Alert archive / North Carolina / Frost Advisories in 2015

Frost Advisory 4, NWS Raleigh, NC

October 18, 20155 counties in North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this frost advisory at Oct 18, 2015, 3:49 AM EDT for 5 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 19, 2015, 3:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 18, 2015, 3:49 AM EDT (07:49 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 19, 2015, 3:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 19, 2015, 9:00 AM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC

Counties Cumberland County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Wayne County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-10-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-10-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -46 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2101 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

224 
WWUS72 KRAH 180749
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
349 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...AREAS OF FROST AND FREEZING CONDITIONS TO AFFECT CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT...

.BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
OVERNIGHT...COLD HIGH PRESSURE WAS BUILDING INTO THE AREA. WINDS
HAVE BECOME LIGHT SUCH THAT AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS
MORNING MAINLY OVER THE PIEDMONT. TONIGHT...AS THE HIGH CONTINUES
TO BUILD OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...THE COMBINATION OF CLEAR
SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND DRY AIR SHOULD RESULT IN NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING LOW TEMPERATURES OVER A LARGER PART OF
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...WITH AT LEAST AREAS OF FROST LIKELY OVER
THE SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. PERSONS WITH SENSITIVE
VEGETATION SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-181600-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FR.Y.0004.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
349 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
  IN RURAL AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

NCZ010-026-040-041-074>076-181600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FR.Y.0003.151018T0800Z-151018T1300Z/
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.A.0002.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
WARREN-FRANKLIN-CHATHAM-WAKE-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORLINA...WARRENTON...LOUISBURG...
FRANKLINTON...SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...TROY...
BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD
349 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S EARLY THIS
  MORNING...AND NEAR FREEZING TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND
  AGAIN LATE TONIGHT WITH MORE WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES AROUND
  FREEZING...ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ007>009-021>025-038-039-073-181600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FR.Y.0003.151018T0800Z-151018T1300Z/
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.A.0002.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-
DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...
BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...
LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...
ALBEMARLE
349 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S EARLY THIS
  MORNING...AND NEAR FREEZING TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND
  AGAIN LATE TONIGHT WITH MORE WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES AROUND
  FREEZING...ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ028-043-181600-
/O.EXA.KRAH.FZ.A.0002.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
EDGECOMBE-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKY MOUNT...WILSON
349 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS NEAR FREEZING TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST ARE
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ011-027-042-077-083-084-181600-
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.A.0002.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
HALIFAX-NASH-JOHNSTON-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...NASHVILLE...RED OAK...
SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...SELMA...
BENSON...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...WADESBORO...
POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
349 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS NEAR FREEZING TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST ARE
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

DJF
6 follow-up statements
300 
WWUS72 KRAH 181301
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
901 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...AREAS OF FROST AND FREEZING CONDITIONS TO AFFECT CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA AGAIN TONIGHT...

.COLD HIGH PRESSURE WAS BUILDING INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING.
WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT SUCH THAT AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE
EARLY THIS MORNING MAINLY OVER THE PIEDMONT. TONIGHT...AS THE HIGH
CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...THE COMBINATION
OF CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND DRY AIR SHOULD RESULT IN NEAR
OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING LOW TEMPERATURES OVER A LARGER PART OF
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...WITH AT LEAST AREAS OF FROST LIKELY OVER
THE SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. PERSONS WITH SENSITIVE
VEGETATION SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-182130-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FR.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151018T1300Z/
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.A.0002.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-
DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-
MOORE-LEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...
DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...
ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...CARY...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...MOUNT GILEAD...
SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD
901 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING HAS EXPIRED...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S EARLY THIS 
  MORNING...AND NEAR FREEZING TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND 
  AGAIN LATE TONIGHT WITH MORE WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES AROUND 
  FREEZING...ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-182130-
/O.CON.KRAH.FR.Y.0004.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
901 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...
  ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

NCZ011-027-028-042-043-077-083-084-182130-
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.A.0002.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
HALIFAX-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...NASHVILLE...RED OAK...
SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...
SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
901 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS NEAR FREEZING TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST ARE 
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
509 
WWUS72 KRAH 181906
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
306 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...AREAS OF FROST AND FREEZING CONDITIONS TO AFFECT CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA AGAIN TONIGHT...

.COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA COMBINED WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.
THE COLDEST READINGS WILL BE IN THE OUTLYING AREAS OF THE PIEDMONT
AND WESTERN SANDHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA. AREAS OF FROST ARE LIKELY
OVER THE EASTERN SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. PERSONS
WITH SENSITIVE VEGETATION SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-190900-
/O.UPG.KRAH.FZ.A.0002.151019T0800Z-151019T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KRAH.FZ.W.0003.151019T0700Z-151019T1300Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...
CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...
LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...
SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...
SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
306 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY. THE
FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS OF 28 TO 33 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO
  MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING WILL
  THREATEN SOME PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-190900-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FR.Y.0004.151019T0700Z-151019T1300Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
306 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FROST ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT
  INTO MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT... 
  ESPECIALLY IN RURAL AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

GIH
620 
WWUS72 KRAH 182237
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
637 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

.COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DIE
OFF AND SKIES WILL BE CLEAR. THE TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET
OVERNIGHT... AND FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S BY
DAYBREAK. 

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-190645-
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.W.0003.151019T0700Z-151019T1300Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...
CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...
LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...
SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...
SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
637 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA EXCEPT THE FAR SE
  COASTAL PLAIN. 

* HAZARDS... BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES... AND FROST.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS OF 27 TO 32 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT
  INTO MONDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE AUTUMN SEASON WILL END THE
  GROWING SEASON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-190645-
/O.CON.KRAH.FR.Y.0004.151019T0700Z-151019T1300Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
637 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING
  FAYETTEVILLE... CLINTON... GOLDSBORO.

* HAZARDS...TEMPERATURES APPROACHING FREEZING.

* TIMING...LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S ARE EXPECTED 
  TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST LATE TONIGHT... ESPECIALLY IN RURAL
  AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNPROTECTED. 

&&

$$

BADGETT
538 
WWUS72 KRAH 190556
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
156 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVERHEAD EARLY THIS MORNING. UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AND A CALM WIND...TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER INTO THE
UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-191300-
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.W.0003.151019T0700Z-151019T1300Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...
CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...
LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...
SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...
SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
156 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA EXCEPT THE FAR SE 
  COASTAL PLAIN. 

* HAZARDS... BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES... AND FROST.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS OF 27 TO 32 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE AUTUMN SEASON WILL END THE 
  GROWING SEASON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-191300-
/O.CON.KRAH.FR.Y.0004.151019T0700Z-151019T1300Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
156 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN AND THE SANDHILLS INCLUDING
  FAYETTEVILLE... CLINTON... GOLDSBORO.

* HAZARDS...TEMPERATURES APPROACHING FREEZING.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL DAMAGE COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNPROTECTED.

&&

$$
932 
WWUS72 KRAH 190802
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
402 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVERHEAD EARLY THIS MORNING. UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AND A CALM WIND...TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER INTO THE
UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S. TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING WILL DROP INTO THE LOW AND MID 30S. IF
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING FAIL TO REACH FREEZING...THEN A
FROST ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR SECTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT
TONIGHT.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-191300-
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151019T1300Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...
CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...
LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...
SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...
SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
402 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA EXCEPT THE FAR SE 
  COASTAL PLAIN. 

* HAZARDS... BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES... AND FROST.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS OF 27 TO 32 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS...THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE AUTUMN SEASON WILL END THE
  GROWING SEASON. IF TEMPERATURES FAIL TO REACH FREEZING EARLY
  THIS MORNING...THEN A FROST ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
  SECTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-191315-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FR.Y.0005.151020T0800Z-151020T1300Z/
/O.CON.KRAH.FR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151019T1300Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
402 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN AND THE SANDHILLS 
  INCLUDING FAYETTEVILLE... CLINTON... GOLDSBORO. 

* HAZARDS...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S WILL FAVOR THE FORMATION
  OF FROST.

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL DAMAGE COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNPROTECTED.

&&

$$
485 
WWUS72 KRAH 191258
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
858 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVERHEAD EARLY THIS MORNING. UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AND A CALM WIND...TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER INTO THE
UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S. TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING WILL DROP INTO THE LOW AND MID 30S. IF
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING FAIL TO REACH FREEZING...THEN A
FROST ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR SECTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT
TONIGHT.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-191400-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-151019T1300Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-
RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR...
HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...
WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...
CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON...
NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT...
LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY...
SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...SMITHFIELD...CLAYTON...
SELMA...BENSON...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...BISCOE...
MOUNT GILEAD...SOUTHERN PINES...PINEHURST...ABERDEEN...
SEVEN LAKES...SANFORD...DUNN...ERWIN...ANGIER...LILLINGTON...
WADESBORO...POLKTON...ROCKINGHAM...HAMLET...EAST ROCKINGHAM
858 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES HAVE BEGUN TO CLIMB ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK THIS
MORNING... AND THE FREEZING WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-191400-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-151019T1300Z/
/O.CON.KRAH.FR.Y.0005.151020T0800Z-151020T1300Z/
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...
ROCKFISH...SILVER CITY...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
858 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAIN AND THE SANDHILLS 
  INCLUDING FAYETTEVILLE... CLINTON... GOLDSBORO. 

