Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Raleigh, NC

January 14, 2015Edgecombe County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Jan 14, 2015, 9:54 AM EST for Edgecombe County, North Carolina. It took effect at Jan 14, 2015, 4:49 PM EST. It was in force for 68 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 14, 2015, 9:54 AM EST (14:54 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 14, 2015, 4:49 PM EST
Expired
Jan 17, 2015, 1:00 PM EST
In force
68 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Edgecombe County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tar River at Tarboro (TARN7).

Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02083500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

088 
WGUS42 KRAH 141454
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
954 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH CAROLINA... 

  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC065-150254-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0003.150114T2149Z-150117T1800Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150114T2149Z.150116T0000Z.150117T0600Z.NO/
954 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 12:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF DANIEL 
  STREET IN EAST TARBORO.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

TAR RIVER
 TARBORO          19  15.4 WED 12 AM  20.3  20.4  18.2  15.5  12.9

TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37

&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
10 follow-up statements
743 
WGUS82 KRAH 150115
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
815 PM EST WED JAN 14 2015



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO AFFECTING WAYNE COUNTY 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC191-151315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.150115T2000Z-150120T0800Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.150115T2000Z.150117T1800Z.150119T2000Z.NO/
815 PM EST WED JAN 14 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO.
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...FERRY BRIDGE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

NEUSE RIVER
  GOLDSBORO   18  16.3 WED 07 PM    17.5  18.6  19.5  19.6  18.5


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:



        GOLDSBORO:       42.95


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-151315-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T0600Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1200Z.150116T0000Z.150116T1800Z.NO/
815 PM EST WED JAN 14 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT  7:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF DANIEL 
  STREET IN EAST TARBORO.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON

TAR RIVER
  TARBORO     19  17.9 WED 07 PM    19.0  19.4  16.8  13.5  10.4


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:


        TARBORO:         10.37



&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
010 
WGUS82 KRAH 151308
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
808 AM EST THU JAN 15 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA..

  NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO AFFECTING WAYNE COUNTY 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC191-160108-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0004.150115T2000Z-150120T0800Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.150115T2000Z.150117T1800Z.150119T2000Z.NO/
808 AM EST THU JAN 15 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 7:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...FERRY BRIDGE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
 GOLDSBORO        18  17.1 THU 07 AM  17.5  18.6  19.5  19.6  18.5      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        GOLDSBORO:       42.95


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-160108-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T0600Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1424Z.150116T0000Z.150116T1800Z.NO/
808 AM EST THU JAN 15 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT 7:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF DANIEL 
  STREET IN EAST TARBORO.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

TAR RIVER
 TARBORO          19  18.8 THU 07 AM  19.0  19.4  16.8  13.5  10.4      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
871 
WGUS82 KRAH 151446
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
946 AM EST THU JAN 15 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO AFFECTING WAYNE COUNTY 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC191-160246-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.150116T0300Z-150120T0000Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.150116T0300Z.150118T0000Z.150119T1200Z.NO/
946 AM EST THU JAN 15 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...FERRY BRIDGE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
 GOLDSBORO        18  17.2 THU 09 AM  18.4  19.3  19.4  18.0  16.3


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        GOLDSBORO:       42.95


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-160246-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T0224Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1543Z.150116T0000Z.150116T1424Z.NO/
946 AM EST THU JAN 15 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT 9:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF DANIEL 
  STREET IN EAST TARBORO.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

TAR RIVER
 TARBORO          19  18.9 THU 09 AM  19.2  16.3  13.1  10.0   7.9


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
931 
WGUS82 KRAH 151808
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
108 PM EST THU JAN 15 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...

