Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, WV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
135 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
MILD AND MOIST DEEP LAYER FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRONT
APPROACHES TONIGHT AND DISSOLVES CHRISTMAS EVE. FRONT IS REVIVED
AS A WAVE CROSSES CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
UPDATE...
LEADING LINE OF CONVECTION MOVING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
SOUTHWESTERN OHIO HAS LOST A LOT OF ITS ENERGY AT THIS POINT...AND
LOOKS LIKE IT MAY ONLY CLIP PERRY COUNTY AS IT SPEEDS OFF INTO
NORTHERN OHIO. FOCUSED ON THE NOW MOVING INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO
VALLEY...AGAIN MOVING NORTHEASTWARD...WHICH HAS SOME SEVERE
HISTORY TO IT...AND REQUIRES MONITORING. HARD TO TIME IT INTO OUR
NORTHEAST KENTUCKY COUNTIES...BUT LOOKS TO BE ABOUT 2-3 HOURS FROM
NOW. EVOLUTION OF THE LINE ALONG THE WAY WILL HAVE SOME INPUT ON
THE OVERALL TIMING. SHOULD EXPECT GUSTY WINDS WITH THE LINE.
MOTION IS IN THE 50-60 MPH RANGE AT THIS TIME.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW IS MAINTAINED THIS PERIOD WITH MUCH MOISTURE AND
WARMTH. THIS THE MODELS AGREE ON...WITH PERHAPS ADDITIONAL RECORD
HIGHS SOME PLACES ON THURSDAY DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH CLOUD AND SHOWER
ACTIVITY HANG AROUND. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE BOTH EAST AND WEST OF
THE AREA...WITH ANY ACTIVITY LIGHT AND MOSTLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS.
DESPITE ALL THE CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON...SOME RECORD HIGHS ARE IN
JEOPARDY.

I BELIEVE THINGS HAVE BECOME JUST A BIT CLEARER THIS PERIOD.
ORIGINALLY THERE WAS A VERY LARGE DIFFERENCE AMONG THE MODELS IN
REFERENCE TO THE COOL FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY. BASICALLY ...SOME MODELS HAD THE FRONT MOVING INTACT ACROSS
THE AREA THURSDAY AND PUSHING ITS ASSOCIATED BAND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS STEADILY ACROSS WITH IT. OTHERS HAD THE FRONT BARELY
MAKING THE OHIO RIVER BEFORE DISSIPATING...AND HANGING ITS
ASSOCIATED BAND OF PRECIP OVER CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA. MODEL RUNS
TODAY HAVE TRENDED FOR THE FRONT TO MOVE INTO FAR WESTERN SECTION OF
OUR CWA LATER TONIGHT...AND DISSIPATE THE FRONT OVER CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA DURING THURSDAY AS THE FRONT BECOME PARALLEL TO THE FLOW
ALOFT AND LOSES UPPER SUPPORT. ON THE OTHER HAND...A BAND OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
EARLY TONIGHT...WITH STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE...THEN WEAKEN AND TRACK
ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE MOUNTAINS BEFORE THEY POSSIBLY STALL
THURSDAY AFTERNOON DUE THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THUS...OUR POPS
FOCUS ON THIS PRE FRONTAL BAND WITH CAT POPS FROM WEST TO EAST
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING AS THEY CONTINUE
EASTWARD THURSDAY. EITHER SIDE OF THIS BAND WILL BE A RAPID DROP OFF
OF POPS WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF UPPER SUPPORT. DESPITE LOTS OF
CLOUDS THURSDAY...MAYBE RECORD HIGHS? IN ANY CASE...WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THIS PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DEEP LAYER FLOW OF UNSEASONABLY MILD AIR CONTINUES THROUGH THE
CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY. WEAK SFC BOUNDARY REMAINS STALLED OVER THE
MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY. OFF AND ON SHOWERS IN A
CORRIDOR ALONG THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WILL BE AIDED BY UPSLOPE
ON THE SE SLOPES AND THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGIONS OF WEAK JETLETS
WHILE THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET SITS WELL NW OF THE SFC BOUNDARY.
THE NAM...ESPECIALLY THE 18Z RUN...WAS A BIT AGGRESSIVE WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND QPF OUTPUT OVER THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS ON CHRISTMAS DAY...SO THE HOLIDAY COULD TURN OUT TO
BE A BIT OF A SOAKER THERE IF THIS VERIFIES. THIS MAY BE ENHANCED
BY CONVECTION DOWN TOWARD THE TUG FORK AND SW VA.