* HAZARDS...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S WILL FAVOR THE FORMATION 
  OF FROST. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

* IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL DAMAGE COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS LIKELY. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNPROTECTED.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Oct 18, 3:18 AM EDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 3:18 AM EDT, 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
318 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION TODAY...AND REMAINS
OVER THE CAROLINAS AND THE MID ATLANTIC AT LEAST THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 315 AM SUNDAY...

A DIFFUSE SURFACE FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
BASED ON OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR AND IR SATELLITE IMAGES. THE RAP
INDEED HAS APPEARED TO VERIFY WITH A SLACKENING OF THE GRADIENT
OVER THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT...WITH SEVERAL OBSERVATIONS SHOWING A
CALM OR VERY LIGHT WIND. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SHOULD BE
AROUND OR EVEN A LITTLE BELOW A QUARTER-INCH TODAY...IN AN 850MB
THETA-E TROUGH SUCH THAT K INDICES ARE VERY NEGATIVE. EVEN WITH
THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH ON WATER VAPOR EARLY THIS
MORNING...AND A DECENT MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TO FOLLOW OVER VIRGINIA
AND FAR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA LATE TODAY AND THIS EVENING
ACCOMPANIED BY THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A 100KT 500MB JET...
COLUMN SUBSIDENCE APPEARS STRONG AND THE AIR MASS DRY SUCH THAT
EVEN WITH THE WAVE LATER CLOUDS SHOULD BE FEW AT BEST. THE
CANADIAN CLOUD COVER MODEL IS VIRTUALLY CLEAR FOR THE ENTIRE
DAY INTO THE EVENING. WILL CONTINUE THE FROST ADVISORY AS IS TO
EXPIRATION...AND UNDER CONSIDERABLE SUNSHINE...HIGH TEMPERATURES
SHOULD RECOVER IN A DRY AIR MASS TO WITHIN A DEGREE OR THREE OF
60. BUFR SOUNDINGS AND 925MB WIND FORECASTS SUGGEST A PERIOD OF
WIND GUSTS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO AROUND 20KT WITH MIXING BY MID-
MORNING BEFORE THESE GUSTS GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THEREAFTER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 AM SUNDAY...

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN BELOW A HALF-INCH WITH AN 850MB
THETA-E TROUGH AND OVERALL SUBSIDENCE PERSISTING IN THIS PERIOD
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THERE IS SOME INCREASE IN 850MB THETA-E
VALUES OVERNIGHT MONDAY BUT THE BULK OF THE INCREASE IS ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE CAROLINA COAST. FORECAST CONCERNS FOCUS ON POTENTIAL
FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT MONDAY
INTO EARLY TUESDAY. AFTER COORDINATION WITH ADJACENT OFFICES WILL
CONTINUE THE FREEZE WATCH FOR LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...ALLOWING ALL TO DEFINE AND COLLABORATE NECESSARY
WARNINGS DURING THE DAY. AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN WINDS SHOULD
DIMINISH...AND WHILE THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN NOT
PROVIDING FOR A HARD FREEZE IN GENERAL...1000-850MB THICKNESSES
SUGGEST QUITE A FEW OVERNIGHT LOWS NEAR 30 AND 31 ESPECIALLY
OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE URBAN AREAS. WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS
SHOULD BE UP JUST A LITTLE LONGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT...CONSISTENTLY
FORECAST BY THE NAM FOR A LEAST TWO OR THREE RUNS NOW...OVERNIGHT
LOWS SHOULD BE A BIT WARMER...AROUND 34 OR 35. AS SUCH...THE
FREEZE WATCH CONTINUES FOR MOST OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...AND
EXPANDED INTO EDGECOMBE AND WILSON COUNTIES WHERE THE CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED SLIGHTLY COLDER. WILL OPT TO ISSUE A FROST
ADVISORY FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES FOR TONIGHT...FROM KMEB TO
KGSB INCLUDING KFAY AND KCTZ...AS CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH THAT
AT LEAST AREAS OF FROST SHOULD OCCUR AS THE TEMPERATURES COOL AND
WINDS LIGHTEN UNDER A CLEAR SKY.