  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC065-160608-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T0224Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1715Z.150116T0000Z.150116T1424Z.NO/
108 PM EST THU JAN 15 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT 12:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. THE RIVERSIDE PARK 
  AND RIVER ROAD AT THE US64 BRIDGE FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

TAR RIVER
 TARBORO          19  19.0 THU 12 PM  19.2  16.3  13.1  10.0   7.9


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
994 
WGUS82 KRAH 160104
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
804 PM EST THU JAN 15 2015



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO AFFECTING WAYNE COUNTY 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC191-161304-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.150116T0418Z-150120T0447Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.150116T0418Z.150117T1800Z.150119T1647Z.NO/
804 PM EST THU JAN 15 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.5 FEET...FERRY BRIDGE ROAD BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
  GOLDSBORO   18  17.8 THU 07 PM    18.4  19.5  19.7  18.4  16.3


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:



        GOLDSBORO:       42.95



&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-161304-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T0600Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1715Z.150116T0600Z.150116T1800Z.NO/
804 PM EST THU JAN 15 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT  7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. THE RIVERSIDE PARK 
  AND RIVER ROAD AT THE US64 BRIDGE FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

TAR RIVER
  TARBORO     19  19.3 THU 07 PM    19.4  17.0  15.0  12.2  10.1


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:



        TARBORO:         10.37



&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
563 
WGUS82 KRAH 161217
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
717 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA..
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO AFFECTING WAYNE COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC191-170017-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150120T0447Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.150116T0537Z.150118T0000Z.150119T1647Z.NO/
717 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO.
* AT  6:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...ARRINGTON BRIDGE ROAD AND ACCESS ROADS 
  AROUND SEYMOUR JOHNSON AIR FORCE BASE FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     SAT   SUN   MON   TUE

NEUSE RIVER
  GOLDSBORO   18  18.2 FRI 06 AM    19.5  19.7  18.4  16.3


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:


        GOLDSBORO:       42.95


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-170017-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T1030Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1715Z.150116T1015Z.150116T2230Z.NO/
717 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT  6:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF DANIEL 
  STREET IN EAST TARBORO.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     SAT   SUN   MON   TUE  

TAR RIVER
  TARBORO     19  19.5 FRI 06 AM     17.3  15.0  12.2  10.1


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:


        TARBORO:         10.37


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
337 
WGUS82 KRAH 161523
FLSRAH

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1023 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO AFFECTING WAYNE COUNTY...AND 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. REMAIN AWAY FROM
WATER THAT IS RUNNING HIGH AND FLOWING FAST.

&&

NCC191-170323-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150120T0000Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.150116T0537Z.150118T0000Z.150119T1200Z.NO/
1023 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO.
* AT 9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING WAS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...ARRINGTON BRIDGE ROAD AND ACCESS ROADS 
  AROUND SEYMOUR JOHNSON AIR FORCE BASE FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED

NEUSE RIVER
 GOLDSBORO        18  18.4 FRI 09 AM  19.3  19.6  18.0  15.6  13.4


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        GOLDSBORO:       42.95

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-170323-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T2247Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1715Z.150116T1800Z.150117T1047Z.NO/
1023 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT 9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING WAS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF DANIEL 
  STREET IN EAST TARBORO.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED

TAR RIVER
 TARBORO          19  19.6 FRI 09 AM  18.9  16.0  12.5  10.4   9.1


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37

&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
753 
WGUS82 KRAH 161538 CCA
FLSRAH

FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1023 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO AFFECTING WAYNE COUNTY...AND 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. REMAIN AWAY FROM
WATER THAT IS RUNNING HIGH AND FLOWING FAST.

CORRECTED FOR TIMING OF TARBORO FALLING BELOW FLOOD STAGE IN THE
FORECAST BULLET.

&&

NCC191-170323-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-150120T0000Z/
/GLDN7.1.ER.150116T0537Z.150118T0000Z.150119T1200Z.NO/
1023 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NEUSE RIVER NEAR GOLDSBORO.
* AT 9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING WAS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...ARRINGTON BRIDGE ROAD AND ACCESS ROADS 
  AROUND SEYMOUR JOHNSON AIR FORCE BASE FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED

NEUSE RIVER
 GOLDSBORO        18  18.4 FRI 09 AM  19.3  19.6  18.0  15.6  13.4


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        GOLDSBORO:       42.95

&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC065-170323-
/O.COR.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T2247Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1715Z.150116T1800Z.150117T1047Z.NO/
1023 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT 9:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING WAS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS SOUTH OF DANIEL 
  STREET IN EAST TARBORO.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED

TAR RIVER
 TARBORO          19  19.6 FRI 09 AM  18.9  16.0  12.5  10.4   9.1


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37

&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$

DJF
019 
WGUS82 KRAH 170136
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
836 PM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
CAROLINA...
 
