Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Raleigh, NC

079 
WWUS52 KRAH 262339
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
739 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

NCC191-270000-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-150827T0000Z/
WAYNE NC-
739 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY...

AT 737 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING 
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF  
MOUNT OLIVE... MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 720 PM...THERE WERE NUMEROUS REPORTS OF PEA TO 
MARBLE SIZE HAIL IN MOUNT OLIVE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOLDSBORO...MOUNT OLIVE...WALNUT CREEK...BROGDEN...MAR-MAC AND ELROY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

&&

LAT...LON 3522 7793 3520 7795 3520 7797 3521 7806
      3523 7812 3525 7817 3538 7815 3538 7814
      3539 7815 3543 7815 3549 7811 3544 7783
      3542 7782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 192DEG 13KT 3528 7804 

$$

WSS

007 
WWUS52 KRAH 262350
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
750 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

NCC191-262359-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-150827T0000Z/
WAYNE NC-
750 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS STILL
POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM AS IT CROSSES THE GOLDSBORO AREA.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3522 7793 3520 7795 3520 7797 3521 7806
      3523 7812 3525 7817 3538 7815 3538 7814
      3539 7815 3543 7815 3549 7811 3544 7783
      3542 7782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 192DEG 13KT 3532 7803 

$$

WSS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
308 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A FRONT WILL REMAIN NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH LATE
IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 305 PM WEDNESDAY...

TROUGHING REMAINS OVER THE EAST COAST... IN AMPLIFIED FLOW ACROSS
THE CONUS. SURFACE FRONT REMAINS NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST... WITH A
WEAK SURFACE WAVE OVER COASTAL SC. DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 50S OVER THE
WESTERN PART OF THE CWA AS DRIER AIR TRIES TO NUDGE IN... AND THE
LOW TO MID 70S EAST OF I95 IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE BOUNDARY. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAINS IN THIS MOISTER
AIRMASS... WHERE CAPE IS PROGGED TO REACH 500-1000 J/KG.
TEMPERATURES HAVE SLOWLY CLIMBED TO WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 80...
AND ARE STILL ON TRACK FOR HIGHS MID TO UPPER 80S. MORNING STRATUS
LOOKS LIKELY AGAIN FROM THE US1 CORRIDOR EASTWARD ON THURSDAY AS WE
REMAIN IN LOW LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. LOWS IN THE 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 307 PM WEDNESDAY...

SURFACE HIGH OVER THE MIDWEST WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY... AND
WE WILL REMAIN IN A NORTHEASTERLY FLOW REGIME AT THE SURFACE ON THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH. ANY SHOWERS SHOULD AGAIN BE CONFINED
TO MAINLY THE SOUTHEASTERN AREAS OF THE CWA... AS THE WEAKENING
BOUNDARY REMAINS NEAR THE COAST. HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID 80S...
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 100 PM WEDNESDAY...

RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC BEGINS TO RETROGRESS...PUSHING
THE FRONTAL ZONE ALONG THE COAST WESTWARD TO THE NC COAST. THIS
FRONT WILL BE BLOCKED BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN THE
ATLANTIC SEABOARD...AND IT WILL CONSEQUENTLY WRAP AROUND THE HIGH
PRESSURE TO PRESENT A SURFACE PATTERN WITH AN APPEARANCE MUCH LIKE A
DAMMING SCENARIO SANS COOLER AIR. THE HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS TIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH MINIMAL LIFT/FORCING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY...SO WILL MAINTAIN THE DRY FORECAST THROUGH LATER SATURDAY
WITH HIGHS BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN THE MID 80S.

PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL BE ON A GRADUAL INCREASE DUE TO WEAK
ATLANTIC AND GULF MOISTURE ADVECTION...REACHING 1.5 INCHES ON
SUNDAY. MEANWHILE...AN UPPER IMPULSE IS PROGGED TO LIFT OUT OF THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA SUNDAY...
PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR INCREASED CONVECTION IN THE WEST...WITH
ACTIVITY SHIFTING TO THE EAST WITH LESS COVERAGE ON MONDAY AS THE
SHORT WAVE LIFTS OUT. HIGHS WILL STILL REACH MID 80S EACH DAY...WITH
UPPER 80S IN THE SOUTH.

UNCERTAINTY INCREASES BY MIDWEEK AS ERIKA OR HER REMAINS WILL
POTENTIALLY BE COMING INTO THE PICTURE. THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC UPPER
RIDGE WILL DETERMINE WHERE THE SYSTEM TRACKS...AND WILL KEEP ITS
IMPACT OUT OF THE EQUATION FOR NOW TO AVOID SEE-SAWING THE POPS EACH
MODEL RUN. REGARDLESS...MOIST AND WARM AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGHS WAY UP IN THE 80S...PROVIDING
ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR AT LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED DIURNAL CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 134 PM WEDNESDAY...

24 HOUR TAF PERIOD: CONDITIONS ARE VFR... WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MVFR
CIGS REMAINING AT KFAY. EXPECT A BRIEF PERIOD OF IMPROVEMENT THROUGH
TONIGHT BEFORE SUB-VFR STRATUS... AND POTENTIALLY SOME FOG...
REDEVELOP IN THE MORNING HOURS EAST OF THE ROUTE 1 CORRIDOR. KINT
AND KGSO SHOULD REMAIN VFR. ANY STRATUS WILL LIFT IN THE LATE
MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND NORTHEASTERLY.

LONG TERM: CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN PREDOMINATELY VFR THROUGH
THE WEEKEND... WITH THE EXCEPTION OF POSSIBLE MORNING SUB-VFR
STRATUS/FOG. UNCERTAINTY INCREASES LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH THE
APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY... AND THE
POTENTIAL IMPACTS... IF ANY... OF TC ERIKA.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...30
NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM...MLM
AVIATION...30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
341 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-270745-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
341 AM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
709 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

NCZ078-270015-
WAYNE NC-
709 PM EDT WED AUG 26 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY
UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

AT 708 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MOUNT OLIVE...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOLDSBORO...MOUNT OLIVE...WALNUT CREEK...BROGDEN...MAR-MAC...ELROY
AND CLIFFS OF THE NEUSE STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO SLOW DOWN AND USE
EXTRA CAUTION TO AVOID HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 7793 3516 7797 3518 7799 3519 7802
      3519 7804 3518 7807 3519 7816 3521 7817
      3538 7815 3538 7814 3539 7815 3544 7815
      3549 7811 3544 7783 3542 7782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 192DEG 13KT 3517 7806

WSS