OVERNIGHT MONDAY...THE SURFACE RIDGE IS DIRECTLY OVERHEAD.
1000-850MB THICKNESSES WARM QUITE A BIT...TO NEAR 1344M BY 12Z
TUESDAY. EXPECT THE NEAR SURFACE-BASED INVERSION TO BE QUITE SHARP
SUCH THAT GOOD...SHALLOW COOLING SHOULD OCCUR. THE MAJORITY OF THE
GUIDANCE IS A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER FOR LOWS MONDAY NIGHT
COMPARED TO TONIGHT...AND WHILE SOME TYPICALLY COLDER SPOTS IN THE
SOUTHWEST AND NORTHEAST PIEDMONTS SHOULD LIKELY FALL TO NEAR
FREEZING IN A DRY AIR MASS UNDER A CLEAR SKY WITH A LIGHT WIND...
WILL REFRAIN FROM ANY HEADLINES THEN FOR NOW AWAITING TO SEE THE
RESULTANT TEMPERATURES FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. POSSIBLE TO HAVE AT
LEAST ANOTHER FROST ADVISORY FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND WILL NOTE THAT
IN THE HWO AS WELL AS THE GRIDDED AND WORDED FORECASTS...AS 30S
CAN BE QUITE COMMON EVEN WHEN THE 1000-850MB THICKNESSES RISE
WHILE UNDER A CHILLY SURFACE HIGH.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM SUNDAY...

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE MEDIUM RANGE PORTION OF
THE FORECAST WITH MOSTLY SUNNY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES GENERALLY
EXPECTED. A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED NEAR THE END OF THE
WEEK.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION TO START THE PERIOD WILL MOVE
OFFSHORE...THOUGH THE RIDGE AXIS WILL EXTEND BACK INTO THE AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL EXPAND
NORTHWARD FROM THE DEEP SOUTH...WITH A S/W DISTURBANCE TRACKING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST U.S FROM MID TO LATE
WEEK...NEAR THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER. THIS WILL HELP TO PROPEL A
DRY TRAILING COLD FRONT THROUGH CENTRAL NC THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY (MOISTURE STARVED...WITH MAYBE A BRIEF INCREASE IN CLOUD
COVER). GIVEN THIS PATTERN WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS REBOUND BACK TO
NEAR NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BEFORE FALLING BACK
BELOW NORMAL LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 145 AM SUNDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH...AND BEYOND...THE 06Z VALID TAF
PERIOD. EXPECT A FEW NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS WITH MIXING THIS MORNING
INTO THE UPPER TEENS KNOTS...POSSIBLY TOUCHING AROUND 20KT...BEFORE
SUBSIDING DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE LATEST GFS MODEL HAS BACKED OFF
ON THE PROBABILITY OF NEAR MVFR CEILINGS TOWARD KFAY IN THE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY TIME FRAME. STILL...THAT MODEL
BRINGS 850MB MOISTURE TO AREAS JUST EAST OF KCTZ AND KRWI OVERNIGHT
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING...SO IT WILL BE CLOSE AND THE
PROBABILITY OF A PERIOD OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS THEN IS NON-ZERO FOR
KFAY AND KRWI.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES FOR OCTOBER 19...

KGSO...28 DEGREES IN 1948.
KRDU...32 DEGREES IN 1948.
KFAY...32 DEGREES IN 1931.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NCZ007>010-
021>026-038>041-073>076.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING FOR
NCZ007>011-021>027-038>042-073>077-083-084.
FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY FOR NCZ078-085-086-
088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJF
NEAR TERM...DJF
SHORT TERM...DJF
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...DJF
CLIMATE...RAH
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 17, 10:17 PM EDT, 5 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1017 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

NCZ007>009-021>025-038-039-073-190230-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-
DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-
1017 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FROST ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FROST ADVISORY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
 FREEZE WATCH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.

NCZ010-026-040-041-074>076-190230-
WARREN-FRANKLIN-CHATHAM-WAKE-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-
1017 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FROST ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FROST ADVISORY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
 FREEZE WATCH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.

NCZ011-027-042-077-083-084-190230-
HALIFAX-NASH-JOHNSTON-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
1017 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PATCHES OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 FREEZE WATCH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.

NCZ028-043-078-085-086-088-089-190230-
EDGECOMBE-WILSON-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
1017 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PATCHY FROST IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...AND AGAIN LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 3:06 PM EDTFreeze WarningRAHAlamance, Anson, Chatham, Davidson, Durham, Edgecombe and 20 more18 hr

Nearby

Frost Advisories in North Carolina, 2015Every frost advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.