  TAR RIVER AT TARBORO AFFECTING EDGECOMBE COUNTY 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER DEEP WATER WHILE DRIVING...DO NOT 
ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

NCC065-171336-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T2024Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1715Z.150116T1445Z.150117T0824Z.NO/
836 PM EST FRI JAN 16 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO.
* AT 8:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY 
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. THE RIVERSIDE PARK 
  AND RIVER ROAD AT THE US64 BRIDGE FLOOD.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...

             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED

TAR RIVER
  TARBORO     19  19.4 FRI 08 PM    18.7  16.2  14.2  14.9  15.9

TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37

&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
468 
WGUS82 KRAH 171112
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
612 AM EST SAT JAN 17 2015



...THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

&&

NCC065-171142-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-150117T2024Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.150115T1715Z.150116T1445Z.150117T0850Z.NO/
612 AM EST SAT JAN 17 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TAR RIVER AT TARBORO HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
* AT  5:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 3:50 AM SATURDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 16.2 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.

&&

THE FOLLOWING ARE THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND 7 AM FORECAST STAGES
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN   MON   TUE   WED   THU

TAR RIVER
 TARBORO          19  18.9 SAT 05 AM  16.2  14.2  14.9  15.9      


TO CONVERT THE ABOVE STAGE READINGS TO ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL (FT), ADD
THE FOLLOWING TO THE STAGE:

        TARBORO:         10.37

&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$

VINCENT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 14, 8:05 AM EST, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 8:05 AM EST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
805 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL EXIT THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL AFFECT CENTRAL NC
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
AREA FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 326 AM WEDNESDAY...

REST OF THE MORNING AND TODAY: ARCTIC SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE (~1042
MB) CENTERED OVER NORTHERN NY AND THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES CONTINUES
TO BUILD/EXTEND SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL NC DELIVERING COLD DRY AIR AT
THE SURFACE. THIS IS A VERY COLD HIGH... WITH TEMPS ACROSS UPSTATE
NY BELOW ZERO... WITH SOME REPORTING SITES NEAR 20 BELOW ZERO.
MEANWHILE A S/W DISTURBANCE IN THE MID LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER
OUR REGION IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL NC... HELPING TO
PRODUCE AN AREA OF PRECIP (FZRA) THAT IS NOW EXITING NORTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. AS THE MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES TO THE
EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING... EXPECT OUR
CHANCES FOR ANY LINGERING LIGHT FREEZING RAIN TO END. HOWEVER...
LINGERING AREAS FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PLAGUE THE
AREA THROUGH AT LEAST DAYBREAK. WITH TEMPS HAVING FALLEN TO AT LEAST
FREEZING AT NEARLY EVERY OBSERVING SITE ACROSS CENTRAL NC (AND THE
REMAINING FEW THAT ARE A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING WILL FALL
BELOW FREEZING SHORTLY)... WILL KEEP THE WINTER WX ADVISORY UP FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA FOR NOW. SOME LOCATIONS FAR FROM THE RADAR HAVE BEEN
VOID OF RETURNS FOR THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS... BUT ARE REPORTING
DRIZZLE/FREEZING DRIZZLE FROM TIME TO TIME. GIVEN THIS AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TEMPS TO DROP A FEW MORE DEGREES THROUGH DAYBREAK AND
EXPECTED SLOWER THAN NORMAL RISE AFTER DAYBREAK WE MAY SEE QUITE A
FEW PROBLEMS ON AREA BRIDGES... OVERPASSES/ELEVATED ROADS... EVEN
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. IN ADDITION... WITH WET ROADS
COMBINED WITH LINGERING FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS THE AREA...
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT MAY SEE SLICK SPOTS DEVELOP
ON ALL ROADS AS TEMPS FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S (POSSIBLY MID 20S).

