENNESSEE VALLEY BY TONIGHT.
EXPECT MVFR TO VFR CEILINGS TODAY...WITH OCCASIONAL IFR CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN. MODELS SUGGEST CEILINGS
WILL LOWER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY BECOME IFR TO LIFR
WITH STRATUS AND FOG TONIGHT. LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE TIMING OF THE
DROP IN CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT CEILINGS
AND VISIBILITIES WILL NOT LOWER UNTIL THE AREAL COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS DIMINISHES...WHICH MAY BE AROUND 05Z/MIDNIGHT.
KEPT LLWS IN THE TAFS THIS MORNING BUT 850 MB JET WILL WEAKEN BY
NOON.
.EXTENDED AVIATION DISCUSSION...
CHRISTMAS DAY WILL LIKELY FEATURE SOMEWHAT IMPROVED
CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES AS THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE WELL INTO THE
WARM SECTOR. BUT STILL A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SUB-VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE WEEKEND...BUT OVERALL LESS LIKELY TO PERSIST IN THE IFR OR
WORSE VALUES AS ATMOSPHERE WILL BE A LITTLE BETTER MIXED AND
FREQUENCY OF SHOWERS MUCH LESS WITH NO KEY FEATURES TO HELP LIFT
THE MOIST ATMOSPHERE.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 430 AM EST THURSDAY...
AS ADVERTISED...VERY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WERE BEING
ADVECTED INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THIS MOIST AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
IN THE REGION WELL INTO FRIDAY. UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND VORTICITY
ADVECTION WITH A SHORT WAVE TRACKING INTO THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WILL PROVIDE STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT WHICH WILL BE
ENHANCED BY MODEST UPSLOPE ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE.
PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY IS VERY HIGH TODAY AND TONIGHT. WARM
CLOUD DEPTH IS NEARLY 10KFT AND RAINFALL RATES GREATER THAN ONE
INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY. BASED ON THESE EXPECTED RATES AND
CONSIDERING THE LOCATIONS THAT HAVE HAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL SO
FAR THIS WEEK...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA FOR TODAY.
AS FOR THE MAIN STEM RIVERS...
A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DAN RIVER AT SOUTH BOSTON AND
THE ROANOKE RIVER AT RANDOLPH. AT THIS TIME THE DAN RIVER AT
DANVILLE AND PACES WERE RISING BUT WERE EXPECTED TO CREST BELOW
FLOOD STAGE.
&&
.CLIMATE...
AS OF 430 AM EST THURSDAY...
WITH THE CONTINUING VERY WARM AIRMASS IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS... MANY DAILY MAX TEMPERATURE RECORDS AS WELL AS HIGH MIN
TEMPERATURE RECORDS ARE LIKELY TO BE SET. FOR REFERENCE...HERE ARE
RECORDS FOR OUR CLIMATE STATIONS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
THURSDAY 12/24/2015
SITE MAXT YEAR MINT YEAR LOMAX YEAR HIMIN YEAR
KBLF 66 1964 -8 1983 14 1989 53 1964
KDAN 70 1990 9 1989 23 1989 53 1990
KLYH 70 1933 1 1983 26 1906 47 1979
KROA 72 1933 0 1989 26 1960 47 1979
KRNK 62 1996 -4 1989 19 1960 46 1956
FRIDAY 12/25/2015
SITE MAXT YEAR MINT YEAR LOMAX YEAR HIMIN YEAR
KBLF 64 1982 -13 1983 2 1983 55 1982
KDAN 76 1955 3 1983 28 1989 48 1988
KLYH 72 1982 -4 1983 13 1983 57 1964
KROA 68 1982 -4 1983 11 1983 54 1964
KRNK 68 1964 -8 1983 13 1983 41 1972
SATURDAY 12/26/2015
SITE MAXT YEAR MINT YEAR LOMAX YEAR HIMIN YEAR
KBLF 62 1987 -3 1983 16 1977 55 1982
KDAN 75 1982 2 1983 18 1983 57 1964
KLYH 72 1922 1 1983 22 1914 58 1964
KROA 70 1964 3 1980 23 1985 56 1982
KRNK 64 1982 -8 1985 9 1983 50 1982
SUNDAY 12/27/2015
SITE MAXT YEAR MINT YEAR LOMAX YEAR HIMIN YEAR
KBLF 69 2008 9 1977 20 2010 52 1982
KDAN 77 1982 6 1983 27 1985 54 1964
KLYH 71 1971 0 1914 21 1925 50 1940
KROA 69 1984 -3 1914 25 1935 52 1940
KRNK 67 2008 -6 1985 20 1985 52 1964
MONDAY 12/28/2015
SITE MAXT YEAR MINT YEAR LOMAX YEAR HIMIN YEAR
KBLF 67 1984 4 1977 20 1995 53 1984
KDAN 72 1971 13 1966 28 1950 54 2008
KLYH 76 1984 6 1977 26 1950 51 1959
KROA 75 1984 4 1925 25 1925 51 1984
KRNK 66 1984 6 1977 28 1995 42 1959
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 325 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
A COMMUNICATION OUTAGE HAS LIMITED THE DISTRIBUTION OF THE
OBSERVATION FROM THE BLUEFIELD AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVATION
SYSTEM. DATA FROM THIS SITE MAY BE UNAVAILABLE UNTIL FURTHER
NOTICE.