THERE MAY ALSO BE SHOWERS NEAR THE BOUNDARY OVER THE MIDDLE OHIO
VALLEY CHRISTMAS DAY...AS FRONTOGENETIC FORCING REVIVES THE
BOUNDARY AS A WARM FRONT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SFC WAVE. AGAIN THE
CORRESPONDING UPPER LEVEL S/W TROUGH WILL BE FLAT...AND MAINLY A
SPEED MAX. THAT WAVE WILL BRING RAIN ACROSS THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY
CHRISTMAS NT INTO SAT...WHILE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IN THE WARM
SECTOR BRINGS AN END TO THE SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

AS THE WAVE MOVES N ON SAT...SO WILL THE SRN EDGE OF THE
RAIN...WITH THE AREA GETTING DEEPER INTO THE WARM SECTOR SAT
AFTERNOON.

THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE ABOVE SCENARIO BRINGS SEPARATE RAIN
EVENTS...ONE POTENTIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS CHRISTMAS
DAY...AND THE OTHER OVER THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY CHRISTMAS NT INTO
SAT...THE RAIN ESSENTIALLY DISSIPATING OVER THE FIRST AREA WHILE
BREAKING OUT OVER THE SECOND. SO...WHILE AN INCH OR MORE QPF IS
POSSIBLE WITH EACH...THE SEPARATION AND LIMITED DURATION IN EACH
AREA SHOULD PRECLUDE EXCESSIVE WATER ISSUES EVEN THE ALL THE
ANTECEDENT RAINFALL. HOWEVER...PW VALUES REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL
IN THE HIGH AMPLITUDE FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH
CHRISTMAS DAY...AND THEN OVER THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY CHRISTMAS NT
INTO SAT.

SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WORKS INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY CHRISTMAS
EVE NT AND CHRISTMAS DAY...OTHERWISE NO MAJOR TEMPERATURES
FLUCTUATIONS ARE FORESEEN. EMPLOYED A BIAS CORRECT MET/MAV BLEND
FOR LOWS AND A STRAIGHT MET/MAV BLEND FOR HIGHS FRI. RECORD HIGH
HIGHS SAT LOOKED GOOD AND INHERITED AS IS...AND WERE CLOSEST TO
THE BIAS CORRECTED ECMWF AND MOSGUIDE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE UNSETTLED WX CONTINUES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE S PLAINS
SYSTEM EJECTS NE INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER
WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE LONG ABOUT MONDAY FOLLOWED BY COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE TUESDAY. HAVE INCREASED POPS INTO LIKELY/CATEGORICAL FOR THE
ACTUAL COLD FRONT. SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES REGARDING JUST HOW
ACTIVE THE WARM FRONT IT QPF WISE BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF. WE WILL
FINALLY SEE THIS MESS CLEAR OUT OF HERE AFTER TUESDAY WITH COLDER
AIR WORKING IN TO END 2015...THOUGH NOTHING OUT OF THE ORDINARY.
DESPITE THE LAST MINUTE CHILL TO END DECEMBER...THE MONTH WILL
PROBABLY STILL END UP AS THE WARMEST ON RECORD AT SOME OF OUR
CLIMATE SITES.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
06Z THURSDAY THRU 06Z FRIDAY...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL SLOW AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY...THEN STALL AND DISSIPATE IN THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.
THE BAND OF SHOWERS...AND AN ISOLATED EMBEDDED STORM POSSIBLE TIL
09Z WEST OF A CRW-CKB LINE...AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE UNTIL IT REACHES THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. MOST OF
THE SHOWERS WILL BE EAST OF THE OHIO RIVER BY 13Z...AND EAST OF
CRW-CKB LINE BY 20Z. MOST OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE CONFINED TO THE
MOUNTAINS BY 22Z...WHERE THEY WILL ONLY SLOWLY CONTINUE TO SHIFT
SOUTH AND EAST INTO FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY 06Z
FRIDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL DECREASE
AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE DAY.