ANY LINGERING SHALLOW ISENTROPIC LIFT SHOULD BEGIN TO PUSH TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPS SHOULD
SLOWLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY NOON... AT THE LATEST ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST PIEDMONT WHERE ANY LINGERING DRIZZLE WILL LAST THE LATEST
IN THE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS TODAY... WITH CLOUDY
SKIES SKIES HANGING ON FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE DAY... WILL BE
WELL BELOW NORMAL. THE CAD AIRMASS MAY BEGIN TO ERODE SOME LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON FROM THE TOP DOWN. THINK THE GFS IS TO AGGRESSIVE IN
TRYING TO SHOW SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS THE
WESTERN PIEDMONT. THUS... WILL TREND THE FORECAST TO THE COOLER SIDE
OF THE GUIDANCE/BELOW GUIDANCE... GENERALLY MID TO UPPER 30S.

TONIGHT: SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD AND OFFSHORE SHORT LATE IN THE DAY/EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
HOWEVER... THE LINGERING CAD AIRMASS WILL LIKELY HOLD... RESULTING
IN MOSTLY CLOUDY/OVERCAST SKIES REMAINING. HOWEVER... WITH LACK OF
ANY FORCING EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH LOW TEMPS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 325 AM WEDNESDAY...

THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... POSITIVE TILT MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST EARLY THU...CROSSING THE REGION THU
EVENING. THIS SYSTEM EXPECTED TO ADVECT MOISTURE FROM THE NORTHERN
GULF IN THE MID-UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. IN ADDITION...MAIN
LIFT FOR PRECIP GENERATION ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK UPPER DIVERGENCE
ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LEVEL JET CROSSING THE NORTHERN
GULF...AND WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH. THIS SUGGEST
THAT ANY PRECIP THAT OCCURS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT. PRECIP CHANCES
SLIGHTLY BETTER ACROSS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST VERSUS THE NORTH DUE TO
PROXIMITY OF DEEPER MOISTURE AND BETTER LIFT. WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT-
SMALL CHANCE POPS. IF LATER MODEL RUNS REMAIN
CONSISTENT...SOLID/GOOD CHANCE OR LOW END LIKELY POPS FOR LIGHT
PRECIP AMOUNTS WARRANTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON-THURSDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND THREAT OF PRECIP WILL JEEP TEMPS BELOW NORMAL.
HIGHS THU MID-UPPER 40S.

FRIDAY...EXITING S/W WILL BE FOLLOWED BY BUILDING HEIGHTS AND THE
SURFACE INFLUENCE OF A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OF PACIFIC ORIGIN. THIS
WILL INITIATE A WARMING TREND UNDER CLEARING SKIES. AFTERNOON TEMPS
NEAR 50 NORTH TO LOW-MID 50S SOUTH. CHILLY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE SFC
HIGH OVERHEAD. MIN TEMPS UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 1100 PM TUESDAY...

AFTER A PERIOD OF SHORTWAVE RIDGING AND WARMING DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF THE WEEKEND...A SHORTWAVE DIGGING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
IS FORECAST TO SWING ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY.  MODELS HAVE TRENDED
A LITTLE DEEPER WITH THIS WAVE...INITIALLY HAVING A NEUTRAL TILT
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BEFORE LIFTING UP THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST.   THIS TREND RESULTS IN PRECIP EXPANDING OVER THE CAROLINAS
SUNDAY AS A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS AND DEEPENS ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST.  THIS IS MARKEDLY DIFFERENT THAN PREVIOUS GFS/ECMWF RUNS THAT
WERE COMPLETELY DRY. DUE TO MODEL CONSENSUS...HAVE INCREASED
CLOUDINESS AND MENTIONED A SLIGHT CHANCE POP FOR SUNDAY. HAVE ALSO
LOWERED MAX TEMPS ABOUT 3-5 DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.

