Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 39, NWS Raleigh, NC

December 30, 2015Johnston County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Dec 30, 2015, 5:55 PM EST for Johnston County, North Carolina. It took effect at Dec 30, 2015, 9:50 PM EST. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 30, 2015, 5:55 PM EST (22:55 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 30, 2015, 9:50 PM EST
Expired
Jan 4, 2016, 1:00 PM EST
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Johnston County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 10 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Neuse River near Clayton (CLYN7).

Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
9 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
16 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02087500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

869 
WGUS42 KRAH 302255
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
555 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-311055-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0039.151231T0250Z-160104T1800Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.151231T0250Z.160101T0000Z.160104T0600Z.NO/
555 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Neuse River Near Clayton.
* from this evening to Monday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  5:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  tonight and continue to rise to near 12.9 feet by tomorrow 
  evening.The river will fall below flood stage by early Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
 Clayton           9   7.8 Wed 05 PM  12.1  12.2  10.4   9.4   8.9


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Clayton:        128.41

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$
4 follow-up statements
250 
WGUS82 KRAH 310906
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
406 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-312106-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-160101T2300Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.151230T2047Z.151231T0516Z.160101T1100Z.NO/
406 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  3:46 AM Thursday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   

Haw River
  Bynum       11  13.5 Thu 04 AM    13.8  10.9   8.5   7.0   6.3


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Bynum:          283.31
        

&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC101-312106-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.151231T0307Z.160101T0600Z.160103T1500Z.NO/
406 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  3:15 AM Thursday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.1 feet by 
  early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon 

Neuse River
  Clayton      9   9.9 Thu 03 AM    10.3  10.9   9.9   9.1   8.6


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:


        Clayton:        128.41
        
&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-312106-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0041.151231T0859Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.151231T0436Z.160101T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
406 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* from early this morning until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  3:15 AM Thursday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by 
  Friday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon 

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  15.7 Thu 03 AM    15.9  17.6  17.2  16.3  15.8


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26
        
&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-312105-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.151227T1337Z.160105T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
406 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  3:15 AM Thursday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 19.8 feet by early Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon 

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  17.7 Thu 03 AM    17.6  17.5  18.0  18.8  19.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95
  

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC007-167-312105-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160101T0445Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.151231T0023Z.151231T1200Z.151231T1645Z.NO/
406 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At  3:45 AM Thursday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.3 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this morning.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon  

Rocky River
  Norwood     20  27.0 Thu 04 AM    27.3   8.4   5.4   4.3   3.8


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Norwood:        212.91
     

&&

LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
          3515 8028                   

$$

NCC065-312105-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.151227T2245Z.160104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
406 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* At  3:15 AM Thursday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.3 feet by 
  Monday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon 

Tar River
  Tarboro     19  19.7 Thu 03 AM    19.4  17.9  18.4  20.0  21.3


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:


        Tarboro:         10.37
   

&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
904 
WGUS82 KRAH 311519
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1019 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-010319-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160104T1200Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.151231T0307Z.151231T1800Z.160104T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
 Clayton           9  10.4 Thu 09 AM  10.6  10.1   9.4   8.8   8.6


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Clayton:        128.41

&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-010319-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.151231T0436Z.160101T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.8 feet by 
  early Friday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding begins along the 
  Neuse riverwalk. Water nears the base of the holding tank at the 
  water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
 Smithfield       15  16.5 Thu 09 AM  17.7  17.4  16.6  16.0  15.5


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Smithfield:      99.26

&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-010318-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.151227T1337Z.160105T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Saturday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 19.9 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
 Goldsboro        18  17.4 Thu 09 AM  17.3  17.8  18.8  19.4  19.9


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:

        Goldsboro:       42.95

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$
792 
WGUS82 KRAH 010146
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
846 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-011346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160102T1330Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.151231T0307Z.151231T1645Z.160102T0130Z.NO/
846 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
  Clayton      9   9.5 Thu 08 PM     9.7   8.3   7.5   8.0   8.5


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:



        Clayton:        128.41


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-011346-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SMFN7.1.ER.151231T0436Z.160101T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.8 feet by 
  early Friday morning, and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. The Smithfield town 
  park and the Neuse riverwalk at the US70 bridge are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  17.5 Thu 08 PM    17.6  16.6  15.0  14.9  15.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:



        Smithfield:      99.26



&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-011346-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.151227T1337Z.160105T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
846 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  evening and continue to rise to near 19.6 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  17.0 Thu 08 PM    17.0  17.6  18.5  19.2  19.6


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:



        Goldsboro:       42.95



&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC007-167-011346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160101T1951Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.151231T0023Z.151231T0930Z.160101T0751Z.NO/
846 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20 feet, there is significant overflow into the adjacent 
  pasture and lowlands.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Rocky River
  Norwood     20  22.5 Thu 08 PM    18.0   7.8   4.4   4.1   3.6