EXPECT VFR CEILINGS AOA 4000 FEET OUTSIDE THIS BAND OF
CONVECTION.... WITH SOME CLEARING IN THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS SOME DRIER AIR WORKS IN ALOFT. WITHIN THE
BAND OF SHOWERS...GENERAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. NO FOG
OUTSIDE THE RAIN THIS MORNING.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING OF SHOWERS AND ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS
COULD VARY.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                   THU 12/24/15
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
EST 1HRLY       01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    M    M    M    L    L    L    L    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H

AFTER 06Z FRIDAY...

IFR POSSIBLE THURSDAY MAINLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...ALONG WITH
ADDITIONAL AREAS OF IFR POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND IN RAIN.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TRM/JMV/30
NEAR TERM...JMV/26
SHORT TERM...TRM
LONG TERM...30
AVIATION...JMV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
322 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-250830-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
322 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAIN FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
FLOODING COULD BECOME A PROBLEM ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1044 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

OHZ067-075-076-083>087-WVZ007-240445-
VINTON-MORGAN-LAWRENCE-WASHINGTON-ATHENS-GALLIA-MEIGS-JACKSON-MASON-
1044 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN MORGAN...
WESTERN WASHINGTON...GALLIA...EASTERN VINTON...MEIGS...ATHENS AND
NORTHWESTERN MASON COUNTIES...

AT 1044 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NELSONVILLE TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALBANY TO NEAR
SOUTH WEBSTER...AND MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ATHENS...BELPRE...NELSONVILLE...POINT PLEASANT...GALLIPOLIS...POMEROY...
GLOUSTER...RIO GRANDE...ALBANY...RACINE...COOLVILLE...RUTLAND...
CHESTERHILL...FORKED RUN STATE PARK...NEW HAVEN...MASON...TUPPERS PLAINS...
GALLIA...MIDDLEPORT AND CHESTER.

LAT...LON 3966 8167 3928 8161 3927 8168 3923 8169
      3918 8176 3910 8175 3908 8177 3908 8181
      3904 8178 3879 8197 3876 8266 3904 8236
      3939 8232 3939 8229 3947 8228 3947 8217
      3954 8216 3955 8204 3957 8204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0344Z 250DEG 61KT 3945 8224 3913 8227 3881 8262

26

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1122 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

OHZ067-076-085-WVZ008>011-017-019-240515-
MORGAN-WASHINGTON-MEIGS-PLEASANTS-RITCHIE-JACKSON-TYLER-WIRT-WOOD-
1122 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WASHINGTON...TYLER...
PLEASANTS...WIRT...RITCHIE AND WOOD COUNTIES...

AT 1122 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR CALDWELL TO BELPRE TO NEAR RAVENSWOOD...AND MOVING
EAST AT 70 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PARKERSBURG...MARIETTA...BELPRE...HARRISVILLE...ST. MARYS...BEVERLY...
ELIZABETH...MIDDLEBOURNE...VIENNA...WILLIAMSTOWN...PADEN CITY...
SISTERSVILLE...PENNSBORO...BELMONT...BOAZ...NORTH BEND STATE PARK...
MINERALWELLS...WASHINGTON...LUBECK AND NEWPORT.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 77 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 155 AND 186.
 INTERSTATE 77 IN OHIO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 16.
 ROUTE 50 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 42.