HIGHS CREEP ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S SATURDAY...THEN
DROP BACK BELOW NORMAL BY MONDAY BEHIND THE EXITING WAVE AND SHOULD
REMAIN AT OR JUST BELOW NORMAL THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 705 AM WEDNESDAY...

PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND THE
NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN WILL DIMINISH THROUGH 14Z. WIDESPREAD IFR/LOW
END MVFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 16Z. AFTER 16Z...CEILINGS
WILL SLOWLY LIFT THROUGH 1500-2500 FT RANGE.

RESIDUAL COLD AIR DAMMING AIR MASS SHOULD MAINTAIN THE LOW CEILINGS
WITH IFR CEILINGS LIKELY RETURNING AFTER 02Z.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO CENTRAL NC FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
BRINGING IMPROVED AVIATION CONDITIONS. ANOTHER MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND A THREAT OF RAIN SUNDAY.
THIS IS A CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS WITH THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-076>078.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...BSD
SHORT TERM...WSS
LONG TERM...BLS/WSS
AVIATION...WSS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 14, 8:00 AM EST, 1 hour 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
800 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-076>078-151030-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
800 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ073>075-083>086-088-089-151030-
STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-
SAMPSON-
800 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 14, 6:04 AM EST, 3 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
604 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 AM     FREEZING RAIN    SANFORD                 35.48N  79.18W
01/14/2015  E0.00 INCH       LEE                NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW SLICK SPOTS ON BRIDGES OVERPASSES ON 421 BYPASS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500030

WSS
Local storm report, Jan 14, 6:19 AM EST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
619 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 AM     FREEZING RAIN    RALEIGH                 35.81N  78.64W
01/14/2015  E0.00 INCH       WAKE               NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            I-540 AND HIGHWAY 147 RAMP... AND I-540 AT LUMLEY RD
            RAMP CLOSED DUE TO ICY CONDITIONS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500031

WSS
Local storm report, Jan 14, 6:22 AM EST, 3 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
622 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     FREEZING RAIN    GOLDSBORO               35.37N  77.98W
01/14/2015  E0.00 INCH       WAYNE              NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CAR SLID OFF THE ROAD HIGHWAY 44 AT I-795... NORTH OF
            GOLDSBORO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500032

WSS
Local storm report, Jan 14, 7:50 AM EST, 2 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
750 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FREEZING RAIN    RALEIGH                 35.81N  78.64W
01/14/2015  E0.00 INCH       WAKE               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THIN GLAZE OF ICE ON ELEVATED SURFACES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500033

CBL
Local storm report, Jan 14, 7:54 AM EST, 2 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
754 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     FREEZING RAIN    RURAL HALL              36.23N  80.29W
01/14/2015  E0.00 INCH       FORSYTH            NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            THIN GLAZE ON ROADS. SEVERAL VEHICLES ALONG NC HIGHWAY
            65 HAD SLID OFF THE ROAD... INCLUDING RESPONDING
            EMERGENCY VEHICLES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500034

CBL
Local storm report, Jan 14, 8:59 AM EST, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
859 AM EST WED JAN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0812 AM     FREEZING RAIN    3 ENE PILOT             35.90N  78.23W
01/14/2015  M0.06 INCH       FRANKLIN           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            THIN GLAZE OF ICE ON BUSHES... TREES... DECK AND
            CONCRETE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1500035

KRD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 13, 10:18 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHEdgecombe, Franklin, Halifax, Nash, Vance, Warren and 1 more3 hr
Jan 13, 10:36 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHJohnston, Wake3 hr
Jan 14, 1:40 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHEdgecombe, Granville, Halifax, Vance, Warren80 min
Jan 14, 9:56 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRAHWayne5 days
Jan 14, 5:36 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHDurham, Edgecombe, Franklin, Granville, Halifax, Nash and 4 more3 hr
Jan 14, 5:40 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRAHJohnston3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.