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR VAZ009-015-016-032-
043-044-058-059.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NCZ001>006-018>020.
WV...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...AMS
NEAR TERM...AMS
SHORT TERM...MBS
LONG TERM...MBS/WERT
AVIATION...RCS/SK
HYDROLOGY...AMS
CLIMATE...AMS
EQUIPMENT...RCSHazardous weather outlook, Dec 24, 4:31 AM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 431 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015 VAZ007-010>014-017>020-022>024-033>035-045>047-WVZ042>044-507-508- 250945- TAZEWELL-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-CRAIG- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD- AMHERST-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE- EASTERN GREENBRIER-WESTERN GREENBRIER- 431 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY. SOME STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ009-015-016-032-043-044-058-059-250945- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES- YADKIN-SMYTH-GRAYSON-CARROLL-PATRICK-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX- CHARLOTTE- 431 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ALSO...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 24, 5:45 AM EST, 3 hours 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 545 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015 NCZ001-VAZ009-012-015-016-241130- ASHE-WYTHE-SMYTH-CARROLL-GRAYSON- 545 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL ASHE...GRAYSON...SOUTHEASTERN SMYTH...NORTHERN CITY OF GALAX...WYTHE AND NORTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTIES... AT 543 AM EST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER GRAYSON HIGHLANDS STATE PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WYTHEVILLE... GALAX... HILLSVILLE... RURAL RETREAT... AND INDEPENDENCE. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. LAT...LON 3672 8166 3706 8095 3674 8066 3653 8155 TIME...MOT...LOC 1043Z 245DEG 52KT 3665 8150 AS
Special weather statement, Dec 24, 7:33 AM EST, 1 hour 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
733 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
VAZ043>045-058-059-241330-
HENRY-CHARLOTTE-HALIFAX-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
733 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CITY OF
DANVILLE...CHARLOTTE...PITTSYLVANIA...SOUTHEASTERN HENRY...
SOUTHEASTERN CAMPBELL AND HALIFAX COUNTIES...
AT 731 AM EST...SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR GLADYS TO NEAR MARTINSVILLE
AIRPORT. THIS LINE WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DANVILLE...
SOUTH BOSTON...
HALIFAX...
CHATHAM...
AND GRETNA.
THIS INCLUDES DANVILLE AIRPORT.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
LAT...LON 3689 7849 3670 7865 3663 7855 3669 7868
3668 7870 3654 7873 3654 7992 3718 7917
3722 7886 3721 7884 3720 7880 3723 7878
3722 7873 3724 7868 3719 7868 3719 7864
3714 7859 3715 7855 3709 7848 3708 7844
TIME...MOT...LOC 1231Z 232DEG 25KT 3715 7904 3658 7985
ASSpecial weather statement, Dec 24, 7:57 AM EST, 1 hour 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
757 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
NCZ003-019-020-241400-
WILKES-YADKIN-SURRY-
757 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT
SOUTHWESTERN SURRY...NORTHERN YADKIN AND EASTERN WILKES COUNTIES...
AT 756 AM EST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER MORAVIAN FALLS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH WILKESBORO...
ELKIN...
WILKESBORO...
FAIRVIEW...
AND JONESVILLE.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
LAT...LON 3603 8124 3612 8136 3637 8101 3637 8098
3642 8095 3650 8084 3627 8045 3624 8045
3622 8043 3603 8116
TIME...MOT...LOC 1256Z 241DEG 41KT 3606 8120
ASThe office that day
Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 8:22 PM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Halifax | 4 days |
| Dec 24, 3:23 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Charlotte, Halifax | 55 hr |
| Dec 24, 4:06 AM EST | Flash Flood Watch | RNK | Carroll, Charlotte, Grayson, Halifax, Henry, Patrick and 5 more | 42 hr |
| Dec 24, 5:45 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Carroll, Grayson, Wythe | 45 min |
| Dec 24, 7:33 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville | 57 min |
| Dec 24, 7:47 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Grayson | 6 hr |
| Dec 24, 8:51 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | RNK | Charlotte, Halifax | 6 hr |
| Dec 24, 9:01 AM EST | River Flood Warning | RNK | Pittsylvania, City of Danville | 49 hr |
| Dec 24, 10:21 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RNK | City of Danville | 3 hr |
| Dec 24, 10:29 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RNK | Charlotte, Halifax, City of Danville | 61 min |
| Dec 24, 11:47 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Pittsylvania, City of Danville | 9 hr |
| Dec 24, 2:30 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | RNK | City of Danville | 30 min |
| Dec 24, 2:33 PM EST | Flash Flood Watch | RNK | Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Bland and 20 more | 31 hr |
| Dec 24, 2:45 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RNK | Charlotte, Halifax | 9 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.