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:



        Norwood:        212.91


&&

LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
          3515 8028                   

$$

NCC065-011346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160106T0240Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.151227T2245Z.160103T1200Z.160105T1440Z.NO/
846 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday morning 
  and continue to rise to near 22.2 feet by Sunday morning.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Tar River
  Tarboro     19  18.6 Thu 08 PM    19.0  20.4  22.2  21.7  19.4


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:



        Tarboro:         10.37



&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
172 
WGUS82 KRAH 011004
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
504 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016





...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-011034-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160102T1330Z/
/CLYN7.1.ER.151231T0307Z.151231T1645Z.160101T0510Z.NO/
504 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  4:15 AM Friday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at 12:10 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.1 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, The Neuse River Greenway at Covered Bridge 
  Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks. Water 
  reaches the edge of the Neuse River Greenway trail.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Neuse River
 Clayton           9   8.7 Fri 04 AM   7.1   6.4   7.1   7.9      


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:


        Clayton:        128.41


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC007-167-011034-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160101T1951Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.151231T0023Z.151231T0930Z.160101T0757Z.NO/
504 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At  4:45 AM Friday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at  2:57 AM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.8 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. There is significant 
  overflow into adjacent pasture and lowlands.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river gage site is inundated and 
  inaccessible.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Rocky River
 Norwood          20  18.9 Fri 05 AM   7.8   4.4   4.1   3.6      


To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:



        Norwood:        212.91


&&

LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
          3515 8028                   

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 30, 3:07 PM EST, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 30, 3:07 PM EST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
307 PM WED DEC 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH CENTRAL NC FROM THE WEST
TONIGHT...MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. COOL AND
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL ARRIVE FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 PM WEDNESDAY...

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCATIONS EXCEPT THE COASTAL
PLAIN AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

WIDESPREAD RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NC THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING BEFORE PUSHING SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT. THE STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS SSW TO NNE...ROUGHLY BETWEEN
THE TRIAD AND TRIANGLE REGIONS. THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVIER SHOWERS
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THE WARM SECTOR...WHERE SHEAR IS DESCENT AND
INSTABILITY IS BEST. PWAT VALUES OF 1.5 TO 2.0 REMAIN ACROSS THE
AREA AND WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT. THUS...EXPECT CONTINUED
RAINFALL...WITH THE THREAT OF OVER 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL LIKELY FOR
MANY LOCATIONS. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED BRIEF WEAK TORNADO
SPIN UP AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS. HIGHS TODAY HAVE NOT GOTTEN OUT OF
THE MID TO UPPER 50S IN THE TRIAD...AND WITH THE FRONT EXPECTED TO
START MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY...
LOWS TONIGHT IN THE MID 50S NW TO MID 60S SE EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 305 PM WEDNESDAY...

THE RAIN SHOULD GRADUALLY COME TO AN END FROM NW TO SE ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THU NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT FINALLY MAKES ITS WAY
THROUGH CENTRAL NC. SOME RAINFALL TOTALS OF A QUARTER TO HALF AN
INCH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SE THU MORNING/EARLY AFT...BUT
OTHERWISE THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL SHOULD LARGELY BE OVER. A FEW
LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT.
WITH THE FRONT MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH...DO NOT EXPECT TEMPS TO
INCREASE MORE THAN 3-5 DEGREES FROM SUNRISE TO SUNSET THURSDAY. LOWS
WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS...LOW 40S NW TO UPPER 40S
SE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM WEDNESDAY...

FRI AND FRI NIGHT: LIGHT SHOWERS COULD LINGER IN THE SOUTHEAST FRI
MORNING...BUT OTHERWISE EXPECT FRIDAY TO BE DRY. ALL THE MODELS PUSH
THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. HIGHS FRIDAY IN THE
LOW TO MID 50S. LOWS FRI NIGHT IN THE LOW TO MID 30S.

SAT THROUGH WED: STILL EXPECT THIS PERIOD TO REMAIN LARGELY DRY...
WITH MORE SEASONABLE...AND POSSIBLY A BIT BELOW NORMAL...TEMPS AS
DRY AND COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THE HIGH WILL LIKELY
LINGER OVER THE SE U.S THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK. HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID 40S NORTH TO LOW 50S SOUTH AND
LOWS GENERALLY AROUND 30 DEGREES NW TO MID 30S SE THROUGH TUESDAY. A
REBOUND IN TEMPS IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL DEPEND ON THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 1255 PM WEDNESDAY...

24-HOUR TAF PERIOD: A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE AREA THIS
AFT/EVE. SHOWERS SHOULD COME TO AN END FROM NW TO SE AFTER 00Z
THURSDAY. EXPECT IFR/LIFR AVIATION CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD...WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT IN THE
TRIAD...KINT AND KGSO...THURSDAY MORNING.