LAT...LON 3966 8159 3959 8159 3958 8148 3965 8145
      3959 8135 3961 8127 3958 8125 3957 8104
      3954 8104 3961 8095 3958 8089 3960 8085
      3956 8081 3950 8081 3905 8111 3899 8121
      3901 8181 3927 8168 3968 8168 3969 8164
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 249DEG 61KT 3970 8146 3926 8160 3895 8181

26

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
129 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PARKERSBURG             39.26N  81.54W
12/23/2015                   WOOD               WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTH 6TH STREET IN
            PARKERSBURG WEST VIRGINIA. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL TRAILERS
            INCLUDING ROOF DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO UNDERPINNINGS.
            SEVERAL LARGE TREES UPROOTED. INSULATION AND METAL
            SIDING 25-30 FEET IN TREES. SEVERAL POWER LINES DOWN.
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1501826

SL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
146 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

KYZ103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>008-013-014-240730-
BOYD-LAWRENCE-LAWRENCE-GALLIA-MASON-CABELL-JACKSON-PUTNAM-WAYNE-
LINCOLN-
146 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE...EASTERN BOYD...SOUTHEASTERN GALLIA...SOUTHEASTERN
LAWRENCE...NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN...NORTHERN WAYNE...NORTHWESTERN
PUTNAM...CENTRAL MASON AND CABELL COUNTIES...

AT 145 AM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR COAL GROVE TO WINIFRED...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
70 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTINGTON...ASHLAND...LOUISA...COAL GROVE...WAYNE...HAMLIN...CHESAPEAKE...
PROCTORVILLE...BLAINE...BEECH FORK STATE PARK...YATESVILLE LAKE STATE
PARK...HURRICANE...BARBOURSVILLE...KENOVA...MILTON...CATLETTSBURG...
ELEANOR...CEREDO...BUFFALO AND FORT GAY.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 186 AND 191.
 INTERSTATE 64 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 36.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3893 8172 3826 8209 3798 8289 3855 8261
TIME...MOT...LOC 0645Z 237DEG 60KT 3850 8256 3796 8288

14

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
223 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

WVZ007-008-013>019-240815-
MASON-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-KANAWHA-ROANE-JACKSON-WIRT-PUTNAM-LINCOLN-
223 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PUTNAM...NORTHERN
KANAWHA...JACKSON...SOUTHERN WIRT...NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN...
SOUTHWESTERN RITCHIE AND ROANE COUNTIES...

AT 222 AM EST...A LINE OF GUSTY SHOWERS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 10 MILES WEST OF RIPLEY TO NEAR HAMLIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 70 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHARLESTON...NITRO...RIPLEY...SPENCER...WINFIELD...GRANTSVILLE...JEFFERSON...
ST. ALBANS...DUNBAR...HURRICANE...SISSONVILLE...ELEANOR...CLENDENIN...POCA...
TORNADO...AMMA...SANDYVILLE...CROSS LANES...KENNA AND TEAYS VALLEY.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 79 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 6 AND 27.
 INTERSTATE 77 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 105 AND 147.
 INTERSTATE 64 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 37 AND 52.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH WILL
CREATE REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

LAT...LON 3916 8097 3851 8127 3825 8209 3893 8173
TIME...MOT...LOC 0722Z 243DEG 65KT 3882 8190 3827 8215

14

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
421 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

OHZ076-241415-
WASHINGTON-
421 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

AT 400 AM EST...DUCK CREEK AT MACKSBURG OHIO WAS 11.6 FEET...AND WAS
CONTINUING TO RISE FROM RECENT RAINS OVERNIGHT. DUCK CREEK AT
MACKSBURG AND LOCATIONS DOWNSTREAM ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR
BANKFUL EARLY THIS MORNING...WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED WATER
ISSUES...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS ADJACENT TO THE CREEK.
PERSONS WITH INTERESTS NEAR DUCK CREEK SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.

THE CREEK IS EXPECTED TO RECEDE BY MID MORNING.

LAT...LON 3964 8145 3963 8145 3963 8144 3961 8140
      3954 8139 3948 8140 3945 8137 3941 8141
      3941 8144 3958 8144 3965 8147
TIME...MOT...LOC 0913Z 240DEG 49KT 3954 8135

14