LOOKING AHEAD: POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS WILL LINGER ON THURSDAY...
ESPECIALLY AT KFAY AND KRWI...AS THE COLD FRONT SLOWLY MAKES IT WAY
THROUGH THE AREA. SHOWERS COULD POSSIBLY LINGER AT KFAY UNTIL
THURSDAY EVENING OR EVEN INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DRIER WEATHER AND
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NCZ073-074-083-084.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RAH
NEAR TERM...RAH
SHORT TERM...RAH
LONG TERM...RAH
AVIATION...RAH
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 30, 3:37 PM EST, 2 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
337 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

NCZ007>010-021>026-038>042-073>077-083>086-312045-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-
DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-STANLY-
MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-
337 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RESULTED IN
RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO THREE INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF WATCH AREA.
AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE
IS A CHANCE THAT AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COULD DEVELOP THIS
EVENING...WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OR A
BRIEF WEAK TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ011-027-028-043-078-088-089-312045-
HALIFAX-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WILSON-WAYNE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
337 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN ONE AND TWO INCHES OF RAIN ON AN ALREADY
SATURATED TOP SOIL. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD BEING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OR A BRIEF WEAK TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 30, 3:49 PM EST, 2 hours 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
349 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0303 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 WNW TROY              35.38N  79.95W
12/30/2015                   MONTGOMERY         NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER OVER ROADS IN UWHARRIE NATIONAL FOREST

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1501036

KDS
Local storm report, Dec 30, 3:52 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
352 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N ASHEBORO            35.76N  79.81W
12/30/2015                   RANDOLPH           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER FLOODING ROADS AND YARDS ALONG GREENVALE RD IN
            ASHEBORO

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1501037

KDS
Local storm report, Dec 30, 3:53 PM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
353 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 W ASHEBORO            35.72N  79.88W
12/30/2015                   RANDOLPH           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BACK CREEK RD IN ASHEBORO FLOODED

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1501038

KDS
Local storm report, Dec 30, 4:07 PM EST, 1 hour 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
407 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE GREENSBORO        36.07N  79.80W
12/30/2015                   GUILFORD           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED IN GREENSBORO 1-2 PM DUE TO
            HEAVY RAIN...BACK OPEN NOW

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1501039

KDS
Local storm report, Dec 30, 4:11 PM EST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
411 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     FLOOD            3 ENE FEARRINGTON       35.82N  79.03W
12/30/2015                   CHATHAM            NC   911 CALL CENTER

            JORDAN LAKE OVER JEREMIAH DRIVE...HOME EVACUATIONS
            NEARBY BEGAN THIS MORNING AND ARE CONTINUING

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1501040

KDS
Local storm report, Dec 30, 4:15 PM EST, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
415 PM EST WED DEC 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S RALEIGH             35.78N  78.64W
12/30/2015                   WAKE               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ROADS FLOODED OFF AND ON IN DOWNTOWN RALEIGH...SEVERAL
            CREEKS NEAR OR OVER BANKS ALONG NC 50

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1501041

KDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 29, 10:11 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryRAHAlamance, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Granville, Guilford and 5 more8 hr
Dec 30, 8:15 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHSampson30 min
Dec 30, 9:29 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAlamance, Guilford, Orange61 min
Dec 30, 10:56 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHRandolph64 min
Dec 30, 11:13 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHDavidson, Randolph4 hr
Dec 30, 11:33 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Orange4 hr
Dec 30, 11:54 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHDurham, Franklin, Granville, Vance, Wake6 hr
Dec 30, 11:58 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHForsyth3 hr
Dec 30, 12:28 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHFranklin, Nash, Warren62 min
Dec 30, 12:42 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Nash36 min
Dec 30, 12:47 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHGuilford3 hr
Dec 30, 1:28 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAnson, Richmond62 min
Dec 30, 1:34 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph5 hr
Dec 30, 1:36 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHHalifax24 min
Dec 30, 1:48 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHAnson, Montgomery, Moore, Randolph, Richmond, Stanly5 hr
Dec 30, 2:09 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHChatham, Lee, Moore5 hr
Dec 30, 2:41 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHScotland49 min
Dec 30, 3:17 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHDavidson, Randolph3 hr
Dec 30, 3:28 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Orange3 hr
Dec 30, 3:35 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningRAHJohnston, Wake3 hr
Dec 30, 3:38 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham42 hr
Dec 30, 3:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHSampson31 min
Dec 30, 4:22 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHCumberland, Edgecombe, Halifax, Harnett, Hoke, Nash and 5 more3 hr
Dec 30, 6:50 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHAnson, Stanly34 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.